Andrey Rublev and Aleksandar Kovacevic will square off in the semifinal of the Mifel Tennis Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 9:00 pm on ESTADIO MEXTENIS. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.31
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 3.45
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic
This will be the 2nd time that Andrey Rublev and Aleksandar Kovacevic clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kovacevic (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Kovacevic won 7-5 6-4 in the semifinal in Montpellier back in February 2025.
Highlights Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Andrey Rublev – Montpellier 01-February-2025
Andrey Rublev
23 - 16win/loss
11
5
LWWWLLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-18 | 10-8 | 8-6 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, the Russian got to the semifinal after defeating Juan Alejandro Hernandez 6-3 6-2 and Emilio Nava 5-7 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter against Nava, Andrey recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 88 points vs Nava’s 86. Andrey was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rublev scored 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Andrey Rublev was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (37/49) of his 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Andrey broke Nava 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has dropped 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (428-237). 7-5 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Rublev has a composed 180-93 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Doha where he overcame Jack Draper in the final 7-5 5-7 6-1.
Rublev has a compiled 23-15 win-loss record in 2025, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Los Cabos
Rublev has never competed in this tournament before.
Aleksandar Kovacevic
28 - 19win/loss
62
62
LLWLWWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-22 | 12-8 | 4-7 | 12-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-35 | 20-17 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-27 | 34-15 | 0-5 | 7-2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-31 | 22-18 | 4-4 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-17 | 11-10 | 2-3 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 76, Aleksandar reached the semifinal after defeating Hady Habib 6-1 3-6 6-3, Luis Carlos Alvarez 7-5 6-4 and Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-3 6-1.
In the quarter, Kovacevic had a good straight sets win against Pablo Ficovich (6-3 6-1). During the match Kovacevic scored 69 points vs Pablo Ficovich’s 48. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Kovacevic managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Aleksandar Kovacevic was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (21/26) of his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Pablo Ficovich 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aleksandar has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he defeated Zsombor Piros in the final 6-4 7-6(4) and the Cap Cana Challenger where he beat Damir Dzumhur in the final 6-2 6-3.
Aleksandar has an overall 27-19 win-loss record in 2025, 10-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Los Cabos
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 63 |
| Pts | 155-134 | 223-175 |
| Total Points | 289 | 398 |
| Winners | 59 | 76 |
| %Winners | 38% | 34% |
Rublev played 2 matches while Kovacevic competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev lost 1 set, while Aleksandar Kovacevic conceded 1 set. Rublev has played 2 set(s) less than Kovacevic (5 vs 7). Therefore, Rublev played 15 games less than Kovacevic. Rublev scored 59 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Aleksandar blasted 76 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 7 |
| 1st in | 73/129 | 96/187 |
| %1st in | 57% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 59/73 | 76/96 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 30/56 | 50/91 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 55% |
Rublev scored 16 aces (8 per match). Kovacevic bagged 21 aces (7 per match). Rublev won 81% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Kovacevic won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 13 |
| Converted | 8/20 | 13/32 |
| % Converted | 40% | 41% |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Saved | 1 | 6 |
| % Saved | 25% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Rublev broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. Aleksandar broke his opponents 13 times with a 41% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | ||||
| R2 Alejandro |
1/4 Nava |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 5-7 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 31 | 48 | |
| pts | 67-48 | 88-86 | 155-134 | |
| Total points | 115 | 174 | 289 | |
| Winners | 22 | 37 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 42% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 5 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 24/46 | 49/83 | 73/129 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 59% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 22/24 | 37/49 | 59/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 76% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 18/34 | 30/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 53% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/11 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 36% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Kovacevic | |||||
| R1 Habib |
R2 Carlos |
1/4 Pablo Ficovich |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 3-6 6-3 | 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 22 | 16 | 63 | |
| pts | 85-67 | 69-60 | 69-48 | 223-175 | |
| Total points | 152 | 129 | 117 | 398 | |
| Winners | 31 | 24 | 21 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 35% | 30% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 8 | 3 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 7 | 3 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 39/71 | 31/65 | 26/51 | 96/187 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 48% | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 31/39 | 24/31 | 21/26 | 76/96 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 77% | 81% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/32 | 17/34 | 13/25 | 50/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 50% | 52% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/7 | 5/13 | 13/32 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 57% | 38% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 0/2 | 3/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 0% | 75% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLWWLW
LLWLWWWWLL Tennis Scores in Los Cabos
- Adam WaltonWalton – James DuckworthDuckworth (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Robert Cash/James TracyCash/James Tracy – Christian Harrison/Rajeev RamHarrison/Rajeev Ram (4-6 6-4 10-6) – See score progression
- Santiago Gonzalez/Austin KrajicekGonzalez/Austin Krajicek – Matthew Ebden/John PeersEbden/John Peers (2-6 6-3 10-7) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Emilio NavaNava (5-7 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Blake Bayldon/Tristan SchoolkateBayldon/Tristan Schoolkate – James Duckworth/Adam WaltonDuckworth/Adam Walton (w/o) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Emilio NavaNava (5-7 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – James DuckworthDuckworth (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrey RublevRublev – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Adam WaltonWalton (1-0) – H2H and prediction
