Eliot Spizzirri and Rei Sakamoto will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Lexington Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 9:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Eliot Spizzirri who should win in 3 sets.
Eliot Spizzirri -> 1.64
Rei Sakamoto -> 2.15
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Prediction and head to head Eliot Spizzirri vs. Rei Sakamoto
This will be the 2nd time that Eliot Spizzirri and Rei Sakamoto square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Spizzirri (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Spizzirri won 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in the Bloomfield Hills Challenger back in July 2025.
Eliot Spizzirri
33 - 22win/loss
91
87
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-31 | 27-14 | 7-6 | 17-5 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-17 | 28-11 | 0-0 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-10 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-4 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 124, Spizzirri got to the 2nd round after beating Stefan Dostanic 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round, Spizzirri had a good straight sets win against Dostanic (6-3 6-2). During the match, Spizzirri scored 77 points vs Dostanic’s 56. Spizzirri was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Spizzirri made 5 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Eliot Spizzirri lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Spizzirri put 81% of his first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (5/10) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Dostanic 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).
Spizzirri has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 61% of his matches (97-62). 17-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Spizzirri has an aggregate67-36 record in the last 5 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the San Diego Challenger where he defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald in the final 6-4 2-6 6-4.
Eliot has a composed 33-22 win-loss record in 2025, 17-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lexington Challenger
Rei Sakamoto
23 - 15win/loss
176
174
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-26 | 25-16 | 3-3 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-16 | 12-11 | 6-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-6 | 5-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 205 (career-high), Sakamoto got to the 2nd round after defeating Antoine Ghibaudo 1-6 6-4 6-2.
In the 1st round against Ghibaudo, Rei recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-4 6-2). During the match Sakamoto scored 78 points vs Ghibaudo’s 74. Sakamoto was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Sakamoto managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Rei Sakamoto lost the serve 4 times. Furthermore, Sakamoto put 54% of his first serves in, winning 72% (26/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Ghibaudo 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Cary Challenger where he beat Liam Draxl in the final 6-1 6-4.
The Japanese has an aggregate 23-15 win-loss record in 2025, 18-10 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Spizzirri | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 25 |
| Pts | 77-56 | 78-74 |
| Total Points | 133 | 152 |
| Winners | 30 | 26 |
| %Winners | 39% | 33% |
Both Spizzirri and Sakamoto played 1 match. At the moment, Rei Sakamoto surrendered 1 set while Eliot Spizzirri hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Spizzirri has played 1 set(s) less than Sakamoto (2 vs 3). Therefore, Spizzirri played 8 games less than Sakamoto. Spizzirri scored 30 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Sakamoto made 26 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Spizzirri | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 43/53 | 36/67 |
| %1st in | 81% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 30/43 | 26/36 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 5/10 | 15/31 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 48% |
Spizzirri blasted 5 aces . Sakamoto struck 7 aces . Spizzirri won 70% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Sakamoto won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Spizzirri | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/14 | 5/12 |
| % Converted | 36% | 42% |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Saved | 1 | 0 |
| % Saved | 33% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
The American broke his opponent 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Sakamoto broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Rei conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Spizzirri | |||
| R1 Dostanic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 77-56 | 77-56 | |
| Total points | 133 | 133 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 43/53 | 43/53 | |
| % 1st in | 81% | 81% | |
| 1st pts | 30/43 | 30/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Sakamoto | |||
| R1 Ghibaudo | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 78-74 | 78-74 | |
| Total points | 152 | 152 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 36/67 | 36/67 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 26/36 | 26/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 15/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/4 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Tennis Scores in Lexington Challenger
- Giles HusseyHussey – Hady HabibHabib (7-67 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Bernard TomicTomic – Nicolas MejiaMejia (7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Ryuki MatsudaMatsuda (6-1 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy – Alibek KachmazovKachmazov (7-5 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniel EvansEvans – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Christopher EubanksEubanks (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dhakshineswar SureshSuresh – Lloyd HarrisHarris (0-0) – H2H and prediction