Hugo Grenier and Elias Ymer will clash against each other in the quarter of the Porto Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on EUPAGO. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Grenier who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Hugo Grenier is the pick to win this match.
Hugo Grenier -> 1.83
Elias Ymer -> 1.89

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Hugo Grenier vs. Elias Ymer

There is no head to head record between Hugo Grenier and Elias Ymer since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Hugo Grenier

Ranked no. 192, the French player got to the quarter after defeating Pedro Araujo 6-0 7-6(4) and Matias Soto 6-3 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Hugo had a good straight sets win against Soto (6-3 6-3). During the match, Grenier scored 63 points vs Soto’s 53. Hugo was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Grenier managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Hugo Grenier lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Grenier put 57% of his first serves in, winning 85% (29/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (9/26) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Soto 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Grenier hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 58% of the points he played.

Grenier has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (362-276). 14-10 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Grenier has an overall 198-102 record in the last years on hard.

Hugo’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Morelia Challenger.

The French player has a compiled 22-23 win-loss record in 2025, 14-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Porto Challenger

Elias Ymer

Ranked no. 232, Ymer got to the quarter after defeating Jaime Faria 2-6 7-6(3) 7-5 and Mikhail Kukushkin 6-3 3-6 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Elias defeated Kukushkin (6-3 3-6 6-4). During the match Ymer scored 82 points vs Kukushkin’s 81. Elias was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.

About the serving games, Ymer scored 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Elias Ymer lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ymer put 56% of his first serves in, winning 81% (38/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (17/37) on the 2nd serve. Ymer broke Kukushkin 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Elias has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.

Elias’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Chennai Challenger.

The Swede has a composed 25-18 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Grenier	Ymer
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	6
Tot Games	37	61
Pts	128-93	195-192
Total Points	221	387
Winners	52	83
%Winners	41%	43%

Both Grenier and Ymer played 2 matches. At the moment, Elias Ymer dropped 2 sets while Hugo Grenier hasn’t conceded a set so far. Grenier has played 2 set(s) less than Ymer (4 vs 6). Therefore, Grenier played 24 games less than Ymer. Hugo scored 52 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Elias recorded 83 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Grenier	Ymer
Aces	16	10
Avg per match	8	5
1st in	62/114	115/190
%1st in	54%	61%
1st pts	52/62	83/115
%1st pts	84%	72%
2nd pts	25/52	41/75
%2nd pts	48%	55%

Grenier managed to score 16 aces (8 per match). Ymer managed to score 10 aces (5 per match). Grenier won 84% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Grenier	Ymer
Won	8	5
Converted	8/12	5/17
% Converted	67%	29%
Conceded	4	15
Saved	2	10
% Saved	50%	67%
Times Broken	2	5

Grenier broke his opponents 8 times with a 67% conversion rate. Hugo conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Elias broke his opponents 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Swede conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Grenier
	R1 Araujo	R2 Soto	Total
Score	6-0 7-64	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	18	37
pts	65-40	63-53	128-93
Total points	105	116	221
Winners	23	29	52
%Winners	35%	46%	41%
SERVE
Aces	8	8	16
Double Faults	5	8	13
1st in	28/54	34/60	62/114
% 1st in	52%	57%	54%
1st pts	23/28	29/34	52/62
% 1st pts	82%	85%	84%
2nd pts	16/26	9/26	25/52
% 2nd pts	62%	35%	48%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/4	4/8	8/12
Converted %	100%	50%	67%
Conceded	1	3	4
Saved	0/1	2/3	2
Saved %	0%	67%	34%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Ymer
	R1 Faria	R2 Kukushkin	Total
Score	2-6 7-63 7-5	6-3 3-6 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	33	28	61
pts	113-111	82-81	195-192
Total points	224	163	387
Winners	45	38	83
%Winners	40%	46%	43%
SERVE
Aces	3	7	10
Double Faults	1	3	4
1st in	68/106	47/84	115/190
% 1st in	64%	56%	61%
1st pts	45/68	38/47	83/115
% 1st pts	66%	81%	72%
2nd pts	24/38	17/37	41/75
% 2nd pts	63%	46%	55%
Breaks
Won	2	3	5
Converted	2/10	3/7	5/17
Converted %	20%	43%	29%
Conceded	10	5	15
Saved	7/10	3/5	10
Saved %	70%	60%	65%
Times Broken	3	2	5

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Elias YmerYmer – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Moez EcharguiEchargui – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (1-0) – H2H and prediction