Luciano Darderi and Jesper De Jong will face off in the final of the Nordea Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luciano Darderi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luciano Darderi is the pick to win this match.
Luciano Darderi -> 1.64
Jesper De Jong -> 2.26

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Prediction and head to head Luciano Darderi vs. Jesper De Jong

There is no head to head record between Luciano Darderi and Jesper De Jong since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Luciano Darderi

Ranked no. 55, the Italian reached the final after defeating Raphael Collignon 6-2 2-6 6-2, Elias Ymer 6-2 6-2, Sebastian Baez 6-0 6-2 and Francisco Cerundolo 6-2 3-6 7-6(3).

In the semifinal, Luciano defeated Cerundolo (6-2 3-6 7-6³). During the match, Darderi scored 100 points vs Cerundolo’s 92. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Darderi scored 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Luciano Darderi lost the serve 5 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Darderi put 58% of his first serves in, winning 73% (41/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (16/40) on the 2nd serve. Luciano broke Cerundolo 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has surrendered 2 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Darderi has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 60% of his matches (203-136). 20-11 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Darderi has an overall172-98 match record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Marrakech where he defeated Tallon Griekspoor in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(4).

Darderi has an overall 23-20 win-loss record in 2025, 20-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Bastad

Darderi has never competed in this tournament before.

Jesper De Jong

Ranked no. 106, De reached the final after beating William Rejchtman Vinciguerra 6-3 6-2, Vit Kopriva 7-6(3) 7-5, Tallon Griekspoor 4-6 7-6(3) 6-3 and Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-3 7-6(3).

In the semifinal, Jesper had a good straight sets win against Ugo Carabelli (6-3 7-6³

). During the match De scored 72 points vs Ugo Carabelli’s 62. Jesper was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, De bagged 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jesper De Jong lost the serve once. Furthermore, De put 59% of his first serves in, winning 83% (34/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. De broke Ugo Carabelli twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jesper has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

De’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Murcia Challenger.

De has a composed 24-21 win-loss record in 2025, 18-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Darderi	De
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	9
Tot Games	84	96
Pts	308-244	344-300
Total Points	552	644
Winners	115	128
%Winners	37%	37%

Both Darderi and De played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Luciano Darderi surrendered 2 sets, while Jesper De Jong surrendered 1 set. Darderi has played 1 set more than De (10 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Darderi played 12 games less than De. Darderi scored 115 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Dutch fired 128 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Darderi	De
Aces	23	37
Avg per match	5.8	9.3
1st in	157/275	163/293
%1st in	57%	56%
1st pts	115/157	128/163
%1st pts	73%	79%
2nd pts	64/118	71/130
%2nd pts	54%	55%

Darderi managed to score 23 aces (5.8 per match). De fired 37 aces (9.3 per match). Darderi won 73% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, De won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Darderi	De
Won	19	12
Converted	19/38	12/34
% Converted	50%	35%
Conceded	24	15
Saved	17	9
% Saved	71%	60%
Times Broken	7	6

Darderi broke his opponents 19 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Jesper broke his opponents 12 times with a 35% conversion rate. Jesper conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Darderi
	R1 Collignon	R2 Ymer	1/4 Baez	1/2 Cerundolo	Total
Score	6-2 2-6 6-2	6-2 6-2	6-0 6-2	6-2 3-6 7-63
Tot Set	3	2	2	3	10
Tot Games	24	16	14	30	84
pts	91-81	59-40	58-31	100-92	308-244
Total points	172	99	89	192	552
Winners	37	20	17	41	115
%Winners	41%	34%	29%	41%	37%
SERVE
Aces	5	8	5	5	23
Double Faults	2	3	2	1	8
1st in	55/91	27/50	19/38	56/96	157/275
% 1st in	60%	54%	50%	58%	57%
1st pts	37/55	20/27	17/19	41/56	115/157
% 1st pts	67%	74%	89%	73%	73%
2nd pts	20/36	16/23	12/19	16/40	64/118
% 2nd pts	56%	70%	63%	40%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	4	5	6	19
Converted	4/10	4/9	5/8	6/11	19/38
Converted %	40%	44%	63%	55%	50%
Conceded	8	2	0	14	24
Saved	6/8	2/2	0/0	9/14	17
Saved %	75%	100%	–	64%	60%
Times Broken	2	0	0	5	7

De
	R1 Rejchtman Vinciguerra	R2 Kopriva	1/4 Griekspoor	1/2 Ugo Carabelli	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	7-63 7-5	4-6 7-63 6-3	6-3 7-63
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	17	25	32	22	96
pts	69-46	96-92	107-100	72-62	344-300
Total points	115	188	207	134	644
Winners	23	31	40	34	128
%Winners	33%	32%	37%	47%	37%
SERVE
Aces	8	8	13	8	37
Double Faults	1	5	3	2	11
1st in	28/49	42/76	52/98	41/70	163/293
% 1st in	57%	55%	53%	59%	56%
1st pts	23/28	31/42	40/52	34/41	128/163
% 1st pts	82%	74%	77%	83%	79%
2nd pts	15/21	19/34	24/46	13/29	71/130
% 2nd pts	71%	56%	52%	45%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	3	4	2	12
Converted	3/6	3/17	4/8	2/3	12/34
Converted %	50%	18%	50%	67%	35%
Conceded	0	4	10	1	15
Saved	0/0	2/4	7/10	0/1	9
Saved %	–	50%	70%	0%	30%
Times Broken	0	2	3	1	6

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