Liam Draxl and August Holmgren will clash against each other in the final of the Granby Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liam Draxl who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Liam Draxl is the pick to win this match.
Liam Draxl -> 1.48
August Holmgren -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Liam Draxl vs. August Holmgren
There is no head to head record between Liam Draxl and August Holmgren since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Liam Draxl
41 - 18win/loss
118
113
LLWLLWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-28 | 20-13 | 10-5 | 17-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-24 | 21-10 | 17-12 | 13-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-9 | 23-5 | 0-0 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-16 | 16-10 | 3-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-14 | 16-9 | 12-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 121 (career-high), Liam reached the final after defeating Alfredo Perez 3-6 7-5 6-2, Kris Van Wyk 6-0 6-1, Alexis Galarneau 6-1 4-6 6-1 and Alexander Blockx 6-4 7-6(5).
In the semifinal, Draxl had a good straight sets win against Blockx (6-4 7-65). During the match, Draxl scored 75 points vs Blockx’s 68. Draxl was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Draxl bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Liam Draxl was exceptionally effective on serve to win 72% (39/54) of his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Draxl was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Blockx twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Draxl has conceded 2 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Draxl has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 67% of his matches (202-98). 16-5 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Draxl has an overall104-49 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Winnipeg Challenger where he defeated Alexander Blockx in the final 1-6 6-3 6-4.
Liam has a compiled 41-17 win-loss record in 2025, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Granby Challenger
August Holmgren
16 - 15win/loss
169
144
LWLLLWWLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-25 | 14-12 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-25 | 24-12 | 6-6 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 33-14 | 9-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-12 | 18-4 | 10-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-8 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 146 (career-high), August got to the final after beating James Watt 6-7(5) 7-6(3) 6-4, Marek Gengel 6-3 6-4, Yuta Shimizu 6-4 4-6 6-3 and Eliot Spizzirri 6-4 6-1.
In the semifinal, August had a good straight sets win against Spizzirri (6-4 6-1). During the match Holmgren scored 59 points vs Spizzirri’s 44. The Dane was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Holmgren recorded 10 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. August Holmgren was extremely effective on serve to win 90% (26/29) of his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Holmgren broke Spizzirri 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dane has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
August’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Granby Challenger.
August has an overall 15-15 win-loss record in 2025, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Granby Challenger
August has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Draxl | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 89 | 101 |
| Pts | 309-249 | 338-294 |
| Total Points | 558 | 632 |
| Winners | 136 | 153 |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% |
Both Draxl and Holmgren played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Liam Draxl dropped 2 sets, while August Holmgren surrendered 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Draxl and Holmgren have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Draxl played 12 games less than Holmgren. The Canadian scored 136 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Dane scored 153 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Draxl | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 49 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 12.3 |
| 1st in | 194/287 | 179/317 |
| %1st in | 68% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 136/194 | 153/179 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 52/93 | 78/138 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 57% |
Draxl blasted 13 aces (3.3 per match). Holmgren recorded 49 aces (12.3 per match). Draxl won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Holmgren won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Draxl | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 10 |
| Converted | 18/30 | 10/24 |
| % Converted | 60% | 42% |
| Conceded | 27 | 16 |
| Saved | 21 | 14 |
| % Saved | 78% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 |
Draxl broke his opponents 18 times with a 60% conversion rate. Draxl dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. August broke his opponents 10 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Dane conceded his serve twice and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Draxl | ||||||
| R1 Perez |
R2 Van |
1/4 Galarneau |
1/2 Blockx |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-5 6-2 | 6-0 6-1 | 6-1 4-6 6-1 | 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 13 | 24 | 23 | 89 | |
| pts | 93-80 | 55-26 | 86-75 | 75-68 | 309-249 | |
| Total points | 173 | 81 | 161 | 143 | 558 | |
| Winners | 39 | 14 | 44 | 39 | 136 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 25% | 51% | 52% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 56/88 | 19/33 | 65/87 | 54/79 | 194/287 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 58% | 75% | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 39/56 | 14/19 | 44/65 | 39/54 | 136/194 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 74% | 68% | 72% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 11/14 | 11/22 | 14/25 | 52/93 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 79% | 50% | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 18 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 6/9 | 5/9 | 2/2 | 18/30 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 67% | 56% | 100% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 27 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 2/2 | 9/10 | 4/5 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 90% | 80% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Holmgren | ||||||
| R1 Watt |
R2 Gengel |
1/4 Shimizu |
1/2 Spizzirri |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 7-63 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 19 | 29 | 17 | 101 | |
| pts | 117-115 | 60-40 | 102-95 | 59-44 | 338-294 | |
| Total points | 232 | 100 | 197 | 103 | 632 | |
| Winners | 61 | 26 | 40 | 26 | 153 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 43% | 39% | 44% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 15 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 49 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 22 | |
| 1st in | 72/125 | 30/49 | 48/88 | 29/55 | 179/317 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 61% | 55% | 53% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 61/72 | 26/30 | 40/48 | 26/29 | 153/179 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 87% | 83% | 90% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/53 | 15/19 | 20/40 | 15/26 | 78/138 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 79% | 50% | 58% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 1/3 | 2/2 | 4/14 | 3/5 | 10/24 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 100% | 29% | 60% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 16 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 0/0 | 6/8 | 3/3 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 75% | 100% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- August HolmgrenHolmgren – Liam DraxlDraxl (0-0) – H2H and prediction
