Luciano Darderi and Camilo Ugo Carabelli will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Plava Laguna Croatia Open for the 8^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 6:30 pm on G IVANISEVIC STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luciano Darderi who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luciano Darderi is the pick to win this match.
Luciano Darderi -> 1.44
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 2.79

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Luciano Darderi vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli

This will be the 8^th time that Luciano Darderi and Camilo Ugo Carabelli play each other. The head to head is 4-3

for Darderi (see full H2H stats), 4-3 on clay.

The last time that they played, Darderi won 6-4 6-3 in the 1^st round in the Turin Challenger back in 2024.

Luciano Darderi

Ranked no. 46, Darderi got to the semifinal after defeating Chun Hsin Tseng 7-5 6-0 and Dino Prizmic 1-6 6-2 6-3.

In the quarter against Prizmic, Luciano recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-2 6-3).During the match, Darderi scored less points (1) than Prizmic. In fact, the world no. 46 won 73 points vs Prizmic’s. That means that Darderi was more focused during the important points. Luciano was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Darderi bagged 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Luciano Darderi lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Darderi put 57% of his first serves in, winning 69% (29/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (13/32) on the 2nd serve. Darderi broke Prizmic 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.

Darderi has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 60% of his matches (206-136). 23-11 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Darderi has a composed175-98 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Marrakech where he overcame Tallon Griekspoor in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(4) and in Bastad where he overcame Jesper De Jong in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3.

Luciano has a compiled 26-20 win-loss record in 2025, 23-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Umag

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Ranked no. 51 (career-high), Camilo reached the semifinal after beating Francesco Passaro 6-7(5) 6-2 6-3 and Pablo Llamas Ruiz 6-4 5-2 ret..

In the quarter against Llamas Ruiz, Camilo had a free pass after Llamas Ruiz retired on a 6-4 5-2 . scoreline.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Rosario Challenger where he overcame Hugo Dellien in the final 3-6 6-3 6-2.

The Argentine has an overall 30-19 win-loss record in 2025, 27-13 on clay (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Umag

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Darderi	Ugo
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	6
Tot Games	42	47
Pts	144-125	165-134
Total Points	269	299
Winners	55	64
%Winners	38%	39%

Both Darderi and Ugo played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Luciano Darderi conceded 1 set, while Camilo Ugo Carabelli surrendered 1 set. Darderi has played 1 set(s) less than Ugo (5 vs 6). Therefore, Darderi played 5 games less than Ugo. The Italian scored 55 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Ugo recorded 64 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Darderi	Ugo
Aces	11	5
Avg per match	5.5	2.5
1st in	78/133	91/144
%1st in	59%	63%
1st pts	55/78	64/91
%1st pts	71%	70%
2nd pts	28/55	31/53
%2nd pts	51%	58%

Darderi fired 11 aces (5.5 per match). Ugo bagged 5 aces (2.5 per match). Darderi won 71% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Ugo won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Darderi	Ugo
Won	9	9
Converted	9/19	9/19
% Converted	47%	47%
Conceded	8	7
Saved	4	4
% Saved	50%	57%
Times Broken	4	3

The Italian broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Ugo broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. Camilo conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.

Darderi
	R2 Hsin	1/4 Prizmic	Total
Score	7-5 6-0	1-6 6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	18	24	42
pts	71-51	73-74	144-125
Total points	122	147	269
Winners	26	29	55
%Winners	37%	40%	38%
SERVE
Aces	5	6	11
Double Faults	1	2	3
1st in	36/59	42/74	78/133
% 1st in	61%	57%	59%
1st pts	26/36	29/42	55/78
% 1st pts	72%	69%	71%
2nd pts	15/23	13/32	28/55
% 2nd pts	65%	41%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	5	9
Converted	4/11	5/8	9/19
Converted %	36%	63%	47%
Conceded	2	6	8
Saved	2/2	2/6	4
Saved %	100%	33%	67%
Times Broken	0	4	4

Ugo
	R2 Passaro	1/4 Llamas Ruiz	Total
Score	6-75 6-2 6-3	6-4 5-2 ret.
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	30	17	47
pts	104-88	61-46	165-134
Total points	192	107	299
Winners	46	18	64
%Winners	44%	30%	39%
SERVE
Aces	2	3	5
Double Faults	2	2	4
1st in	67/101	24/43	91/144
% 1st in	66%	56%	63%
1st pts	46/67	18/24	64/91
% 1st pts	69%	75%	70%
2nd pts	19/34	12/19	31/53
% 2nd pts	56%	63%	58%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/12	4/7	9/19
Converted %	42%	57%	47%
Conceded	6	1	7
Saved	4/6	0/1	4
Saved %	67%	0%	34%
Times Broken	2	1	3

Tennis Scores in Umag

• Romain Arneodo/Manuel GuinardArneodo/Manuel Guinard – Theo Arribage/Orlando LuzArribage/Orlando Luz (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Carlos TabernerTaberner – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – (3-4) – H2H and prediction