Daniil Medvedev and Yibing Wu will face off in the 3rd round of the Citi Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.28
Yibing Wu -> 3.68

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Yibing Wu

This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Yibing Wu fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Medvedev won 6-4 6-2 6-2 in the 3rd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2022.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Yibing Wu – U.S. Open 02-September-2022

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev

25 - 14win/loss

Hard
11-5
I Hard
3-2
Clay
6-4
Grass
5-3
Rank
13
High
1
LWWLWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-23 20-12 6-4 10-4 5-3 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0

Ranked no. 14, Medvedev got to the 3rd round after beating Reilly Opelka 3-6 7-5 6-1.

In the 2nd round against Opelka, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-1). During the match, Medvedev scored 93 points vs Opelka’s 82. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev scored 14 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 87% (40/46) of his 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Opelka 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).

Medvedev has a good match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (481-196). 10-5 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a composed 233-73 record in the last years on hard.

Daniil’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Halle.

Daniil has a composed 24-14 win-loss record in 2025, 10-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Washington

Washington
Medvedev's Record

Yibing Wu

Yibing Wu

18 - 6win/loss

Hard
16-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-2
Rank
181
High
54
LLWWWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-10 23-8 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 9-5 7-4 2-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 18-17 5-7 3-5 9-1 1-4 0-0
2022 40-7 20-5 10-2 10-0 0-0 0-0
2021 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 243, the Chinese got to the 3rd round after beating Mitchell Krueger 4-6 6-3 7-6(3), Corentin Moutet 4-6 6-4 6-4, Gael Monfils 6-3 6-1 and Alexei Popyrin 7-5 5-7 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Yibing defeated Popyrin (7-5 5-7 6-3). During the match Wu scored 107 points vs Popyrin’s 96. Yibing was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.

About the serving games, Wu struck 8 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Yibing Wu lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Wu put 58% of his first serves in, winning 68% (44/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (29/48) on the 2nd serve. Wu broke Popyrin 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Chinese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Tyler Challenger where he beat Yi Zhou in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3.

Wu has a composed 18-5 win-loss record in 2025, 16-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Washington
Wu's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Medvedev
Y.Wu
2h:00
2h:00
Time on court​
!
9h:14
9h:14
2h:00
2h:00
Last match​
!
2h:37
2h:37
1
1
Match played
!
4
4
28
28
Games Played​
111
111
3
3
Set played​​
11
11
93
93
Total points​
379
379
93
93
Avg point​
94.8
94.8
40
40
Winners
149
149
40
40
Avg Winners​
37.3
37.3
43%
43%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
26
26
!
14
14
Avg Aces
6.5
6.5
6
6
Double Faults
17
17
!
6
6
Avg Double Faults
4.3
4.3
40/46
40/46
1st won total​
149/209
149/209
!
87%
87%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
16/30
16/30
2nd won total​
83/142
83/142
53%
53%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
3/13
3/13
BP won
15/33
15/33
3/13
3/13
Avg BP won
3.8/8.3
3.8/8.3
!
23%
23%
Won
45%
45%
2
2
Conceded
35
35
2
2
Avg Conceded
8.8
8.8
1
1
Broken
9
9
1
1
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
1
1
Saved
26
26

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Wu
Match played 1 4
Tot Set 3 11
Tot Games 28 111
Pts 93-82 379-326
Total Points 175 705
Winners 40 149
%Winners 43% 39%

Medvedev played 1 match while Wu competed in 4 matches. Wu started his run from the qualifications while Medvedev had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev dropped 1 set, while Yibing Wu lost 3 sets. Medvedev has played 8 set(s) less than Wu (3 vs 11). Therefore, Medvedev played 83 games less than Wu. The Russian scored 40 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Wu bagged 149 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Wu
Aces 14 26
Avg per match 14 6.5
1st in 46/76 209/351
%1st in 61% 60%
1st pts 40/46 149/209
%1st pts 87% 71%
2nd pts 16/30 83/142
%2nd pts 53% 58%

Medvedev bagged 14 aces . Wu blasted 26 aces (6.5 per match). Medvedev won 87% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Wu won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Wu
Won 3 15
Converted 3/13 15/33
% Converted 23% 45%
Conceded 2 35
Saved 1 26
% Saved 50% 74%
Times Broken 1 9

Medvedev broke his opponent 3 times with a 23% conversion rate. Daniil lost his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Chinese broke his opponents 15 times with a 45% conversion rate. Wu conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
R2
Opelka
Total
Score 3-6 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 28 28
pts 93-82 93-82
Total points 175 175
Winners 40 40
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 14 14
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 46/76 46/76
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 40/46 40/46
% 1st pts 87% 87%
2nd pts 16/30 16/30
% 2nd pts 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/13 3/13
Converted % 23% 23%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 1/2 1
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 1
Wu
Q1
Krueger
Q3
Moutet
R1
Monfils
R2
Popyrin
Total
Score 4-6 6-3 7-63 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 6-1 7-5 5-7 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 2 3 11
Tot Games 32 30 16 33 111
pts 103-92 110-98 59-40 107-96 379-326
Total points 195 208 99 203 705
Winners 41 38 26 44 149
%Winners 40% 35% 44% 41% 39%
SERVE
Aces 15 2 1 8 26
Double Faults 3 4 3 7 17
1st in 53/95 59/93 32/50 65/113 209/351
% 1st in 56% 63% 64% 58% 60%
1st pts 41/53 38/59 26/32 44/65 149/209
% 1st pts 77% 64% 81% 68% 71%
2nd pts 27/42 18/34 9/18 29/48 83/142
% 2nd pts 64% 53% 50% 60% 58%
Breaks
Won 2 6 4 3 15
Converted 2/7 6/16 4/5 3/5 15/33
Converted % 29% 38% 80% 60% 45%
Conceded 7 14 4 10 35
Saved 5/7 9/14 4/4 8/10 26
Saved % 71% 64% 100% 80% 315%
Times Broken 2 5 0 2 9

Tennis Scores in Washington

Upcoming matches in the draw