Arthur Fils and Pablo Carreno-Busta will square off in the 2nd round of the National Bank Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 8:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Arthur Fils who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Arthur Fils is the pick to win this match.
Arthur Fils -> 1.24
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 4.05

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Prediction and head to head Arthur Fils vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

This will be the 2nd time that Arthur Fils and Pablo Carreno-Busta play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Fils (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Fils won 7-6(6) 6-3 in the 1st round in Barcelona back in April 2025.

Highlights Arthur Fils vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – Barcelona 15-April-2025

Arthur Fils

Arthur Fils

21 - 10win/loss

Hard
9-5
I Hard
2-1
Clay
10-4
Rank
40
High
14
LWWWLWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-11 10-6 10-4 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 42-28 15-9 14-10 7-6 6-3 0-0
2023 43-24 5-4 13-8 21-10 4-2 0-0
2022 43-28 0-1 23-15 20-12 0-0 0-0
2021 33-26 3-2 29-17 1-7 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 21, the French player will start his run in Montreal after he played his last match at the Roland Garros where he lost w/o to Rublev in the 3rd round on the 30th of May.

Arthur has a compiled 21-10 win-loss record in 2025, 9-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

The French player best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Barcelona.

Talking about his overall career, The French player has an overall 183-118 record. He has a positive 32-21 record on hard.

Previously in Montreal

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.

Toronto
Fils's Record

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Pablo Carreno-Busta

24 - 17win/loss

Hard
14-5
I Hard
1-1
Clay
9-11
Rank
89
High
10
LLWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-27 25-10 14-14 1-3 0-0 0-0
2024 10-12 7-6 2-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 2-5 2-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 37-25 19-8 11-9 5-5 2-3 0-0
2021 38-18 14-8 17-4 5-4 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 93, Pablo got to the 2nd round after defeating Liam Draxl 2-6 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round against Draxl, Pablo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-4).During the match Carreno-Busta scored less points (3) than Draxl. In fact, the world no. 21 won 83 points vs Draxl’s. That means that Carreno-Busta was more focused during the important points. Carreno-Busta was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta scored 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 50% of his first serves in, winning 76% (32/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (21/42) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Draxl 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he overcame Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he overcame Filip Misolic in the final 6-3 6-2.

Carreno-Busta has an overall 24-17 win-loss record in 2025, 14-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2022. See his history.

Toronto
Carreno-Busta's Record

Tennis Scores in Toronto

Upcoming matches in the draw