Frances Tiafoe and Flavio Cobolli will square off in the 3rd round of the Citi Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Frances Tiafoe who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Frances Tiafoe is the pick to win this match.
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.66
Flavio Cobolli -> 2.22

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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Flavio Cobolli

This will be the 2nd time that Frances Tiafoe and Flavio Cobolli face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Tiafoe (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Tiafoe won 6-4 6-2 in the quarter in Delray beach back in 2024.

Highlights Frances Tiafoe vs Flavio Cobolli – Delray beach 16-February-2024

Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

20 - 15win/loss

Hard
7-5
I Hard
1-1
Clay
11-7
Grass
1-2
Rank
30
High
10
LLLLLWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-23 13-13 11-7 1-1 1-2 0-0
2024 33-27 21-13 5-6 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 40-21 21-10 8-4 4-5 7-2 0-0
2022 35-25 19-11 8-6 5-5 3-3 0-0
2021 42-27 19-13 4-7 10-4 9-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 11, the American reached the 3rd round after defeating Aleksandar Kovacevic 7-5 3-6 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Tiafoe defeated Kovacevic (7-5 3-6 6-3). During the match, Tiafoe scored 87 points vs Kovacevic’s 77. Francis was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Tiafoe struck 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Frances Tiafoe was extremely effective on serve to win 87% (40/46) of his 1st serve and 62% (21/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Francis broke Kovacevic twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Tiafoe has good record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (321-239). 6-5 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Tiafoe has a composed 166-113 record in the last years on hard.

Tiafoe’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Houston.

Tiafoe has an overall 19-15 win-loss record in 2025, 6-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Washington

Washington
Tiafoe's Record

Flavio Cobolli

Flavio Cobolli

25 - 19win/loss

Hard
4-8
I Hard
0-2
Clay
15-6
Grass
6-3
Rank
22
High
17
LLWLWLWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-29 9-13 15-6 3-7 6-3 0-0
2024 43-29 26-13 10-9 4-3 3-4 0-0
2023 56-36 10-6 43-23 3-6 0-1 0-0
2022 35-34 6-4 24-21 5-8 0-1 0-0
2021 46-30 5-4 39-21 2-5 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 18 (career-high), Flavio reached the 3rd round after beating Yoshihito Nishioka 6-2 7-6(3).

In the 2nd round, Flavio had a good straight sets win against Nishioka (6-2 7-63). During the match Cobolli scored 75 points vs Nishioka’s 60. Flavio was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Cobolli bagged 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Flavio Cobolli lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Cobolli put 55% of his first serves in, winning 82% (32/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (13/32) on the 2nd serve. Flavio broke Nishioka 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

His best result of the year was winning the title in Bucharest where he overcame Sebastian Baez in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Hamburg where he beat Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-4.

Flavio has an overall 25-18 win-loss record in 2025, 4-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Washington

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2024. See his history.

Washington
Cobolli's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

F.Tiafoe
F.Cobolli
1h:55
1h:55
Time on court​
1h:29
1h:29
1h:55
1h:55
Last match​
1h:29
1h:29
1
1
Match played
1
1
30
30
Games Played​
21
21
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
87
87
Total points​
75
75
87
87
Avg point​
75
75
40
40
Winners
32
32
40
40
Avg Winners​
32
32
46%
46%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
12
12
Aces
10
10
!
12
12
Avg Aces
10
10
3
3
Double Faults
5
5
3
3
Avg Double Faults
5
5
40/46
40/46
1st won total​
32/39
32/39
!
87%
87%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
21/34
21/34
2nd won total​
13/32
13/32
!
62%
62%
2nd won %
41%
41%
-- Break Points --
2/5
2/5
BP won
4/5
4/5
2/5
2/5
Avg BP won
4/5
4/5
40%
40%
Won
!
80%
80%
3
3
Conceded
5
5
3
3
Avg Conceded
5
5
1
1
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
2
2
Saved
3
3
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Tiafoe Cobolli
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 30 21
Pts 87-77 75-60
Total Points 164 135
Winners 40 32
%Winners 46% 43%

Both Tiafoe and Cobolli played 1 match. At the moment, Frances Tiafoe lost 1 set while Flavio Cobolli hasn’t conceded a set so far. Tiafoe has played 1 set more than Cobolli (3 vs 2). Therefore, Tiafoe played 9 games more than Cobolli. Tiafoe scored 40 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Flavio struck 32 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Tiafoe Cobolli
Aces 12 10
Avg per match 12 10
1st in 46/80 39/71
%1st in 58% 55%
1st pts 40/46 32/39
%1st pts 87% 82%
2nd pts 21/34 13/32
%2nd pts 62% 41%

Tiafoe fired 12 aces . Cobolli blasted 10 aces . Tiafoe won 87% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Cobolli won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Tiafoe Cobolli
Won 2 4
Converted 2/5 4/5
% Converted 40% 80%
Conceded 3 5
Saved 2 3
% Saved 67% 60%
Times Broken 1 2

The American broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Cobolli broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Cobolli conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Tiafoe
R2
Kovacevic		 Total
Score 7-5 3-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 30
pts 87-77 87-77
Total points 164 164
Winners 40 40
%Winners 46% 46%
SERVE
Aces 12 12
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 46/80 46/80
% 1st in 58% 58%
1st pts 40/46 40/46
% 1st pts 87% 87%
2nd pts 21/34 21/34
% 2nd pts 62% 62%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/5 2/5
Converted % 40% 40%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 2/3 2
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 1
Cobolli
R2
Nishioka		 Total
Score 6-2 7-63
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 21 21
pts 75-60 75-60
Total points 135 135
Winners 32 32
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 39/71 39/71
% 1st in 55% 55%
1st pts 32/39 32/39
% 1st pts 82% 82%
2nd pts 13/32 13/32
% 2nd pts 41% 41%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/5 4/5
Converted % 80% 80%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 3/5 3
Saved % 60% 60%
Times Broken 2 2

Tennis Scores in Washington

Upcoming matches in the draw

Tiafoe
More Stats
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Cobolli

Click for FULL STATS