Denis Shapovalov and Tristan Schoolkate will square off in the quarter of the Mifel Tennis Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:00 pm on ESTADIO MEXTENIS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.41
Tristan Schoolkate -> 2.91
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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Tristan Schoolkate
There is no head to head record between Denis Shapovalov and Tristan Schoolkate since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Denis Shapovalov
17 - 14win/loss
29
10
LWWWWLLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-15 | 11-7 | 2-5 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-25 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33, Shapovalov got to the quarter after defeating Govind Nanda 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Nanda (6-1 6-2). During the match, Shapovalov scored 56 points vs Nanda’s 31. The Canadian was quite aggressive to blast 16 winners.
Talking about the service games, Shapovalov recorded 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Denis Shapovalov was very efficient on serve to win 73% (16/22) of his 1st serve and 68% (17/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Canadian broke Nanda 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Shapovalov has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (310-215). 8-6 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Shapovalov has an overall 140-92 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Dallas where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(5) 6-3.
The Canadian has an aggregate 16-14 win-loss record in 2025, 8-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Los Cabos
Denis has never competed in this tournament before.
Tristan Schoolkate
36 - 22win/loss
103
102
LWWLWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-23 | 29-17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 44-33 | 38-24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-30 | 30-23 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-29 | 24-15 | 17-11 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-20 | 8-9 | 3-5 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 110, Schoolkate got to the quarter after beating Yibing Wu 4-6 6-4 6-1 and Daniel Altmaier 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Schoolkate had a good straight sets win against Altmaier (6-3 6-4). During the match Schoolkate scored 63 points vs Altmaier’s 47. The Australian was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Schoolkate struck 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Tristan Schoolkate was quite efficient on serve to win 72% (23/32) of his 1st serve and 76% (22/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Schoolkate broke Altmaier twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Schoolkate has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Brisbane 1 Challenger where he overcame Marek Gengel in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(4) and the Ilkley Challenger where he overcame Jack Pinnington Jones in the final 6-7(8) 6-4 6-3.
The Australian has an aggregate 36-21 win-loss record in 2025, 27-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shapovalov | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 46 |
| Pts | 56-31 | 155-121 |
| Total Points | 87 | 276 |
| Winners | 16 | 62 |
| %Winners | 29% | 40% |
Shapovalov played 1 match while Schoolkate competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Tristan Schoolkate dropped 1 set while Denis Shapovalov hasn’t lost a set so far. Shapovalov has played 3 set(s) less than Schoolkate (2 vs 5). Therefore, Shapovalov played 31 games less than Schoolkate. The Canadian scored 16 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Schoolkate recorded 62 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shapovalov | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 9 |
| 1st in | 22/47 | 79/142 |
| %1st in | 47% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 16/22 | 62/79 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 17/25 | 42/63 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 67% |
Shapovalov bagged 4 aces . Schoolkate managed to score 18 aces (9 per match). Shapovalov won 73% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Schoolkate won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shapovalov | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 71% | 56% |
| Conceded | 4 | 12 |
| Saved | 3 | 11 |
| % Saved | 75% | 92% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Shapovalov broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Denis conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Schoolkate broke his opponents 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Schoolkate conceded his serve once and he saved 92% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shapovalov | |||
| R2 Nanda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 56-31 | 56-31 | |
| Total points | 87 | 87 | |
| Winners | 16 | 16 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 22/47 | 22/47 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 47% | |
| 1st pts | 16/22 | 16/22 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/25 | 17/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Schoolkate | ||||
| R1 Wu |
R2 Altmaier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 19 | 46 | |
| pts | 92-74 | 63-47 | 155-121 | |
| Total points | 166 | 110 | 276 | |
| Winners | 39 | 23 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 37% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 47/81 | 32/61 | 79/142 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 52% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 39/47 | 23/32 | 62/79 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 72% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/34 | 22/29 | 42/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 76% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/3 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 67% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 6/6 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 100% | 183% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrey RublevRublev – Emilio NavaNava (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Adam WaltonWalton – James DuckworthDuckworth (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
