Alex De Minaur and Corentin Moutet will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Citi Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.31
Corentin Moutet -> 3.45

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Corentin Moutet

This will be the 2^nd time that Alex De Minaur and Corentin Moutet fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, De Minaur won 6-1 6-3 in the 1^st round in the Captif Challenger back in 2016.

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 13, Alex got to the semifinal after defeating Bu Yunchaokete 7-6(5) 6-2, Jiri Lehecka 7-6(4) 6-7(6) 6-4 and Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-4.

In the quarter, De Minaur had a good straight sets win against Nakashima (6-4 6-4). During the match, De Minaur scored 70 points vs Nakashima’s 52. Alex was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, De Minaur fired 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex De Minaur lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 59% of his first serves in, winning 67% (26/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the 2nd serve. De Minaur broke Nakashima 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.

De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (392-218). 15-5 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has a compiled 186-91 record in the last years on hard.

Alex’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Rotterdam.

Alex has a composed 33-13 win-loss record in 2025, 15-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Washington

Corentin Moutet

Ranked no. 59, Moutet reached the semifinal after defeating Karue Sell 6-4 6-2, Yibing Wu 4-6 6-4 6-4, Alexandre Muller 6-0 6-1, Daniel Evans 6-2 7-6(4) and Daniil Medvedev 1-6 6-4 6-4.

In the quarter against Medvedev, Corentin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-4 6-4).During the match Moutet scored less points (6) than Medvedev. In fact, the world no. 13 won 79 points vs Medvedev’s. That means that Moutet was more focused during the important points. Moutet was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Moutet struck 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Corentin Moutet lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Moutet put 65% of his first serves in, winning 61% (33/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (18/29) on the 2nd serve. Moutet broke Medvedev 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Moutet started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Moutet’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Mallorca.

The French player has a composed 27-18 win-loss record in 2025, 10-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	De Minaur	Moutet
Match played	3	4
Tot Set	7	9
Tot Games	77	79
Pts	261-211	261-208
Total Points	472	469
Winners	96	96
%Winners	37%	37%

De Minaur played 3 matches while Moutet competed in 4 matches. Moutet started his run from the qualifications while De Minaur had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur lost 1 set, while Corentin Moutet surrendered 1 set. De Minaur has played 2 set(s) less than Moutet (7 vs 9). Therefore, De Minaur played 2 games less than Moutet. The Australian scored 96 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The French player scored 96 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	De Minaur	Moutet
Aces	16	12
Avg per match	5.3	3
1st in	127/231	138/232
%1st in	55%	59%
1st pts	96/127	96/138
%1st pts	76%	70%
2nd pts	64/104	57/94
%2nd pts	62%	61%

De Minaur bagged 16 aces (5.3 per match). Moutet blasted 12 aces (3 per match). De Minaur won 76% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Moutet won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	De Minaur	Moutet
Won	10	17
Converted	10/22	17/30
% Converted	45%	57%
Conceded	13	16
Saved	8	9
% Saved	62%	56%
Times Broken	5	7

De Minaur broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. De Minaur conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 17 times with a 57% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
	R2 Yunchaokete	R3 Lehecka	1/4 Nakashima	Total
Score	7-65 6-2	7-64 6-76 6-4	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	21	36	20	77
pts	73-58	118-101	70-52	261-211
Total points	131	219	122	472
Winners	29	41	26	96
%Winners	40%	35%	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	2	8	6	16
Double Faults	1	4	2	7
1st in	40/67	48/98	39/66	127/231
% 1st in	60%	49%	59%	55%
1st pts	29/40	41/48	26/39	96/127
% 1st pts	73%	85%	67%	76%
2nd pts	18/27	30/50	16/27	64/104
% 2nd pts	67%	60%	59%	62%
Breaks
Won	3	3	4	10
Converted	3/7	3/9	4/6	10/22
Converted %	43%	33%	67%	45%
Conceded	3	5	5	13
Saved	2/3	3/5	3/5	8
Saved %	67%	60%	60%	62%
Times Broken	1	2	2	5

Moutet
	Q1 Sell	Q3 Wu	R2 Muller	R3 Evans	1/4 Medvedev	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	4-6 6-4 6-4	6-0 6-1	6-2 7-64	1-6 6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	3	12
Tot Games	18	30	13	21	27	109
pts	62-47	–	53-25	67-51	79-85	261-208
Total points	109	0	78	118	164	469
Winners	25		15	23	33	96
%Winners	40%	0%	28%	34%	42%	37%
SERVE
Aces	4	0	1	3	4	12
Double Faults	0		2	5	3	10
1st in	32/51	/	23/42	29/56	54/83	138/232
% 1st in	63%	0%	55%	52%	65%	59%
1st pts	25/32	/	15/23	23/29	33/54	96/138
% 1st pts	78%	0%	65%	79%	61%	70%
2nd pts	11/19	/	13/19	15/27	18/29	57/94
% 2nd pts	58%	0%	68%	56%	62%	61%
Breaks
Won	4		6	4	3	17
Converted	4/6	/	6/10	4/7	3/7	17/30
Converted %	67%	0%	60%	57%	43%	57%
Conceded	3		2	2	9	16
Saved	2/3	0/	1/2	0/2	6/9	9
Saved %	67%	–	50%	0%	67%	61%
Times Broken	1		1	2	3	7

Tennis Scores in Washington

• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Taylor FritzFritz (7-6³ 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Neal Skupski/John-Patrick SmithSkupski/John-Patrick Smith – Yuki Bhambri/Michael VenusBhambri/Michael Venus (3-6 6-4 10-7) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (7-6² 6-4) – See score progression
• Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni – Flavio Cobolli/Alejandro Davidovich FokinaCobolli/Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Hugo Nys/Edouard Roger-VasselinNys/Edouard Roger-Vasselin – Matthew Ebden/John PeersEbden/John Peers (4-6 6-3 10-6) – See score progression
• Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Alexander Erler/Robert GallowayErler/Robert Galloway (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (7-6(3) 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (7-6(2) 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (2-0) – H2H and prediction