Nicolas Alvarez Varona and Aryan Shah will face off in the semifinal of the Segovia Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:30 pm on PISTA PEDRO MUNOZ. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Alvarez Varona who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Nicolas Alvarez Varona is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona -> 1.51
Aryan Shah -> 2.42

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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs. Aryan Shah

There is no head to head record between Nicolas Alvarez Varona and Aryan Shah since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona

Ranked no. 298, Alvarez Varona reached the semifinal after beating Fajing Sun 6-3 6-2, Aziz Dougaz w/o and Johannus Monday 6-4 7-6(5).

In the quarter, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Monday (6-4 7-6⁵). During the match, Alvarez Varona scored 85 points vs Monday’s 78. Alvarez Varona was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alvarez Varona scored 4 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Nicolas Alvarez Varona lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Alvarez Varona put 71% of his first serves in, winning 64% (35/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the 2nd serve. Nicolas broke Monday 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nicolas hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Alvarez Varona has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (223-165). 12-5 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alvarez Varona has an overall 92-55 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The Spaniard’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Marburg.

Alvarez Varona has an overall 23-17 win-loss record in 2025, 12-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Segovia Challenger

Aryan Shah

Ranked no. 442 (career-high), Aryan reached the semifinal after beating Duje Ajdukovic 4-6 6-4 6-4, Saba Purtseladze 6-4 6-4 and Oliver Crawford 7-6(4) 6-4.

In the quarter, The Indian had a good straight sets win against Crawford (7-6⁴ 6-4). During the match Shah scored 69 points vs Crawford’s 64. Shah was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Shah bagged 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Aryan Shah lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Shah put 46% of his first serves in, winning 79% (26/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (16/39) on the 2nd serve. Shah was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Crawford 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Shah has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Shah’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Ahmedabad.

Shah has a composed 31-16 win-loss record in 2025, 26-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Segovia Challenger

The Indian has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alvarez Varona	Shah
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	4	7
Tot Games	40	73
Pts	141-116	221-192
Total Points	257	413
Winners	62	83
%Winners	44%	38%

Alvarez Varona played 2 matches while Shah competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Aryan Shah dropped 1 set while Nicolas Alvarez Varona hasn’t lost a set so far. Alvarez Varona has played 3 set(s) less than Shah (4 vs 7). Therefore, Alvarez Varona played 33 games less than Shah. Alvarez Varona scored 62 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Aryan scored 83 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alvarez Varona	Shah
Aces	10	19
Avg per match	5	6.3
1st in	86/123	102/202
%1st in	70%	50%
1st pts	62/86	83/102
%1st pts	72%	81%
2nd pts	21/37	56/100
%2nd pts	57%	56%

Alvarez Varona recorded 10 aces (5 per match). Shah fired 19 aces (6.3 per match). Alvarez Varona won 72% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Shah won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alvarez Varona	Shah
Won	6	10
Converted	6/16	10/17
% Converted	38%	59%
Conceded	7	12
Saved	5	6
% Saved	71%	50%
Times Broken	2	6

Nicolas broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Nicolas dropped his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Indian broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Aryan conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Alvarez Varona
	R1 Sun	R2 Dougaz	1/4 Monday	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	w/o	6-4 7-65
Tot Set	2	–	2	4
Tot Games	17	–	23	40
pts	56-38	–	85-78	141-116
Total points	94	–	163	257
Winners	27	–	35	62
%Winners	48%	–	41%	44%
SERVE
Aces	6	–	4	10
Double Faults	1	–	6	7
1st in	31/45	–	55/78	86/123
% 1st in	69%	–	71%	70%
1st pts	27/31	–	35/55	62/86
% 1st pts	87%	–	64%	72%
2nd pts	9/14	–	12/23	21/37
% 2nd pts	64%	–	52%	57%
Breaks
Won	3	–	3	6
Converted	3/7	–	3/9	6/16
Converted %	43%	–	33%	38%
Conceded	0	–	7	7
Saved	0/0	–	5/7	5
Saved %	–	–	71%	24%
Times Broken	0	–	2	2

Shah
	R1 Ajdukovic	R2 Purtseladze	1/4 Crawford	Total
Score	4-6 6-4 6-4	6-4 6-4	7-64 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	30	20	23	73
pts	89-77	63-51	69-64	221-192
Total points	166	114	133	413
Winners	39	18	26	83
%Winners	44%	29%	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	10	2	7	19
Double Faults	0	1	4	5
1st in	45/78	24/52	33/72	102/202
% 1st in	58%	46%	46%	50%
1st pts	39/45	18/24	26/33	83/102
% 1st pts	87%	75%	79%	81%
2nd pts	19/33	21/28	16/39	56/100
% 2nd pts	58%	75%	41%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	3	4	10
Converted	3/6	3/7	4/4	10/17
Converted %	50%	43%	100%	59%
Conceded	4	4	4	12
Saved	2/4	3/4	1/4	6
Saved %	50%	75%	25%	50%
Times Broken	2	1	3	6

Tennis Scores in Segovia Challenger

• Arthur Reymond/Luca SanchezReymond/Luca Sanchez – Mateus Alves/Arthur BouquierAlves/Arthur Bouquier (6-4 4-6 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings

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