Lorenzo Sonego and Matteo Arnaldi will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the Citi Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Sonego who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Sonego is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Sonego -> 1.81
Matteo Arnaldi -> 2

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Sonego vs. Matteo Arnaldi

There is no head to head record between Lorenzo Sonego and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Lorenzo Sonego

Ranked no. 37, the Italian will start his run in Washington after he played his last match at Wimbledon where he lost 3-6 6-1 7-6(1) 7-5 to Shelton in the 4^th round on the 7^th of July.

The Italian has an aggregate 14-17 win-loss record in 2025, 7-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Talking about his overall career, Sonego has an overall 376-297 record. He has a negative 81-84 record on hard.

Previously in Washington

Lorenzo has never competed in this tournament before.

Matteo Arnaldi

Ranked no. 44, Arnaldi got to the 2^nd

round after beating Daniel Altmaier 4-6 6-2 7-6(2).

In the 1^st round against Altmaier, Arnaldi recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 7-6²). During the match Arnaldi scored 109 points vs Altmaier’s 99. Matteo was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about serving, Arnaldi managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 56% of his first serves in, winning 66% (35/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (28/42) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Altmaier 4 times after converting 27% of his break points (4/15).

Matteo’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.

The Italian has a composed 16-15 win-loss record in 2025, 7-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Tennis Scores in Washington

• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (3-6 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (4-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alexandre MullerMuller – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Aleksandar VukicVukic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Yibing WuWu – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (1-1) – H2H and prediction