Matteo Gigante and Luka Pavlovic will square off in the quarter of the San Marino Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 6:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Gigante who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Gigante is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Gigante -> 1.54
Luka Pavlovic -> 2.35

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Prediction and head to head Matteo Gigante vs. Luka Pavlovic

There is no head to head record between Matteo Gigante and Luka Pavlovic since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Matteo Gigante

Ranked no. 137, Gigante got to the quarter after beating Kalin Ivanovski 6-7(10) 6-3 6-3 and Mili Poljicak 1-6 6-4 6-1.

In the 2^nd round against Poljicak, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-4 6-1). During the match, Gigante scored 78 points vs Poljicak’s 76. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Gigante scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 5 double faults. Matteo Gigante lost the serve 5 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Gigante put 61% of his first serves in, winning 65% (32/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 32% (10/31) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke Poljicak 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gigante has dropped 2 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Gigante has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 59% of his matches (165-117). 14-7 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gigante has a composed95-65 record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Rome Challenger where he defeated Vilius Gaubas in the final 6-2 3-6 6-4.

Matteo has a compiled 23-16 win-loss record in 2025, 14-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the San Marino Challenger

Luka Pavlovic

Ranked no. 194 (career-high), Pavlovic reached the quarter after defeating Milos Karol 6-1 6-4 and Federico Agustin Gomez 3-6 7-6(3) 1-1 ret..

In the 2^nd

round against Agustin Gomez, the French player had a free pass after Agustin Gomez retired on a 3-6 7-6³ 1-1 . scoreline.

The French player best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Mexico City Challenger and the Brasov Challenger.

Luka has a compiled 30-15 win-loss record in 2025, 28-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the San Marino Challenger

The French player has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gigante	Pavlovic
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	6	6
Tot Games	55	41
Pts	191-175	145-135
Total Points	366	280
Winners	76	50
%Winners	40%	34%

Both Gigante and Pavlovic played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Gigante dropped 2 sets, while Luka Pavlovic surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Gigante and Pavlovic have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Gigante played 14 games more than Pavlovic. Gigante scored 76 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The French player bagged 50 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gigante	Pavlovic
Aces	4	8
Avg per match	2	4
1st in	113/180	61/128
%1st in	63%	48%
1st pts	76/113	50/61
%1st pts	67%	82%
2nd pts	32/67	35/67
%2nd pts	48%	52%

Gigante managed to score 4 aces (2 per match). Pavlovic scored 8 aces (4 per match). Gigante won 67% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Pavlovic won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gigante	Pavlovic
Won	11	4
Converted	11/23	4/16
% Converted	48%	25%
Conceded	19	4
Saved	12	2
% Saved	63%	50%
Times Broken	7	2

The Italian broke his opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Luka broke his opponents 4 times with a 25% conversion rate. Luka conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Gigante
	R1 Ivanovski	R2 Poljicak	Total
Score	6-710 6-3 6-3	1-6 6-4 6-1
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	31	24	55
pts	113-99	78-76	191-175
Total points	212	154	366
Winners	44	32	76
%Winners	39%	41%	40%
SERVE
Aces	3	1	4
Double Faults	1	5	6
1st in	64/100	49/80	113/180
% 1st in	64%	61%	63%
1st pts	44/64	32/49	76/113
% 1st pts	69%	65%	67%
2nd pts	22/36	10/31	32/67
% 2nd pts	61%	32%	48%
Breaks
Won	5	6	11
Converted	5/11	6/12	11/23
Converted %	45%	50%	48%
Conceded	6	13	19
Saved	4/6	8/13	12
Saved %	67%	62%	65%
Times Broken	2	5	7

Pavlovic
	R1 Karol	R2 Agustin	Total
Score	6-1 6-4	3-6 7-63 1-1 ret.
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	17	24	41
pts	64-46	81-89	145-135
Total points	110	170	280
Winners	23	27	50
%Winners	36%	33%	34%
SERVE
Aces	2	6	8
Double Faults	0	7	7
1st in	27/49	34/79	61/128
% 1st in	55%	43%	48%
1st pts	23/27	27/34	50/61
% 1st pts	85%	79%	82%
2nd pts	14/22	21/45	35/67
% 2nd pts	64%	47%	52%
Breaks
Won	3	1	4
Converted	3/7	1/9	4/16
Converted %	43%	11%	25%
Conceded	0	4	4
Saved	0/0	2/4	2
Saved %	–	50%	25%
Times Broken	0	2	2

Tennis Scores in San Marino Challenger

• Andrew Paulson/Michael VrbenskyPaulson/Michael Vrbensky – Patrik Trhac/Marcus WillisTrhac/Marcus Willis (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Lukas KleinKlein – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Harold MayotMayot – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (1-0) – H2H and prediction