Tiago Torres and Luca Potenza will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Porto Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on MC DONALDS. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Potenza who should win in 2 sets.
Luca Potenza -> 1.38
Tiago Torres -> 2.85
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Prediction and head to head Tiago Torres vs. Luca Potenza
This will be the 2nd time that Tiago Torres and Luca Potenza play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Potenza (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Potenza won 3-6 6-4 6-4
in the quarter in M25 Porto back in July 2025.Tiago Torres
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-15 | 15-11 | 5-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 11-6 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently unranked, Tiago got to the qualifications after beating Robin Bertrand 1-6 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications against Bertrand, The Portuguese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-3). During the match, Torres scored 74 points vs Bertrand’s 70. Torres was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Torres couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 4 double faults. Tiago Torres lost the serve 5 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Torres put 54% of his first serves in, winning 58% (22/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the 2nd serve. The Portuguese broke Bertrand 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).
Torres has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 54% of his matches (29-25). 6-2 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Torres has a composed27-23 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Tiago has a composed 7-3 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Porto Challenger
The Portuguese has never competed in this tournament before.
Luca Potenza
39 - 20win/loss
362
357
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58-31 | 53-25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-17 | 14-7 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-28 | 6-9 | 13-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-26 | 10-9 | 13-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-25 | 27-13 | 6-7 | 6-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 517, Potenza got to the qualifications after defeating Hugo Maia 6-4 6-0.
In the qualifications, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Maia (6-4 6-0). During the match Potenza scored 68 points vs Maia’s 39. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Potenza wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Luca Potenza was quite efficient on serve to win 72% (21/29) of his 1st serve and 73% (8/11) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Luca broke Maia 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Luca’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Monastir.
Potenza has a composed 39-19 win-loss record in 2025, 36-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Torres | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 16 |
| Pts | 74-70 | 68-39 |
| Total Points | 144 | 107 |
| Winners | 22 | 21 |
| %Winners | 30% | 31% |
Both Torres and Potenza played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Tiago Torres dropped 1 set while Luca Potenza hasn’t dropped a set so far. Torres has played 1 set more than Potenza (3 vs 2). Therefore, Torres played 9 games more than Potenza. Torres scored 22 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Luca recorded 21 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Torres | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 0 |
| 1st in | 38/71 | 29/40 |
| %1st in | 54% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 22/38 | 21/29 |
| %1st pts | 58% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 8/11 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 73% |
Torres didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Potenza also didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Torres won 58% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Potenza won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 73% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Torres | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/14 | 6/15 |
| % Converted | 43% | 40% |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 |
| Saved | 3 | 2 |
| % Saved | 38% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
Torres broke his opponent 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Tiago surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded. Luca broke his opponent 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. Luca conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Torres | |||
| Q1 Bertrand | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 74-70 | 74-70 | |
| Total points | 144 | 144 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 38/71 | 38/71 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 22/38 | 22/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 58% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 17/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Potenza | |||
| Q1 Maia | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 68-39 | 68-39 | |
| Total points | 107 | 107 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 29/40 | 29/40 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 21/29 | 21/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/11 | 8/11 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 73% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Radu AlbotAlbot – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adria Soriano BarreraSoriano Barrera – Marc PolmansPolmans (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Moez EcharguiEchargui – Diogo MarquesMarques (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jie CuiCui – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona – Matias SotoSoto (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tiago TorresTorres – Luca PotenzaPotenza (0-1) – H2H and prediction