Naomi Osaka and Ariana Arseneault will play each other in the 1st round of the Omnium Banque Nationale for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 3:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.042
Ariana Arseneault -> 10.75

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Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Ariana Arseneault

There is no head to head record between Naomi Osaka and Ariana Arseneault since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Naomi Osaka

Naomi Osaka

21 - 11win/loss

Hard
10-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
8-3
Grass
3-3
Rank
16
High
1
WWLWLLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 35-15 24-9 8-3 0-0 3-3 0-0
2024 22-18 13-10 5-5 1-0 3-3 0-0
2023 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 14-9 13-7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 18-6 16-4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 51, the Japanese will start her run in Toronto after she played her last match in Washington where she lost 6-4 6-2 to Raducanu in the 2nd round on the 24th of July.

Osaka has an aggregate 21-11 win-loss record in 2025, 10-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Her best result of the current season was winning the title the Malo where she beat Kaja Juvan in the final 6-1 7-5.

Talking about her overall career, Osaka has an overall 281-156 record. She has a positive 192-94 record on hard.

Previously in Toronto

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2019. See her history.

Montreal
Osaka's Record

Ariana Arseneault

Ariana Arseneault

15 - 12win/loss

Hard
7-7
I Hard
6-4
Carpet
2-1
Rank
507
High
427
LWWLWLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 21-20 10-11 0-0 9-8 0-0 2-1
2024 13-6 2-2 5-2 6-2 0-0 0-0
2023 1-3 0-1 0-0 1-2 0-0 0-0
2022 10-6 7-4 1-1 2-1 0-0 0-0
2021 5-6 5-5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 511 (career-high), the Canadian reached the 1st round after defeating Destanee Aiava 6-3 7-6(5).

In the qualifications, Ariana had a good straight sets win against Aiava (6-3 7-65). During the match Arseneault scored 71 points vs Aiava’s 65. The Canadian was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Arseneault couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Ariana Arseneault lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Arseneault put 64% of her first serves in, winning 67% (28/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 71% (17/24) on the 2nd serve. Ariana was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Aiava 3 times.

Arseneault’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in W15 Montreal.

Ariana has a compiled 15-12 win-loss record in 2025, 7-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2019. See her history.

Montreal
Arseneault's Record

Tennis Scores in Montreal

Upcoming matches in the draw