Ricardas Berankis and Luca Castelnuovo will play each other in the 2nd round of the Astana Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on COURT 4. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ricardas Berankis who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ricardas Berankis is the pick to win this match.
Ricardas Berankis -> 1.32
Luca Castelnuovo -> 3.15
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Ricardas Berankis vs. Luca Castelnuovo
There is no head to head record between Ricardas Berankis and Luca Castelnuovo since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Ricardas Berankis
22 - 13win/loss
427
50
LLLWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-17 | 11-9 | 4-3 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-27 | 18-14 | 5-1 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-22 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 16-8 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-17 | 12-9 | 1-4 | 7-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-23 | 9-8 | 5-7 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 387, the Lithuanian reached the 2nd round after beating Zangar Nurlanuly 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round, Richard had a good straight sets win against Nurlanuly (6-2 6-2). During the match, Berankis scored 61 points vs Nurlanuly’s 34. The Lithuanian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Berankis made 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Ricardas Berankis was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (22/28) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Richard broke Nurlanuly 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Berankis has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (272-202). 9-7 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Berankis has a composed 109-95 match record in the last years on hard.
The Lithuanian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Abidjan 1 Challenger.
Richard has a composed 22-13 win-loss record in 2025, 9-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Astana Challenger
Luca Castelnuovo
29 - 13win/loss
413
400
LLWLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43-23 | 32-18 | 3-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-21 | 25-20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-23 | 22-15 | 4-3 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2022 | 9-16 | 8-7 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| 2021 | 21-30 | 9-10 | 11-18 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 499, Luca reached the 2nd round after beating Uisung Park 7-6(3) 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Swiss had a good straight sets win against Park (7-63 6-3). During the match Castelnuovo scored 70 points vs Park’s 55. The Swiss was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Castelnuovo blasted 12 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Luca Castelnuovo was pretty effective on serve to win 82% (31/38) of his 1st serve and 72% (18/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Castelnuovo was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Park once.
The Swiss’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Kayseri,M25 Luzhou and M15 Maanshan.
Luca has an overall 29-13 win-loss record in 2025, 18-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Astana Challenger
Luca has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berankis | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 22 |
| Pts | 61-34 | 70-55 |
| Total Points | 95 | 125 |
| Winners | 22 | 31 |
| %Winners | 36% | 44% |
Both Berankis and Castelnuovo played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Berankis and Castelnuovo have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Berankis played 6 games less than Castelnuovo. The Lithuanian scored 22 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Castelnuovo struck 31 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berankis | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 12 |
| 1st in | 28/50 | 38/63 |
| %1st in | 56% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 31/38 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 18/25 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 72% |
Berankis blasted 4 aces . Castelnuovo recorded 12 aces . Berankis won 79% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Castelnuovo won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 72% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berankis | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 1 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 1/1 |
| % Converted | 67% | 100% |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 |
| Saved | 2 | 1 |
| % Saved | 100% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Richard broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Richard very solid his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Swiss broke his opponent once with a 100% conversion rate. Castelnuovo was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| Berankis | |||
| R1 Nurlanuly |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 61-34 | 61-34 | |
| Total points | 95 | 95 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 28/50 | 28/50 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 22/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 14/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Castelnuovo | |||
| R1 Park |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 70-55 | 70-55 | |
| Total points | 125 | 125 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 38/63 | 38/63 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 31/38 | 31/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/25 | 18/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 72% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/1 | 1/1 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWWLWW
LLWLWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Astana Challenger
- Karan SinghSingh – Ivan GakhovGakhov (6-3 7-6(7)) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexandr BindaBinda – Olaf PieczkowskiPieczkowski (6-2 5-7 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Shintaro ImaiImai – Edward WinterWinter (7-6(4) 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aleksandre BakshiBakshi – Mukund SasikumarSasikumar (7-6(4) 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Richard BerankisBerankis – Luca CastelnuovoCastelnuovo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ivan GakhovGakhov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandre BakshiBakshi – Sasi Kumar MukundKumar Mukund (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clement ChidekhChidekh – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Takuya KumasakaKumasaka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Woobin ShinShin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
