Eliot Spizzirri and Rei Sakamoto will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Lexington Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 9:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Eliot Spizzirri who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Eliot Spizzirri is the pick to win this match.
Eliot Spizzirri -> 1.64
Rei Sakamoto -> 2.15

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Eliot Spizzirri vs. Rei Sakamoto

This will be the 2nd time that Eliot Spizzirri and Rei Sakamoto square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Spizzirri (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Spizzirri won 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in the Bloomfield Hills Challenger back in July 2025.

Eliot Spizzirri

Eliot Spizzirri

33 - 22win/loss

Hard
17-9
I Hard
4-1
Clay
7-6
Grass
5-6
Rank
91
High
87
LWWWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-31 27-14 7-6 17-5 5-6 0-0
2024 35-17 28-11 0-0 6-5 1-1 0-0
2023 9-10 6-7 0-0 3-2 0-1 0-0
2022 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 15-4 15-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 124, Spizzirri got to the 2nd round after beating Stefan Dostanic 6-3 6-2.

In the 1st round, Spizzirri had a good straight sets win against Dostanic (6-3 6-2). During the match, Spizzirri scored 77 points vs Dostanic’s 56. Spizzirri was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Spizzirri made 5 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Eliot Spizzirri lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Spizzirri put 81% of his first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (5/10) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Dostanic 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Spizzirri has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 61% of his matches (97-62). 17-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Spizzirri has an aggregate67-36 record in the last 5 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the San Diego Challenger where he defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald in the final 6-4 2-6 6-4.

Eliot has a composed 33-22 win-loss record in 2025, 17-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lexington Challenger

Lexington Challenger
Spizzirri's Record

Rei Sakamoto

Rei Sakamoto

23 - 15win/loss

Hard
18-10
I Hard
2-2
Clay
3-3
Rank
176
High
174
WWWLWWLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-26 25-16 3-3 4-7 0-0 0-0
2024 20-16 12-11 6-3 2-2 0-0 0-0
2023 7-11 1-4 5-5 1-2 0-0 0-0
2022 5-6 5-3 0-3 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 205 (career-high), Sakamoto got to the 2nd round after defeating Antoine Ghibaudo 1-6 6-4 6-2.

In the 1st round against Ghibaudo, Rei recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-4 6-2). During the match Sakamoto scored 78 points vs Ghibaudo’s 74. Sakamoto was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

About the serving games, Sakamoto managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Rei Sakamoto lost the serve 4 times. Furthermore, Sakamoto put 54% of his first serves in, winning 72% (26/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Ghibaudo 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Cary Challenger where he beat Liam Draxl in the final 6-1 6-4.

The Japanese has an aggregate 23-15 win-loss record in 2025, 18-10 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.
Lexington Challenger
Sakamoto's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

E.Spizzirri
R.Sakamoto
1h:34
1h:34
Time on court​
1h:59
1h:59
1h:34
1h:34
Last match​
1h:59
1h:59
1
1
Match played
1
1
17
17
Games Played​
25
25
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
77
77
Total points​
78
78
77
77
Avg point​
78
78
30
30
Winners
26
26
30
30
Avg Winners​
26
26
39%
39%
Ratio winners
33%
33%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
7
7
5
5
Avg Aces
7
7
0
0
Double Faults
3
3
0
0
Avg Double Faults
3
3
30/43
30/43
1st won total​
26/36
26/36
70%
70%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
5/10
5/10
2nd won total​
15/31
15/31
50%
50%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
5/14
5/14
BP won
5/12
5/12
5/14
5/14
Avg BP won
5/12
5/12
36%
36%
Won
42%
42%
3
3
Conceded
4
4
3
3
Avg Conceded
4
4
2
2
Broken
4
4
2
2
Avg Broken
4
4
1
1
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Spizzirri Sakamoto
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 17 25
Pts 77-56 78-74
Total Points 133 152
Winners 30 26
%Winners 39% 33%

Both Spizzirri and Sakamoto played 1 match. At the moment, Rei Sakamoto surrendered 1 set while Eliot Spizzirri hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Spizzirri has played 1 set(s) less than Sakamoto (2 vs 3). Therefore, Spizzirri played 8 games less than Sakamoto. Spizzirri scored 30 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Sakamoto made 26 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve Spizzirri Sakamoto
Aces 5 7
Avg per match 5 7
1st in 43/53 36/67
%1st in 81% 54%
1st pts 30/43 26/36
%1st pts 70% 72%
2nd pts 5/10 15/31
%2nd pts 50% 48%

Spizzirri blasted 5 aces . Sakamoto struck 7 aces . Spizzirri won 70% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Sakamoto won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Spizzirri Sakamoto
Won 5 5
Converted 5/14 5/12
% Converted 36% 42%
Conceded 3 4
Saved 1 0
% Saved 33% 0%
Times Broken 2 4

The American broke his opponent 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Sakamoto broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Rei conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Spizzirri
R1
Dostanic
Total
Score 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 77-56 77-56
Total points 133 133
Winners 30 30
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 43/53 43/53
% 1st in 81% 81%
1st pts 30/43 30/43
% 1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 5/10 5/10
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/14 5/14
Converted % 36% 36%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 1/3 1
Saved % 33% 33%
Times Broken 2 2
Sakamoto
R1
Ghibaudo
Total
Score 1-6 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 25 25
pts 78-74 78-74
Total points 152 152
Winners 26 26
%Winners 33% 33%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 36/67 36/67
% 1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 26/36 26/36
% 1st pts 72% 72%
2nd pts 15/31 15/31
% 2nd pts 48% 48%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/12 5/12
Converted % 42% 42%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 0/4 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 4 4

Tennis Scores in Lexington Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw