Daria Kasatkina and Marta Kostyuk will square off in the 3^rd round of the Omnium Banque Nationale for the 8^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 12:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marta Kostyuk who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marta Kostyuk is the pick to win this match.
Marta Kostyuk -> 1.61
Daria Kasatkina -> 2.32

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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Marta Kostyuk

This will be the 8^th time that Daria Kasatkina and Marta Kostyuk play each other. The head to head is 4-3 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Kostyuk won 6-4 6-2 in the 2^nd round in Rome back in May 2025.

Highlights Marta Kostyuk vs Daria Kasatkina – Rome 09-May-2025

Daria Kasatkina

Ranked no. 18, the Australian got to the 3^rd round after beating Anna Blinkova 6-1 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Darya had a good straight sets win against Blinkova (6-1 6-4). During the match, Kasatkina scored 61 points vs Blinkova’s 39. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace and she committed only 7 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 59% of her first serves in, winning 75% (24/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. Darya broke Blinkova 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Kasatkina has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (316-209). 10-8 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Kasatkina has a composed 164-124 record in the last years on hard.

Darya has an overall 17-17 win-loss record in 2025, 10-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Marta Kostyuk

Ranked no. 28, Kostyuk got to the 3^rd round after defeating Marketa Vondrousova 2-6 6-3 6-2.

In the 2^nd round against Vondrousova, Marta recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Kostyuk scored 79 points vs Vondrousova’s 66. The Ukrainian was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Kostyuk recorded 5 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve 6 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 54% of her first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (15/37) on the 2nd serve. Marta broke Vondrousova 7 times after converting 78% of her break points (7/9).

Kostyuk has an aggregate 18-16 win-loss record in 2025, 11-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Kasatkina	Kostyuk
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	17	25
Pts	61-39	79-66
Total Points	100	145
Winners	24	29
%Winners	39%	37%

Both Kasatkina and Kostyuk played 1 match. At the moment, Marta Kostyuk dropped 1 set while Daria Kasatkina hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Kasatkina has played 1 set(s) less than Kostyuk (2 vs 3). Therefore, Kasatkina played 8 games less than Kostyuk. The Australian scored 24 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Marta made 29 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Kasatkina	Kostyuk
Aces	1	5
Avg per match	1	5
1st in	32/54	43/80
%1st in	59%	54%
1st pts	24/32	29/43
%1st pts	75%	67%
2nd pts	10/22	15/37
%2nd pts	45%	41%

Kasatkina bagged 1 ace . Kostyuk also recorded 5 aces . Kasatkina won 75% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Kasatkina	Kostyuk
Won	5	7
Converted	5/8	7/9
% Converted	63%	78%
Conceded	6	10
Saved	5	4
% Saved	83%	40%
Times Broken	1	6

Darya broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Kasatkina lost her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. Marta broke her opponent 7 times with a 78% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded.

Kasatkina
	R2 Blinkova	Total
Score	6-1 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	17	17
pts	61-39	61-39
Total points	100	100
Winners	24	24
%Winners	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	7	7
1st in	32/54	32/54
% 1st in	59%	59%
1st pts	24/32	24/32
% 1st pts	75%	75%
2nd pts	10/22	10/22
% 2nd pts	45%	45%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/8	5/8
Converted %	63%	63%
Conceded	6	6
Saved	5/6	5
Saved %	83%	83%
Times Broken	1	1

Kostyuk
	R2 Vondrousova	Total
Score	2-6 6-3 6-2
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	25	25
pts	79-66	79-66
Total points	145	145
Winners	29	29
%Winners	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	6	6
1st in	43/80	43/80
% 1st in	54%	54%
1st pts	29/43	29/43
% 1st pts	67%	67%
2nd pts	15/37	15/37
% 2nd pts	41%	41%
Breaks
Won	7	7
Converted	7/9	7/9
Converted %	78%	78%
Conceded	10	10
Saved	4/10	4
Saved %	40%	40%
Times Broken	6	6

Tennis Scores in Montreal

• Go SoedaSoeda – James DuckworthDuckworth (7-6⁴ 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Antoine HoangHoang – Ryan PenistonPeniston (7-6³ 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ruben BemelmansBemelmans – Yannick MadenMaden (4-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dennis NovakNovak – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (7-6⁴ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-2 2-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy – Ivo KarlovicKarlovic (6-3 6-7⁷ 7-6⁶) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Daniel EvansEvans – Mikael YmerYmer (6-2 2-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lukas RosolRosol – Tatsuma ItoIto (6-4 6-7⁰ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Lulu SunSun (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Peyton StearnsStearns (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elise MertensMertens – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Belinda BencicBencic – Eugenie BouchardBouchard (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa – Magdalena FrechFrech (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Eva LysLys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cori GauffGauff – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Lin ZhuZhu – Suzan LamensLamens (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (3-4) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jaqueline CristianCristian (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Emma NavarroNavarro (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasija SevastovaSevastova – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Caty McNallyMcNally (0-0) – H2H and prediction