Francisco Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi will face off in the semifinal of the Nordea Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francisco Cerundolo who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Francisco Cerundolo is the pick to win this match.
Francisco Cerundolo -> 1.35
Luciano Darderi -> 3.2

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Prediction and head to head Francisco Cerundolo vs. Luciano Darderi

This will be the 4^th time that Francisco Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Cerundolo (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Cerundolo won 6-7(1) 6-3 6-2 in the 2^nd round in Rio de janeiro back in February 2025.

Highlights Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi – Rio de janeiro 20-February-2025

Francisco Cerundolo

Ranked no. 20, Francisco got to the semifinal after defeating Mariano Navone 6-3 6-3 and Damir Dzumhur 6-0 3-6 6-3.

In the quarter, Francisco defeated Dzumhur (6-0 3-6 6-3). During the match, Cerundolo scored 81 points vs Dzumhur’s 65. Cerundolo was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Cerundolo fired 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Francisco Cerundolo lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Cerundolo put 58% of his first serves in, winning 73% (33/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (13/32) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Dzumhur 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Francisco has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Cerundolo has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (342-182). 21-9 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Cerundolo has a compiled 276-119 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Cerundolo’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Buenos Aires.

Cerundolo has a composed 29-15 win-loss record in 2025, 21-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Bastad

Luciano Darderi

Ranked no. 55, the Italian got to the semifinal after defeating Raphael Collignon 6-2 2-6 6-2, Elias Ymer 6-2 6-2 and Sebastian Baez 6-0 6-2.

In the quarter, Darderi had a good straight sets win against Baez (6-0 6-2). During the match Darderi scored 58 points vs Baez’s 31. Luciano was very aggressive to blast 17 winners.

Talking about serving, Darderi managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Luciano Darderi was very efficient on serve to win 89% (17/19) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Luciano broke Baez 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Luciano has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Marrakech where he beat Tallon Griekspoor in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(4).

Darderi has a composed 22-20 win-loss record in 2025, 19-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Cerundolo	Darderi
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	5	7
Tot Games	42	54
Pts	151-123	208-152
Total Points	274	360
Winners	61	74
%Winners	40%	36%

Cerundolo played 2 matches while Darderi competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Francisco Cerundolo dropped 1 set, while Luciano Darderi dropped 1 set. Cerundolo has played 2 set(s) less than Darderi (5 vs 7). Therefore, Cerundolo played 12 games less than Darderi. The Argentine scored 61 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Darderi struck 74 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Cerundolo	Darderi
Aces	6	18
Avg per match	3	6
1st in	83/136	101/179
%1st in	61%	56%
1st pts	61/83	74/101
%1st pts	73%	73%
2nd pts	23/53	48/78
%2nd pts	43%	62%

Cerundolo bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Darderi managed to score 18 aces (6 per match). Cerundolo won 73% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Darderi won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Cerundolo	Darderi
Won	10	13
Converted	10/18	13/27
% Converted	56%	48%
Conceded	10	10
Saved	6	8
% Saved	60%	80%
Times Broken	4	2

Francisco broke his opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Cerundolo lost his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Luciano broke his opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Cerundolo
	R2 Navone	1/4 Dzumhur	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	6-0 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	18	24	42
pts	70-58	81-65	151-123
Total points	128	146	274
Winners	28	33	61
%Winners	40%	41%	40%
SERVE
Aces	1	5	6
Double Faults	2	5	7
1st in	38/59	45/77	83/136
% 1st in	64%	58%	61%
1st pts	28/38	33/45	61/83
% 1st pts	74%	73%	73%
2nd pts	10/21	13/32	23/53
% 2nd pts	48%	41%	43%
Breaks
Won	4	6	10
Converted	4/10	6/8	10/18
Converted %	40%	75%	56%
Conceded	5	5	10
Saved	4/5	2/5	6
Saved %	80%	40%	60%
Times Broken	1	3	4

Darderi
	R1 Collignon	R2 Ymer	1/4 Baez	Total
Score	6-2 2-6 6-2	6-2 6-2	6-0 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	24	16	14	54
pts	91-81	59-40	58-31	208-152
Total points	172	99	89	360
Winners	37	20	17	74
%Winners	41%	34%	29%	36%
SERVE
Aces	5	8	5	18
Double Faults	2	3	2	7
1st in	55/91	27/50	19/38	101/179
% 1st in	60%	54%	50%	56%
1st pts	37/55	20/27	17/19	74/101
% 1st pts	67%	74%	89%	73%
2nd pts	20/36	16/23	12/19	48/78
% 2nd pts	56%	70%	63%	62%
Breaks
Won	4	4	5	13
Converted	4/10	4/9	5/8	13/27
Converted %	40%	44%	63%	48%
Conceded	8	2	0	10
Saved	6/8	2/2	0/0	8
Saved %	75%	100%	–	88%
Times Broken	2	0	0	2

Tennis Scores in Bastad

• Adam Pavlasek/Jan ZielinskiPavlasek/Jan Zielinski – Theo Arribage/Tomas Barrios VeraArribage/Tomas Barrios Vera (6-3 3-6 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Jesper De JongDe Jong (3-3) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – (2-1) – H2H and prediction