Mikhail Kukushkin and Elias Ymer will clash against each other in the 2^nd round of the Porto Challenger for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 4:00 pm on EUPAGO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mikhail Kukushkin who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mikhail Kukushkin is the pick to win this match.
Mikhail Kukushkin -> 1.86
Elias Ymer -> 1.86

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Prediction and head to head Mikhail Kukushkin vs. Elias Ymer

This will be the 4^th time that Mikhail Kukushkin and Elias Ymer square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Ymer (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Ymer won 6-3 7-6(4) in the Rubber 1 in Davis Cup, Finals, Group B back in 2021.

Mikhail Kukushkin

Ranked no. 195, Kukushkin reached the 2^nd round after beating Aslan Karatsev 7-6(7) 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Kukushkin had a good straight sets win against Karatsev (7-6⁷ 6-4). During the match, Kukushkin scored 80 points vs Karatsev’s 71. Mikhail was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kukushkin made 7 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Mikhail Kukushkin was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (34/42) of his 1st serve and 72% (18/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kukushkin broke Karatsev once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).

Kukushkin has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 53% of his matches (280-248). 9-9 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kukushkin has an aggregate 131-101 record in the last years on hard.

The Kazakhstani has a composed 15-17 win-loss record in 2025, 9-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Porto Challenger

Elias Ymer

Ranked no. 232, Elias reached the 2^nd round after defeating Jaime Faria 2-6 7-6(3) 7-5.

In the 1^st round against Faria, Elias recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-6³ 7-5). During the match Ymer scored 113 points vs Faria’s 111. Ymer was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.

About the serving games, Ymer fired 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Elias Ymer lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Ymer put 64% of his first serves in, winning 66% (45/68) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (24/38) on the 2nd serve. Elias broke Faria twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).

Elias’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Chennai Challenger.

The Swede has an overall 24-18 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Porto Challenger

The Swede has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Kukushkin	Ymer
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	23	33
Pts	80-71	113-111
Total Points	151	224
Winners	34	45
%Winners	43%	40%

Both Kukushkin and Ymer played 1 match. At the moment, Elias Ymer surrendered 1 set while Mikhail Kukushkin hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kukushkin has played 1 set(s) less than Ymer (2 vs 3). Therefore, Kukushkin played 10 games less than Ymer. The Kazakhstani scored 34 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Ymer managed to score 45 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Kukushkin	Ymer
Aces	7	3
Avg per match	7	3
1st in	42/67	68/106
%1st in	63%	64%
1st pts	34/42	45/68
%1st pts	81%	66%
2nd pts	18/25	24/38
%2nd pts	72%	63%

Kukushkin recorded 7 aces . Ymer made 3 aces . Kukushkin won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 72% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Kukushkin	Ymer
Won	1	2
Converted	1/4	2/10
% Converted	25%	20%
Conceded	1	10
Saved	1	7
% Saved	100%	70%
Times Broken	0	3

Mikhail broke his opponent once with a 25% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani pretty solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Swede broke his opponent twice with a 20% conversion rate. The Swede conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Kukushkin
	R1 Karatsev	Total
Score	7-67 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	23	23
pts	80-71	80-71
Total points	151	151
Winners	34	34
%Winners	43%	43%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	42/67	42/67
% 1st in	63%	63%
1st pts	34/42	34/42
% 1st pts	81%	81%
2nd pts	18/25	18/25
% 2nd pts	72%	72%
Breaks
Won	1	1
Converted	1/4	1/4
Converted %	25%	25%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	1/1	1
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Ymer
	R1 Faria	Total
Score	2-6 7-63 7-5
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	33	33
pts	113-111	113-111
Total points	224	224
Winners	45	45
%Winners	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	68/106	68/106
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	45/68	45/68
% 1st pts	66%	66%
2nd pts	24/38	24/38
% 2nd pts	63%	63%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/10	2/10
Converted %	20%	20%
Conceded	10	10
Saved	7/10	7
Saved %	70%	70%
Times Broken	3	3

Tennis Scores in Porto Challenger

• Hugo GrenierGrenier – Pedro AraujoAraujo (6-0 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Luca Van AsscheVan Assche – Adria Soriano BarreraSoriano Barrera (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Tiago TorresTorres (4-6 7-6² 6-3) – See score progression
• Henrique RochaRocha – Henry SearleSearle (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Martin LandaluceLandaluce – Gastao EliasElias (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• George LoffhagenLoffhagen – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (6-7² 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Matias SotoSoto – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (7-6¹ 4-6 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (7-6⁷ 6-4) – See score progression
• Moez EcharguiEchargui – Khumoun SultanovSultanov (6-7³ 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Tiago PereiraPereira – Maxwell MckennonMckennon (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Edas ButvilasButvilas – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (6-2 7-6(6)) – See score progression
• Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – Jie CuiCui (6-4 7-6³) – See score progression
• Elias YmerYmer – Jaime FariaFaria (2-6 7-6³ 7-5) – See score progression
• Eliakim CoulibalyCoulibaly – Radu AlbotAlbot (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (7-6(7) 6-4) – See score progression
• Matias SotoSoto – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (7-6(1) 4-6 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Hugo GrenierGrenier – Pedro AraujoAraujo (6-0 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Moez EcharguiEchargui – Khumoun SultanovSultanov (6-7(3) 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Edas ButvilasButvilas – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (6-2 7-6(6)) – See score progression
• Luca Van AsscheVan Assche – Adria Soriano BarreraSoriano Barrera (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Tiago TorresTorres (4-6 7-6(2) 6-3) – See score progression
• George LoffhagenLoffhagen – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (6-7(2) 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Tiago PereiraPereira – Maxwell MckennonMckennon (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Henrique RochaRocha – Henry SearleSearle (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Martin LandaluceLandaluce – Gastao EliasElias (7-5 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Moez EcharguiEchargui (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elias YmerYmer – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Matias SotoSoto – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – George LoffhagenLoffhagen (0-0) – H2H and prediction