Aziz Dougaz and Nicolas Alvarez Varona will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Segovia Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:00 pm on PISTA PEDRO MUNOZ. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aziz Dougaz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aziz Dougaz is the pick to win this match.
Aziz Dougaz -> 1.86
Nicolas Alvarez Varona -> 1.86
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Prediction and head to head Aziz Dougaz vs. Nicolas Alvarez Varona
This will be the 2nd time that Aziz Dougaz and Nicolas Alvarez Varona play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Dougaz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Dougaz won 6-2 1-6 6-2 in the quarter in M15 Monastir back in 2019.
Aziz Dougaz
29 - 23win/loss
316
185
WWWWWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-23 | 25-17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 49-31 | 17-14 | 25-12 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-38 | 28-17 | 9-10 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 68-33 | 53-23 | 7-4 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 46-29 | 38-17 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 225, Dougaz got to the 2nd round after beating Robin Catry 6-3 3-6 7-5.
In the 1st round, The Tunisian defeated Catry (6-3 3-6 7-5). During the match, Dougaz scored 93 points vs Catry’s 86. Aziz was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Dougaz fired 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Aziz Dougaz was extremely effective on serve to win 86% (43/50) of his 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Tunisian broke Catry twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Dougaz has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (379-249). 25-17 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dougaz has an overall 235-139 record in the last years on hard.
The Tunisian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Santo Domingo,the Abidjan 2 Challenger,M25 Monastir and M15 Monastir.
Dougaz has a compiled 29-23 win-loss record in 2025, 25-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Segovia Challenger
Dougaz has never competed in this tournament before.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
22 - 17win/loss
367
219
LWWWLWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-24 | 13-7 | 17-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 4-3 | 36-19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-9 | 3-2 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-34 | 3-7 | 13-19 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-26 | 11-8 | 29-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 298, the Spaniard reached the 2nd round after beating Fajing Sun 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-3 6-2). During the match Alvarez scored 56 points vs Sun’s 38. Nicolas was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Alvarez blasted 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Nicolas Alvarez Varona was quite effective on serve to win 87% (27/31) of his 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Sun 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
The Spaniard’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Marburg.
Alvarez has an overall 22-17 win-loss record in 2025, 11-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Segovia Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dougaz | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 17 |
| Pts | 93-86 | 56-38 |
| Total Points | 179 | 94 |
| Winners | 43 | 27 |
| %Winners | 46% | 48% |
Both Dougaz and Alvarez played 1 match. At the moment, Aziz Dougaz conceded 1 set while Nicolas Alvarez Varona hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Dougaz has played 1 set more than Alvarez (3 vs 2). Therefore, Dougaz played 13 games more than Alvarez. Dougaz scored 43 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard blasted 27 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dougaz | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 6 |
| 1st in | 50/81 | 31/45 |
| %1st in | 62% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 43/50 | 27/31 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 87% |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 9/14 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 64% |
Dougaz scored 5 aces . Alvarez fired 6 aces . Dougaz won 86% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Alvarez won 87% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dougaz | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 3 |
| Converted | 2/7 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 29% | 43% |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 |
| Saved | 1 | 0 |
| % Saved | 50% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The Tunisian broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Dougaz surrendered his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Alvarez was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Dougaz | |||
| R1 Catry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 93-86 | 93-86 | |
| Total points | 179 | 179 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 50/81 | 50/81 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 43/50 | 43/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 16/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Alvarez | |||
| R1 Sun |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 56-38 | 56-38 | |
| Total points | 94 | 94 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 31/45 | 31/45 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 27/31 | 27/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 9/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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LWWWLWLLLW Tennis Scores in Segovia Challenger
- Aryan ShahShah – Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Robin BertrandBertrand (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aziz DougazDougaz – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Raul BrancaccioBrancaccio – Adria Soriano BarreraSoriano Barrera (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo MartineauMartineau – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- George LoffhagenLoffhagen – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
