Tung-Lin Wu and Ryuki Matsuda will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Lexington Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 3:00 pm on COURT 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tung-Lin Wu who should win in 2 sets.
Tung-Lin Wu -> 1.26
Ryuki Matsuda -> 3.55
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Prediction and head to head Tung-Lin Wu vs. Ryuki Matsuda
This will be the 2nd time that Tung-Lin Wu and Ryuki Matsuda clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Wu (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Wu won 6-0 6-2 in the 1st round in Japan F4 (Tsukuba) back in 2018.
Tung-Lin Wu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-26 | 22-18 | 3-3 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-43 | 32-40 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-28 | 21-21 | 4-5 | 3-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-24 | 26-14 | 6-3 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-26 | 10-10 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 271, Wu got to the qualifications after defeating Mac Kiger 7-5 6-4.
In the qualifications, Tung-Lin had a good straight sets win against Kiger (7-5 6-4). During the match, Wu scored 73 points vs Kiger’s 55. Tung-Lin was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Wu fired 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tung-Lin Wu lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Wu put 64% of his first serves in, winning 61% (25/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the 2nd serve. Tung-Lin broke Kiger 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Wu has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 53% of his matches (257-230). 8-11 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Wu has a compiled 194-162 match record in the last years on hard.
Wu has an overall 11-16 win-loss record in 2025, 8-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lexington Challenger
Ryuki Matsuda
21 - 19win/loss
533
468
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-32 | 28-25 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-33 | 37-32 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-36 | 35-28 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 44-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 10-3 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 503, Matsuda reached the qualifications after defeating Keenan Mayo 6-4 2-6 6-1
.In the qualifications, The Japanese defeated Mayo (6-4 2-6 6-1). During the match Matsuda scored 91 points vs Mayo’s 85. Ryuki was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Matsuda managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Ryuki Matsuda lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Matsuda put 58% of his first serves in, winning 70% (37/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (16/38) on the 2nd serve. Ryuki broke Mayo 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Ryuki’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Heraklion and M25 Heraklion.
Ryuki has an overall 20-19 win-loss record in 2025, 18-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lexington Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Wu | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 25 |
| Pts | 73-55 | 91-85 |
| Total Points | 128 | 176 |
| Winners | 25 | 37 |
| %Winners | 34% | 41% |
Both Wu and Matsuda played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Ryuki Matsuda lost 1 set while Tung-Lin Wu hasn’t lost a set so far. Wu has played 1 set(s) less than Matsuda (2 vs 3). Therefore, Wu played 3 games less than Matsuda. Wu scored 25 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Ryuki recorded 37 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Wu | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 41/64 | 53/91 |
| %1st in | 64% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 25/41 | 37/53 |
| %1st pts | 61% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 14/23 | 16/38 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 42% |
Wu managed to score 3 aces . Matsuda managed to score 3 aces . Wu won 61% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Matsuda won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Wu | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/9 | 4/10 |
| % Converted | 67% | 40% |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 3 |
| % Saved | 33% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
Tung-Lin broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Wu dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Matsuda conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Wu | |||
| Q1 Kiger | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 73-55 | 73-55 | |
| Total points | 128 | 128 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 41/64 | 41/64 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 25/41 | 25/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/23 | 14/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Matsuda | |||
| Q1 Mayo | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 2-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 91-85 | 91-85 | |
| Total points | 176 | 176 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 53/91 | 53/91 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 37/53 | 37/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/38 | 16/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Alex RybakovRybakov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tung-Lin WuWu – Ryuki MatsudaMatsuda (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hady HabibHabib – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas MejiaMejia – August HolmgrenHolmgren (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lloyd HarrisHarris – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dhakshineswar SureshSuresh – Andre IlaganIlagan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Garrett JohnsJohns – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Patrick MaloneyMaloney – Stefan DostanicDostanic (0-1) – H2H and prediction