Bernard Tomic and Nicolas Mejia will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the Lexington Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 10:00 am on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Bernard Tomic who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Bernard Tomic is the pick to win this match.
Bernard Tomic -> 1.59
Nicolas Mejia -> 2.24

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Prediction and head to head Bernard Tomic vs. Nicolas Mejia

This will be the 3^rd time that Bernard Tomic and Nicolas Mejia square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Tomic (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Tomic won 6-2 6-2 in the 1^st round in the Pune Challenger back in February 2025.

Bernard Tomic

Ranked no. 211, the Australian got to the 2^nd round after beating Samir Banerjee 6-4 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Tomic had a good straight sets win against Banerjee (6-4 6-4). During the match, Tomic scored 65 points vs Banerjee’s 52. Tomic was pretty aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about the service games, Tomic bagged 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Bernard Tomic was exceptionally effective on serve to win 77% (20/26) of his 1st serve and 69% (18/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Banerjee 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Tomic has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (240-195). 12-12 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Tomic has a composed 154-104 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Bernard’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Nottingham.

The Australian has a composed 23-21 win-loss record in 2025, 12-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lexington Challenger

Nicolas Mejia

Ranked no. 242, Nicolas reached the 2^nd round after defeating August Holmgren 6-7(5) 7-5 5-1 ret..

In the 1^st round against Holmgren, Nicolas had a free pass after Holmgren retired on a 6-7⁵ 7-5 5-1 . scoreline.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Savannah Challenger where he defeated Liam Draxl in the final 2-6 6-2 7-6(3).

Mejia has a composed 24-21 win-loss record in 2025, 12-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lexington Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Tomic	Mejia
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	4
Tot Games	20	31
Pts	65-52	102-86
Total Points	117	188
Winners	20	39
%Winners	31%	38%

Both Tomic and Mejia played 1 match. At the moment, Nicolas Mejia surrendered 1 set while Bernard Tomic hasn’t lost a set so far. Tomic has played 2 set(s) less than Mejia (2 vs 4). Therefore, Tomic played 11 games less than Mejia. Bernard scored 20 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Mejia bagged 39 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Tomic	Mejia
Aces	3	7
Avg per match	3	7
1st in	26/52	52/89
%1st in	50%	58%
1st pts	20/26	39/52
%1st pts	77%	75%
2nd pts	18/26	26/37
%2nd pts	69%	70%

Tomic managed to score 3 aces . Mejia fired 7 aces . Tomic won 77% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Mejia won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Tomic	Mejia
Won	3	4
Converted	3/12	4/14
% Converted	25%	29%
Conceded	1	2
Saved	0	1
% Saved	0%	50%
Times Broken	1	1

The Australian broke his opponent 3 times with a 25% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Mejia broke his opponent 4 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Colombian conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Tomic
	R1 Banerjee	Total
Score	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	65-52	65-52
Total points	117	117
Winners	20	20
%Winners	31%	31%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	26/52	26/52
% 1st in	50%	50%
1st pts	20/26	20/26
% 1st pts	77%	77%
2nd pts	18/26	18/26
% 2nd pts	69%	69%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/12	3/12
Converted %	25%	25%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	0/1	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	1	1

Mejia
	R1 Holmgren	Total
Score	6-75 7-5 5-1 ret.
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	31	31
pts	102-86	102-86
Total points	188	188
Winners	39	39
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	52/89	52/89
% 1st in	58%	58%
1st pts	39/52	39/52
% 1st pts	75%	75%
2nd pts	26/37	26/37
% 2nd pts	70%	70%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/14	4/14
Converted %	29%	29%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	1/2	1
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	1

Tennis Scores in Lexington Challenger

• Dhakshineswar SureshSuresh – Billy HarrisHarris (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Murphy CassoneCassone (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Alibek KachmazovKachmazov – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (7-6(3) 6-7(2) 7-6(1)) – See score progression
• Hady HabibHabib – Yi ZhouZhou (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Michael ZhengZheng – Andres MartinMartin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Alibek KachmazovKachmazov – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (7-6(3) 6-7(2) 7-6(1)) – See score progression
• Rei SakamotoSakamoto – Antoine GhibaudoGhibaudo (1-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Alex RybakovRybakov (6-2 7-6¹⁰) – See score progression
• Ryuki MatsudaMatsuda – Omar JasikaJasika (6-7² 7-5 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri – Stefan DostanicDostanic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Nicolas MejiaMejia – August HolmgrenHolmgren (6-7⁵ 7-5 5-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Bernard TomicTomic – Samir BanerjeeBanerjee (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Alibek KachmazovKachmazov – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (7-6(3) 6-7(2) 7-6(1)) – See score progression
• Ryuki MatsudaMatsuda – Omar JasikaJasika (6-7(2) 7-5 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Alex RybakovRybakov (6-2 7-6(10)) – See score progression
• Michael ZhengZheng – Andres MartinMartin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Murphy CassoneCassone (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Hady HabibHabib – Yi ZhouZhou (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Dhakshineswar SureshSuresh – Billy HarrisHarris (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Rei SakamotoSakamoto – Antoine GhibaudoGhibaudo (1-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri – Stefan DostanicDostanic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniel EvansEvans – Andres AndradeAndrade (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Bernard TomicTomic – Nicolas MejiaMejia (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lloyd HarrisHarris – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ryuki MatsudaMatsuda – (0-0) – H2H and prediction