Sho Shimabukuro and Rio Noguchi will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Granby Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:00 am on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sho Shimabukuro who should win in 3 sets.
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.727
Rio Noguchi -> 2.02
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Prediction and head to head Sho Shimabukuro vs. Rio Noguchi
This will be the 4th time that Sho Shimabukuro and Rio Noguchi face off. The head to head is 3-0 for Noguchi (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Noguchi won 6-4 6-0 in the 1st round in the Gwangju Challenger back in April 2025.
Sho Shimabukuro
11 - 13win/loss
146
135
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-23 | 29-19 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-28 | 21-17 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-26 | 19-17 | 7-1 | 9-4 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-25 | 38-20 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-20 | 28-18 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 208, Sho reached the 2nd round after beating Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar 6-2 6-1.
In the 1st round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Carlos Manuel Aguilar (6-2 6-1). During the match, Shimabukuro scored 59 points vs Carlos Manuel Aguilar’s 35. The Japanese was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shimabukuro struck 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Sho Shimabukuro was very effective on serve to win 76% (22/29) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sho broke Carlos Manuel Aguilar 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Shimabukuro has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (251-159). 7-10 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shimabukuro has a composed 185-113 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Shimabukuro’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Winnipeg Challenger.
Shimabukuro has a compiled 10-13 win-loss record in 2025, 7-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Granby Challenger
Rio Noguchi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-31 | 38-31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-31 | 36-22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 12-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-22 | 41-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-26 | 18-18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 209, the Japanese got to the 2nd round after beating Philip Sekulic 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round, Rio had a good straight sets win against Sekulic (6-2 6-4). During the match Noguchi scored 65 points vs Sekulic’s 52. Rio was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.
About the serving games, Noguchi managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Rio Noguchi lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 53% of his first serves in, winning 69% (20/29) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the 2nd serve. Noguchi broke Sekulic 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
His best result of the season was winning the title the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he defeated Jie Cui in the final 7-6(9) 6-2.
Noguchi has a compiled 26-16 win-loss record in 2025, 26-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Granby Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history
.H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shimabukuro | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 18 |
| Pts | 59-35 | 65-52 |
| Total Points | 94 | 117 |
| Winners | 22 | 20 |
| %Winners | 37% | 31% |
Both Shimabukuro and Noguchi played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shimabukuro and Noguchi have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Shimabukuro played 3 games less than Noguchi. Shimabukuro scored 22 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Rio managed to score 20 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shimabukuro | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 3 |
| 1st in | 29/52 | 29/55 |
| %1st in | 56% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 20/29 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 14/26 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 54% |
Shimabukuro scored 8 aces . Noguchi managed to score 3 aces . Shimabukuro won 76% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Noguchi won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shimabukuro | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/10 |
| % Converted | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 |
| Saved | 3 | 3 |
| % Saved | 75% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Sho conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Noguchi broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shimabukuro | |||
| R1 Carlos Manuel Aguilar | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 59-35 | 59-35 | |
| Total points | 94 | 94 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 29/52 | 29/52 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 22/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 13/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Noguchi | |||
| R1 Sekulic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 65-52 | 65-52 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 29/55 | 29/55 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 20/29 | 20/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/26 | 14/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores in Granby Challenger
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Omar JasikaJasika – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marek GengelGengel – August HolmgrenHolmgren (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kris Van WykVan Wyk – Liam DraxlDraxl (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Patrick KypsonKypson – James Kent TrotterKent Trotter (0-2) – H2H and prediction