Jan Choinski and Guy Den Ouden will face off in the semifinal of the Bunschoten Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on THE INDIAN MAHARADJA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Guy Den Ouden who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Guy Den Ouden is the pick to win this match.
Guy Den Ouden -> 1.75
Jan Choinski -> 1.99
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Prediction and head to head Jan Choinski vs. Guy Den Ouden
This will be the 2nd time that Jan Choinski and Guy Den Ouden fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Choinski (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Choinski won 7-6(5) 6-3 in the 1st round in M25 Loule back in 2022.
Jan Choinski
19 - 17win/loss
125
125
LWWLLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-27 | 0-4 | 31-15 | 6-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-33 | 4-4 | 24-16 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-35 | 1-4 | 30-19 | 5-5 | 2-5 | 3-2 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 5-5 | 35-14 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 176, Choinski got to the semifinal after defeating Manvydas Balciunas 6-1 6-2, Matej Dodig 6-4 7-5 and Benjamin Hassan 6-2 6-2.
In the quarter, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Hassan (6-2 6-2). During the match, Choinski scored 56 points vs Hassan’s 43. Jan was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Choinski fired 4 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Jan Choinski was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (24/34) of his 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Brit broke Hassan 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jan hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Choinski has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (316-223). 13-9 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Choinski has a composed 183-107 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Troyes Challenger where he beat Calvin Hemery in the final 6-4 6-7(4) 6-2.
The Brit has an overall 19-17 win-loss record in 2025, 13-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bunschoten Challenger
The Brit has never competed in this tournament before.
Guy Den Ouden
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-18 | 0-1 | 46-15 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-24 | 3-7 | 28-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-19 | 35-9 | 24-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-12 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-13 | 16-5 | 13-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 184, Den got to the semifinal after beating Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 6-3 3-6 6-4, Mathys Erhard 6-4 6-3 and Gauthier Onclin 6-2 6-3.
In the quarter, Den had a good straight sets win against Onclin (6-2 6-3). During the match Den scored 72 points vs Onclin’s 56. The Dutch was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Den scored 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Guy Den Ouden lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Den put 56% of his first serves in, winning 68% (25/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the 2nd serve. Guy broke Onclin 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Den has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Dutch’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Antalya,the Kigali 2 Challenger,M25 Santa Margherita di Pula,the Prague Challenger and the Heilbronn Challenger.
Guy has an aggregate 36-13 win-loss record in 2025, 35-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Choinski | Den |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 64 |
| Pts | 214-163 | 227-203 |
| Total Points | 377 | 430 |
| Winners | 84 | 95 |
| %Winners | 39% | 42% |
Both Choinski and Den played 3 matches. At the moment, Guy Den Ouden conceded 1 set while Jan Choinski hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Choinski has played 1 set(s) less than Den (6 vs 7). Therefore, Choinski played 11 games less than Den. Jan scored 84 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Den scored 95 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Choinski | Den |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 114/174 | 134/219 |
| %1st in | 66% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 84/114 | 95/134 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 34/60 | 41/85 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 48% |
Choinski managed to score 18 aces (6 per match). Den blasted 8 aces (2.7 per match). Choinski won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Den won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Choinski | Den |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 11 |
| Converted | 12/33 | 11/28 |
| % Converted | 36% | 39% |
| Conceded | 16 | 14 |
| Saved | 14 | 9 |
| % Saved | 88% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Jan broke his opponents 12 times with a 36% conversion rate. Choinski surrendered his serve twice and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. The Dutch broke his opponents 11 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Dutch conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Choinski | |||||
| R1 Balciunas |
R2 Dodig |
1/4 Hassan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 22 | 16 | 53 | |
| pts | 67-39 | 91-81 | 56-43 | 214-163 | |
| Total points | 106 | 172 | 99 | 377 | |
| Winners | 27 | 33 | 24 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 36% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | 4 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 30/41 | 50/78 | 34/55 | 114/174 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 64% | 62% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 27/30 | 33/50 | 24/34 | 84/114 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 66% | 71% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/11 | 15/28 | 13/21 | 34/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 54% | 62% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/18 | 4/7 | 12/33 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 22% | 57% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 10 | 4 | 16 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 8/10 | 4/4 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 100% | 93% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Den | |||||
| R1 Pucinelli De Almeida |
R2 Erhard |
1/4 Onclin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 19 | 17 | 64 | |
| pts | 91-94 | 64-53 | 72-56 | 227-203 | |
| Total points | 185 | 117 | 128 | 430 | |
| Winners | 38 | 32 | 25 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 50% | 35% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 55/89 | 42/64 | 37/66 | 134/219 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 66% | 56% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 38/55 | 32/42 | 25/37 | 95/134 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 76% | 68% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/34 | 10/22 | 16/29 | 41/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 45% | 55% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 3/5 | 4/11 | 11/28 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 60% | 36% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 | 6 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 1/2 | 5/6 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 83% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWWLWW
LWLWWWWWWL Tennis Scores in Bunschoten Challenger
- Guy Den OudenDen Ouden – Gauthier OnclinOnclin (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Benjamin HassanHassan (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex BarrenaBarrena – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex BarrenaBarrena – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Benjamin HassanHassan (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Guy Den OudenDen Ouden – Gauthier OnclinOnclin (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Nicolas KickerKicker – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
