Jan Choinski and Dmitry Popko will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Hagen Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on PLATZMANN CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jan Choinski who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jan Choinski is the pick to win this match.
Jan Choinski -> 1.64
Dmitry Popko -> 2.15

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Prediction and head to head Jan Choinski vs. Dmitry Popko

This will be the 3rd time that Jan Choinski and Dmitry Popko clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Choinski and Popko (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Choinski won 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the 1st round in the Rio De Janeiro Challenger back in 2022.

Jan Choinski

Jan Choinski

22 - 17win/loss

Hard
0-3
I Hard
3-3
Clay
16-9
Grass
3-2
Rank
128
High
126
WLLWWLWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-26 0-4 30-14 6-6 3-2 0-0
2024 33-33 4-4 24-16 5-9 0-4 0-0
2023 41-35 1-4 30-19 5-5 2-5 3-2
2022 46-21 5-5 35-14 6-2 0-0 0-0
2021 6-2 0-0 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 151, the Brit reached the 2nd round after beating Lorenzo Giustino 4-6 6-3 7-6(1).

In the 1st round against Giustino, The Brit recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-61).During the match, Choinski scored less points (1) than Giustino. In fact, the world no. 151 won 110 points vs Giustino’s. That means that Choinski was more focused during the important points. Jan was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about the service games, Choinski bagged 6 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Jan Choinski lost the serve 4 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Choinski put 55% of his first serves in, winning 64% (42/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (27/53) on the 2nd serve. Choinski broke Giustino 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Choinski has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (319-223). 16-9 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Choinski has a composed 186-107 record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Troyes Challenger where he overcame Calvin Hemery in the final 6-4 6-7(4) 6-2 and the Bunschoten Challenger where he beat Kimmer Coppejans in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3.

Jan has an aggregate 22-17 win-loss record in 2025, 16-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Hagen Challenger

The Brit has never competed in this tournament before.

Hagen Challenger
Choinski's Record

Dmitry Popko

Dmitry Popko

18 - 19win/loss

Hard
10-6
I Hard
1-1
Clay
7-11
Grass
0-1
Rank
224
High
155
LLLWLWWLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-30 15-11 8-16 1-2 0-1 0-0
2024 64-33 7-2 57-28 0-3 0-0 0-0
2023 40-20 1-1 38-18 1-1 0-0 0-0
2022 18-30 11-11 7-18 0-1 0-0 0-0
2021 34-34 0-4 27-19 7-10 0-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 221, Popko got to the 2nd round after beating Anton Matusevich 3-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 1st round against Matusevich, The Kazakhstani recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Popko scored 96 points vs Matusevich’s 91. The Kazakhstani was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about serving, Popko scored 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Dmitry Popko lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Popko put 55% of his first serves in, winning 65% (35/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (23/44) on the 2nd serve. Popko broke Matusevich 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Morelia Challenger where he beat James Duckworth in the final 1-6 6-2 6-4.

The Kazakhstani has an overall 18-19 win-loss record in 2025, 7-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Hagen Challenger
Popko's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

J.Choinski
D.Popko
2h:52
2h:52
Time on court​
2h:12
2h:12
!
2h:52
2h:52
Last match​
!
2h:12
2h:12
1
1
Match played
1
1
32
32
Games Played​
28
28
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
110
110
Total points​
96
96
110
110
Avg point​
96
96
42
42
Winners
35
35
42
42
Avg Winners​
35
35
38%
38%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
9
9
6
6
Avg Aces
9
9
0
0
Double Faults
4
4
0
0
Avg Double Faults
4
4
42/66
42/66
1st won total​
35/54
35/54
64%
64%
1st won %
65%
65%
27/53
27/53
2nd won total​
23/44
23/44
51%
51%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
4/12
4/12
BP won
4/11
4/11
4/12
4/12
Avg BP won
4/11
4/11
33%
33%
Won
36%
36%
16
16
Conceded
10
10
16
16
Avg Conceded
10
10
4
4
Broken
3
3
4
4
Avg Broken
3
3
12
12
Saved
7
7
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Choinski Popko
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 32 28
Pts 110-111 96-91
Total Points 221 187
Winners 42 35
%Winners 38% 36%

Both Choinski and Popko played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Jan Choinski dropped 1 set, while Dmitry Popko lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Choinski and Popko have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Choinski played 4 games more than Popko. Jan scored 42 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Popko blasted 35 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Choinski Popko
Aces 6 9
Avg per match 6 9
1st in 66/119 54/98
%1st in 55% 55%
1st pts 42/66 35/54
%1st pts 64% 65%
2nd pts 27/53 23/44
%2nd pts 51% 52%

Choinski managed to score 6 aces . Popko recorded 9 aces . Choinski won 64% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Popko won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Choinski Popko
Won 4 4
Converted 4/12 4/11
% Converted 33% 36%
Conceded 16 10
Saved 12 7
% Saved 75% 70%
Times Broken 4 3

Jan broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Brit surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Popko broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Popko conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Choinski
R1
Giustino		 Total
Score 4-6 6-3 7-61
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 32 32
pts 110-111 110-111
Total points 221 221
Winners 42 42
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 66/119 66/119
% 1st in 55% 55%
1st pts 42/66 42/66
% 1st pts 64% 64%
2nd pts 27/53 27/53
% 2nd pts 51% 51%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/12 4/12
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 16 16
Saved 12/16 12
Saved % 75% 75%
Times Broken 4 4
Popko
R1
Matusevich		 Total
Score 3-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 28 28
pts 96-91 96-91
Total points 187 187
Winners 35 35
%Winners 36% 36%
SERVE
Aces 9 9
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 54/98 54/98
% 1st in 55% 55%
1st pts 35/54 35/54
% 1st pts 65% 65%
2nd pts 23/44 23/44
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/11 4/11
Converted % 36% 36%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 7/10 7
Saved % 70% 70%
Times Broken 3 3

Tennis Scores in Hagen Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw

Choinski
More Stats
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Popko

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