Elena Rybakina and Leylah Annie Fernandez will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Mubadala Citi DC Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:30 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.3
Leylah Annie Fernandez -> 3.52
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Leylah Annie Fernandez
This will be the 3rd time that Elena Rybakina and Leylah Annie Fernandez clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Rybakina and Annie (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Annie won 3-6 7-6(3) 6-4 in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in 2024.
Highlights Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Elena Rybakina – Cincinnati 15-August-2024
Elena Rybakina
33 - 14win/loss
5
3
WWWWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 59-19 | 37-13 | 9-3 | 8-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Rybakina reached the semifinal after beating Victoria Mboko 6-3 7-5 and Magdalena Frech 6-3 6-3.
In the quarter, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Frech (6-3 6-3). During the match, Rybakina scored 68 points vs Frech’s 48. Elena was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakina recorded 7 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Elena Rybakina was pretty efficient on serve to win 83% (30/36) of her 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rybakina broke Frech 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rybakina hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Rybakina has a marvellous record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (358-154). 17-7 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has an aggregate 166-77 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Strasbourg where she beat Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1.
Elena has an aggregate 33-13 win-loss record in 2025, 17-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Washington
Rybakina has never competed in this tournament before.
Leylah Annie Fernandez
20 - 17win/loss
22
13
LWWWLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-25 | 28-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-25 | 18-15 | 6-6 | 0-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-24 | 28-16 | 5-6 | 6-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-15 | 12-10 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 19-10 | 3-5 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36, Annie got to the semifinal after beating Maya Joint 6-3 6-3, Jessica Pegula 6-3 1-6 7-5 and Taylor Townsend 6-4 7-6(4).
In the quarter, Annie had a good straight sets win against Townsend (6-4 7-64). During the match Annie scored 89 points vs Townsend’s 82. Annie was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Annie made 5 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Leylah Annie Fernandez lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Annie put 63% of her first serves in, winning 64% (28/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the 2nd serve. The Canadian broke Townsend 5 times after converting 22% of her break points (5/23).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Annie has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
The Canadian has an overall 19-17 win-loss record in 2025, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Annie |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 69 |
| Pts | 139-109 | 250-223 |
| Total Points | 248 | 473 |
| Winners | 53 | 93 |
| %Winners | 38% | 37% |
Rybakina played 2 matches while Annie competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Leylah Annie Fernandez surrendered 1 set while Elena Rybakina hasn’t lost a set so far. Rybakina has played 3 set(s) less than Annie (4 vs 7). Therefore, Rybakina played 30 games less than Annie. Rybakina scored 53 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Annie bagged 93 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Annie |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 70/115 | 128/215 |
| %1st in | 61% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 53/70 | 93/128 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 25/45 | 45/87 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 52% |
Rybakina managed to score 10 aces (5 per match). Annie managed to score 15 aces (5 per match). Rybakina won 76% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Annie won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Annie |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 11 |
| Converted | 7/14 | 11/38 |
| % Converted | 50% | 29% |
| Conceded | 6 | 15 |
| Saved | 4 | 8 |
| % Saved | 67% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 7 |
The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Rybakina dropped her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Annie broke her opponents 11 times with a 29% conversion rate. Annie conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | ||||
| R2 Mboko |
1/4 Frech |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 18 | 39 | |
| pts | 71-61 | 68-48 | 139-109 | |
| Total points | 132 | 116 | 248 | |
| Winners | 23 | 30 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 44% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 34/59 | 36/56 | 70/115 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 64% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 23/34 | 30/36 | 53/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 83% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 11/20 | 25/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 55% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/5 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 60% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 3/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 100% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Annie | |||||
| R1 Joint |
R2 Pegula |
1/4 Townsend |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 1-6 7-5 | 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 28 | 23 | 69 | |
| pts | 68-50 | 93-91 | 89-82 | 250-223 | |
| Total points | 118 | 184 | 171 | 473 | |
| Winners | 29 | 36 | 28 | 93 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 39% | 31% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 9 | 5 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 37/54 | 47/91 | 44/70 | 128/215 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 52% | 63% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 29/37 | 36/47 | 28/44 | 93/128 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 77% | 64% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 22/44 | 14/26 | 45/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 50% | 54% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/8 | 5/23 | 11/38 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 38% | 22% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 7 | 7 | 15 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/7 | 3/7 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 57% | 43% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
LWWWLWWWWW Tennis Scores in Washington
- Taylor Townsend/Shuai ZhangTownsend/Shuai Zhang – Emma Raducanu/Elena RybakinaRaducanu/Elena Rybakina (4-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Federico CoriaCoria – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Mario Vilella MartinezVilella Martinez (7-5 4-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Goncalo Oliveira/Andrei VasilevskiOliveira/Andrei Vasilevski – Ariel Behar/Gonzalo EscobarBehar/Gonzalo Escobar (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
