Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Mathys Erhard will play each other in the quarter of the Tampere Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolai Budkov Kjaer who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is the pick to win this match.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer -> 1.34
Mathys Erhard -> 3.04
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Prediction and head to head Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Mathys Erhard
There is no head to head record between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Mathys Erhard since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
25 - 18win/loss
136
132
LLWWLLLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 52-29 | 7-2 | 18-12 | 24-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-11 | 5-5 | 19-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 253 (career-high), Budkov Kjaer got to the quarter after defeating Alex Barrena 6-3 6-2 and Frederico Ferreira Silva 7-5 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Budkov Kjaer had a good straight sets win against Ferreira Silva (7-5 6-4). During the match, Budkov Kjaer scored 85 points vs Ferreira Silva’s 78. The Norwegian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Budkov Kjaer managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer lost the serve 5 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Budkov Kjaer put 62% of his first serves in, winning 54% (28/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. Budkov Kjaer broke Ferreira Silva 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Norwegian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.
Budkov Kjaer has a solid match record in the last 3 years having won 62% of his matches (51-31). 10-9 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Budkov Kjaer has an overall29-16 win-loss record in the last 3 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Glasgow Challenger where he defeated Viktor Durasovic in the final 6-4 6-3.
Budkov Kjaer has an aggregate 25-18 win-loss record in 2025, 10-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tampere Challenger
Budkov Kjaer has never competed in this tournament before.
Mathys Erhard
18 - 18win/loss
330
249
LWLWWWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-30 | 10-8 | 22-20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 62-28 | 2-2 | 59-25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 53-35 | 4-4 | 49-28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-22 | 10-7 | 33-13 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-20 | 10-5 | 31-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 262 (career-high), the French player reached the quarter after beating Oskari Paldanius 6-3 6-1 and Gauthier Onclin 6-2 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Onclin (6-2 7-5). During the match Erhard scored 83 points vs Onclin’s 73. Mathys was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Erhard bagged 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Mathys Erhard lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Erhard put 69% of his first serves in, winning 68% (42/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (10/28) on the 2nd serve. Erhard broke Onclin 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Mathys’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Tallahassee Challenger.
Erhard has an overall 18-18 win-loss record in 2025, 15-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tampere Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Budkov Kjaer | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 36 |
| Pts | 148-125 | 153-121 |
| Total Points | 273 | 274 |
| Winners | 51 | 65 |
| %Winners | 34% | 42% |
Both Budkov Kjaer and Erhard played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Budkov Kjaer and Erhard have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Budkov Kjaer played 3 games more than Erhard. Budkov Kjaer scored 51 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The French player bagged 65 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Budkov Kjaer | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2 |
| 1st in | 94/148 | 92/144 |
| %1st in | 64% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 51/94 | 65/92 |
| %1st pts | 54% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 30/54 | 23/52 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 44% |
Budkov Kjaer fired 4 aces (2 per match). Erhard bagged 4 aces (2 per match). Budkov Kjaer won 54% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Erhard won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Budkov Kjaer | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 10 |
| Converted | 12/23 | 10/18 |
| % Converted | 52% | 56% |
| Conceded | 18 | 13 |
| Saved | 11 | 10 |
| % Saved | 61% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 3 |
Nicolai broke his opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. Budkov Kjaer surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded. Mathys broke his opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Budkov Kjaer | ||||
| R1 Barrena |
R2 Ferreira Silva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 22 | 39 | |
| pts | 63-47 | 85-78 | 148-125 | |
| Total points | 110 | 163 | 273 | |
| Winners | 23 | 28 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 33% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 42/64 | 52/84 | 94/148 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 62% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 23/42 | 28/52 | 51/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 55% | 54% | 54% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/22 | 14/32 | 30/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 44% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 7/16 | 12/23 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 44% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 12 | 18 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 7/12 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 58% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Erhard | ||||
| R1 Paldanius |
R2 Onclin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 20 | 36 | |
| pts | 70-48 | 83-73 | 153-121 | |
| Total points | 118 | 156 | 274 | |
| Winners | 23 | 42 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 51% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 30/54 | 62/90 | 92/144 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 69% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 42/62 | 65/92 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 68% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 10/28 | 23/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 36% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/8 | 10/18 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 63% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 10 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 8/10 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 80% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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