Daniel Merida Aguilar and Fajing Sun will clash against each other in the final of the Pozoblanco Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 9:00 pm on PISTA FABIAN DORADO. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Merida Aguilar who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniel Merida Aguilar is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 1.39
Fajing Sun -> 2.81

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Prediction and head to head Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Fajing Sun

There is no head to head record between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Fajing Sun since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Ranked no. 233 (career-high), Daniel got to the final after beating Robin Bertrand 6-7(5) 6-1 6-1, Rafael Jodar 7-5 6-3, Johannus Monday 6-3 5-7 6-4 and Oliver Crawford 6-3 7-6(4)

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In the semifinal, Merida Aguilar had a good straight sets win against Crawford (6-3 7-6⁴). During the match, Merida Aguilar scored 71 points vs Crawford’s 59. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Merida Aguilar recorded 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Daniel Merida Aguilar was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 73% (29/40) of his 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Daniel broke Crawford 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has dropped 2 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.

Merida Aguilar has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 59% of his matches (171-120). 9-2 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Merida Aguilar has a compiled51-37 match record in the last 6 years on hard.

The Spaniard’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Doha,M25 Sabadell and the Lyon Challenger.

The Spaniard has an overall 35-13 win-loss record in 2025, 9-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Pozoblanco Challenger

Fajing Sun

Ranked no. 242, Sun got to the final after defeating Antoine Escoffier 7-5 7-5, Darwin Blanch 6-2 6-7(6) 6-3, Aryan Shah 6-4 6-4 and Tiago Pereira 5-7 6-4 6-3.

In the semifinal against Pereira, The Chinese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-3). During the match Sun scored 104 points vs Pereira’s 85. Fajing was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about serving, Sun made 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Fajing Sun was quite efficient on serve to win 73% (43/59) of his 1st serve and 61% (23/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Sun broke Pereira 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Fajing has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Wuxi Challenger where he beat Alex Bolt in the final 7-6(4) 6-4.

Sun has an overall 16-12 win-loss record in 2025, 16-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Pozoblanco Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Merida Aguilar	Sun
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	10
Tot Games	101	105
Pts	342-279	353-301
Total Points	621	654
Winners	158	155
%Winners	46%	44%

Both Merida Aguilar and Sun played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniel Merida Aguilar surrendered 2 sets, while Fajing Sun conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Merida Aguilar and Sun have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Merida Aguilar played 4 games less than Sun. The Spaniard scored 158 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Sun scored 155 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Merida Aguilar	Sun
Aces	11	19
Avg per match	2.8	4.8
1st in	220/311	218/340
%1st in	71%	64%
1st pts	158/220	155/218
%1st pts	72%	71%
2nd pts	49/91	73/122
%2nd pts	54%	60%

Merida Aguilar recorded 11 aces (2.8 per match). Sun struck 19 aces (4.8 per match). Merida Aguilar won 72% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Sun won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Merida Aguilar	Sun
Won	17	16
Converted	17/27	16/35
% Converted	63%	46%
Conceded	21	24
Saved	14	16
% Saved	67%	67%
Times Broken	7	8

Daniel broke his opponents 17 times with a 63% conversion rate. Daniel lost his serve 7 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Chinese broke his opponents 16 times with a 46% conversion rate. Sun conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Merida Aguilar
	R1 Bertrand	R2 Jodar	1/4 Monday	1/2 Crawford	Total
Score	6-75 6-1 6-1	7-5 6-3	6-3 5-7 6-4	6-3 7-64
Tot Set	3	2	3	2	10
Tot Games	27	21	31	22	101
pts	106-82	64-52	101-86	71-59	342-279
Total points	188	116	187	130	621
Winners	45	33	51	29	158
%Winners	42%	52%	50%	41%	46%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	1	8	11
Double Faults	3	2	2	2	9
1st in	67/97	46/63	67/92	40/59	220/311
% 1st in	69%	73%	73%	68%	71%
1st pts	45/67	33/46	51/67	29/40	158/220
% 1st pts	67%	72%	76%	73%	72%
2nd pts	16/30	11/17	12/25	10/19	49/91
% 2nd pts	53%	65%	48%	53%	54%
Breaks
Won	7	3	3	4	17
Converted	7/10	3/4	3/6	4/7	17/27
Converted %	70%	75%	50%	57%	63%
Conceded	8	1	9	3	21
Saved	6/8	0/1	7/9	1/3	14
Saved %	75%	0%	78%	33%	47%
Times Broken	2	1	2	2	7

Sun
	R1 Escoffier	R2 Blanch	1/4 Shah	1/2 Pereira	Total
Score	7-5 7-5	6-2 6-76 6-3	6-4 6-4	5-7 6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	2	3	10
Tot Games	24	30	20	31	105
pts	79-75	105-91	65-50	104-85	353-301
Total points	154	196	115	189	654
Winners	33	44	35	43	155
%Winners	42%	42%	54%	41%	44%
SERVE
Aces	6	3	8	2	19
Double Faults	0	4	1	5	10
1st in	54/83	60/98	45/62	59/97	218/340
% 1st in	65%	61%	73%	61%	64%
1st pts	33/54	44/60	35/45	43/59	155/218
% 1st pts	61%	73%	78%	73%	71%
2nd pts	18/29	20/38	12/17	23/38	73/122
% 2nd pts	62%	53%	71%	61%	60%
Breaks
Won	4	6	2	4	16
Converted	4/10	6/13	2/2	4/10	16/35
Converted %	40%	46%	100%	40%	46%
Conceded	7	4	4	9	24
Saved	5/7	1/4	4/4	6/9	16
Saved %	71%	25%	100%	67%	66%
Times Broken	2	3	0	3	8

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