H2H, prediction of Luciano Darderi vs Elias Ymer in Bastad with odds, preview, pick | 16th July 2025

PREVIEW. Bastad. Darderi and Ymer will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Nordea Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Wednesday the 16th of July

Prediction and head to head Luciano Darderi vs. Elias Ymer

Luciano Darderi and Elias Ymer will play each other in the 2nd round of the Nordea Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luciano Darderi who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Luciano Darderi is the pick to win this match.
Luciano Darderi -> 1.444
Elias Ymer -> 2.77

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Luciano Darderi vs. Elias Ymer

There is no head to head record between Luciano Darderi and Elias Ymer since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Luciano Darderi

Luciano Darderi
Luciano Darderi

20 - 20win/loss

Hard
1-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
17-11
Grass
2-4
Rank
30
High
30
LWWWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-24 4-9 30-11 0-0 2-4 0-0
2024 38-31 1-9 34-15 1-4 2-3 0-0
2023 48-31 3-3 45-27 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 37-25 0-1 37-24 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 48-19 20-6 27-12 0-0 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 55, Luciano got to the 2nd round after beating Raphael Collignon 6-2 2-6 6-2.

In the 1st round, Darderi defeated Collignon (6-2 2-6 6-2). During the match, Darderi scored 91 points vs Collignon’s 81. Luciano was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Darderi managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Luciano Darderi lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Darderi put 60% of his first serves in, winning 67% (37/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (20/36) on the 2nd serve. Darderi broke Collignon 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Darderi has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 60% of his matches (200-136). 17-11 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Darderi has a compiled169-98 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Marrakech where he overcame Tallon Griekspoor in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(4).

Luciano has a composed 20-20 win-loss record in 2025, 17-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Bastad

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Darderi
Bastad
Darderi's Record

Elias Ymer

Elias Ymer
Elias Ymer

22 - 16win/loss

Hard
6-3
I Hard
0-0
Clay
15-12
Grass
1-1
Rank
242
High
105
LLLLLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-24 8-5 16-18 0-0 1-1 0-0
2024 24-32 7-15 6-9 8-7 3-1 0-0
2023 42-41 10-13 24-17 7-10 1-1 0-0
2022 39-32 12-11 20-15 5-4 2-2 0-0
2021 35-29 9-9 20-11 6-8 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 264, Elias reached the 2nd round after beating Tristan Boyer 6-3 3-6 6-2.

In the 1st round, The Swede defeated Boyer (6-3 3-6 6-2). During the match Ymer scored 83 points vs Boyer’s 67. The Swede was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, Ymer scored 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Elias Ymer was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (40/52) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Swede broke Boyer 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Ymer’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Chennai Challenger.

The Swede has an aggregate 22-16 win-loss record in 2025, 15-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Bastad

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2014, 2019, 2021 and 2022. See his history.

Ymer
Bastad
Ymer's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

L.Darderi
E.Ymer
2h:09
2h:09
Time on court​
2h:14
2h:14
!
2h:09
2h:09
Last match​
!
2h:14
2h:14
1
1
Match played
1
1
24
24
Games Played​
26
26
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
91
91
Total points​
83
83
91
91
Avg point​
83
83
37
37
Winners
40
40
37
37
Avg Winners​
40
40
41%
41%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
2
2
5
5
Avg Aces
2
2
2
2
Double Faults
1
1
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1
1
37/55
37/55
1st won total​
40/52
40/52
67%
67%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
20/36
20/36
2nd won total​
11/21
11/21
56%
56%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
4/10
4/10
BP won
4/6
4/6
4/10
4/10
Avg BP won
4/6
4/6
40%
40%
Won
!
67%
67%
8
8
Conceded
7
7
8
8
Avg Conceded
7
7
2
2
Broken
2
2
2
2
Avg Broken
2
2
6
6
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Darderi Ymer
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 24 26
Pts 91-81 83-67
Total Points 172 150
Winners 37 40
%Winners 41% 48%

Both Darderi and Ymer played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Luciano Darderi surrendered 1 set, while Elias Ymer conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Darderi and Ymer have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Darderi played 2 games less than Ymer. The Italian scored 37 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Ymer made 40 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Darderi Ymer
Aces 5 2
Avg per match 5 2
1st in 55/91 52/73
%1st in 60% 71%
1st pts 37/55 40/52
%1st pts 67% 77%
2nd pts 20/36 11/21
%2nd pts 56% 52%

Darderi made 5 aces . Ymer blasted 2 aces . Darderi won 67% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Darderi Ymer
Won 4 4
Converted 4/10 4/6
% Converted 40% 67%
Conceded 8 7
Saved 6 5
% Saved 75% 71%
Times Broken 2 2

Luciano broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Ymer broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Elias conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Darderi
R1
Collignon
Total
Score 6-2 2-6 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 24 24
pts 91-81 91-81
Total points 172 172
Winners 37 37
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 55/91 55/91
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 37/55 37/55
% 1st pts 67% 67%
2nd pts 20/36 20/36
% 2nd pts 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/10 4/10
Converted % 40% 40%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 6/8 6
Saved % 75% 75%
Times Broken 2 2
Ymer
R1
Boyer
Total
Score 6-3 3-6 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 26 26
pts 83-67 83-67
Total points 150 150
Winners 40 40
%Winners 48% 48%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 52/73 52/73
% 1st in 71% 71%
1st pts 40/52 40/52
% 1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 11/21 11/21
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/6 4/6
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 5/7 5
Saved % 71% 71%
Times Broken 2 2

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Darderi
LWWWWWLWWL
Ymer
LLLLLLWWLW
2025 2024 2023
36 - 24
25 - 24
4-9
Hard
8-5
30-11
Clay
16-18
2-4
Grass
1-1

Tennis Scores in Bastad

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw