Alexander Bublik and Juan Manuel Cerundolo will play each other in the final of the EFG Swiss Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:30 am on ROY EMERSON ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Bublik is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.41
Juan Manuel Cerundolo -> 2.91

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo

There is no head to head record between Alexander Bublik and Juan Manuel Cerundolo since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Alexander Bublik

Ranked no. 34, the Kazakhstani got to the final after defeating Alexander Shevchenko 6-2 6-3, Francisco Comesana 6-4 6-3 and Arthur Cazaux 6-1 7-5.

In the semifinal, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Cazaux (6-1 7-5). During the match, Bublik scored 66 points vs Cazaux’s 45. Bublik was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Bublik scored 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alexander Bublik conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 72% of his first serves in, win 87% (33/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. Alexander broke Cazaux 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alexander hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.

Bublik has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (351-259). 18-6 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bublik has an aggregate 59-58 match record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Turin Challenger where he defeated Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 6-3 and in Halle where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(4).

Bublik has an aggregate 30-17 win-loss record in 2025, 18-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Gstaad

The Kazakhstani has never competed in this tournament before.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Ranked no. 109, the Argentine got to the final after defeating Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3 3-6 6-3, David Goffin 5-7 6-4 6-1, Casper Ruud 6-2 1-6 6-3 and Ignacio Buse 6-3 6-3.

In the semifinal, Manuel had a good straight sets win against Buse (6-3 6-3). During the match Manuel scored 61 points vs Buse’s 47. Juan was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Manuel managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Juan Manuel Cerundolo was exceptionally effective on serve to win 75% (30/40) of his 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Manuel broke Buse 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Juan’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Braunschweig Challenger.

Juan has a composed 37-20 win-loss record in 2025, 37-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Bublik	Manuel
Match played	3	4
Tot Set	6	11
Tot Games	55	98
Pts	186-141	347-314
Total Points	327	661
Winners	85	149
%Winners	46%	43%

Bublik played 3 matches while Manuel competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Juan Manuel Cerundolo lost 3 sets while Alexander Bublik hasn’t lost a set so far. Bublik has played 5 set(s) less than Manuel (6 vs 11). Therefore, Bublik played 43 games less than Manuel. Alexander scored 85 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Manuel made 149 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Bublik	Manuel
Aces	28	20
Avg per match	9.3	5
1st in	105/167	214/318
%1st in	63%	67%
1st pts	85/105	149/214
%1st pts	81%	70%
2nd pts	33/62	54/104
%2nd pts	53%	52%

Bublik bagged 28 aces (9.3 per match). Manuel bagged 20 aces (5 per match). Bublik won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Manuel won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Bublik	Manuel
Won	9	16
Converted	9/19	16/34
% Converted	47%	47%
Conceded	5	34
Saved	4	26
% Saved	80%	76%
Times Broken	1	8

Bublik broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. Alexander conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 16 times with a 47% conversion rate. Manuel conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.

Bublik
	R2 Shevchenko	1/4 Comesana	1/2 Cazaux	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	6-4 6-3	6-1 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	17	19	19	55
pts	58-43	62-53	66-45	186-141
Total points	101	115	111	327
Winners	24	28	33	85
%Winners	41%	45%	50%	46%
SERVE
Aces	5	11	12	28
Double Faults	5	5	3	13
1st in	30/52	37/62	38/53	105/167
% 1st in	58%	60%	72%	63%
1st pts	24/30	28/37	33/38	85/105
% 1st pts	80%	76%	87%	81%
2nd pts	11/22	15/25	7/15	33/62
% 2nd pts	50%	60%	47%	53%
Breaks
Won	4	2	3	9
Converted	4/7	2/4	3/8	9/19
Converted %	57%	50%	38%	47%
Conceded	3	2	0	5
Saved	2/3	2/2	0/0	4
Saved %	67%	100%	–	56%
Times Broken	1	0	0	1

Manuel
	R1 Struff	R2 Goffin	1/4 Ruud	1/2 Buse	Total
Score	6-3 3-6 6-3	5-7 6-4 6-1	6-2 1-6 6-3	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	3	2	11
Tot Games	27	29	24	18	98
pts	108-98	95-86	83-83	61-47	347-314
Total points	206	181	166	108	661
Winners	41	44	34	30	149
%Winners	38%	46%	41%	49%	43%
SERVE
Aces	5	9	3	3	20
Double Faults	3	2	5	1	11
1st in	58/90	61/87	55/87	40/54	214/318
% 1st in	64%	70%	63%	74%	67%
1st pts	41/58	44/61	34/55	30/40	149/214
% 1st pts	71%	72%	62%	75%	70%
2nd pts	20/32	13/26	12/32	9/14	54/104
% 2nd pts	63%	50%	38%	64%	52%
Breaks
Won	2	5	6	3	16
Converted	2/10	5/9	6/9	3/6	16/34
Converted %	20%	56%	67%	50%	47%
Conceded	11	7	15	1	34
Saved	10/11	5/7	10/15	1/1	26
Saved %	91%	71%	67%	100%	110%
Times Broken	1	2	5	0	8

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Alexander BublikBublik (0-0) – H2H and prediction