Maxwell Mckennon and Leonardo Rossi will square off in the qualifications of the Porto Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on BANCO CARREGOSA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maxwell Mckennon who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Maxwell Mckennon is the pick to win this match.
Maxwell Mckennon -> 1.72
Leonardo Rossi -> 2.03
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Maxwell Mckennon vs. Leonardo Rossi
This will be the 2nd time that Maxwell Mckennon and Leonardo Rossi fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mckennon (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Mckennon won 7-6(5) 6-4 in the 1st round in M25 Castelo Branco back in July 2025.
Maxwell Mckennon
25 - 14win/loss
559
458
LWLWLLLLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-26 | 26-20 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-22 | 30-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-13 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 530, Mckennon got to the qualifications after defeating Bogdan Pavel 6-2 6-3.
In the qualifications, The American had a good straight sets win against Pavel (6-2 6-3). During the match, Mckennon scored 61 points vs Pavel’s 42. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mckennon made 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Maxwell Mckennon was pretty efficient on serve to win 83% (29/35) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Pavel 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Mckennon has a winning win-loss record in the last 4 years having won 59% of his matches (72-50). 22-11 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Mckennon has a composed66-46 win-loss record in the last 4 years on hard.
Mckennon’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Kayseri and M25 Castelo Branco.
Maxwell has a composed 25-14 win-loss record in 2025, 22-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Porto Challenger
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Leonardo Rossi
15 - 17win/loss
745
605
LLWWLWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-28 | 18-20 | 1-4 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-27 | 22-11 | 4-7 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 40-29 | 26-14 | 14-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 50-26 | 47-20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-13 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 616, Leonardo reached the qualifications after beating Vadym Ursu 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Ursu (6-3 6-4). During the match Rossi scored 74 points vs Ursu’s 62. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Rossi made 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Leonardo Rossi lost the serve 5 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Rossi put 59% of his first serves in, winning 55% (24/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (13/31) on the 2nd serve. Leonardo broke Ursu 7 times after converting 41% of his break points (7/17).
The Italian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir.
Leonardo has an overall 15-17 win-loss record in 2025, 14-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mckennon | Rossi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 |
| Pts | 61-42 | 74-62 |
| Total Points | 103 | 136 |
| Winners | 29 | 24 |
| %Winners | 48% | 32% |
Both Mckennon and Rossi played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mckennon and Rossi have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Mckennon played 2 games less than Rossi. Maxwell scored 29 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Rossi blasted 24 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mckennon | Rossi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 35/54 | 44/75 |
| %1st in | 65% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 24/44 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 55% |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 13/31 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 42% |
Mckennon made 3 aces . Rossi fired 5 aces . Mckennon won 83% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Rossi won 55% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mckennon | Rossi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 7 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 7/17 |
| % Converted | 60% | 41% |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 100% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Mckennon broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The American pretty effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points. The Italian broke his opponent 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. Rossi conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mckennon | |||
| Q1 Pavel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 61-42 | 61-42 | |
| Total points | 103 | 103 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 35/54 | 35/54 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 29/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 11/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Rossi | |||
| Q1 Ursu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 74-62 | 74-62 | |
| Total points | 136 | 136 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 44/75 | 44/75 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 24/44 | 24/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 55% | 55% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/31 | 13/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/17 | 7/17 | |
| Converted % | 41% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 4/9 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 44% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLLLLLL
LLWWLWLLLW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gastao EliasElias – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Radu AlbotAlbot – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Moez EcharguiEchargui – Diogo MarquesMarques (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jie CuiCui – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona – Matias SotoSoto (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco RochaRocha – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tiago TorresTorres – Luca PotenzaPotenza (0-1) – H2H and prediction
