Daniel Merida Aguilar and Rafael Jodar will face off in the 2^nd round of the Pozoblanco Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 12:30 am on PISTA FABIAN DORADO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Jodar who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rafael Jodar is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Jodar -> 1.69
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 2.07

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Prediction and head to head Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Rafael Jodar

This will be the 2^nd time that Daniel Merida Aguilar and Rafael Jodar face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Merida Aguilar (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Merida Aguilar won 6-2 6-3 in the qualifications in the Madrid Challenger back in 2024.

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Ranked no. 233 (career-high), Daniel got to the 2^nd round after defeating Robin Bertrand 6-7(5) 6-1 6-1.

In the 1^st round against Bertrand, Daniel recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁵ 6-1 6-1). During the match, Merida Aguilar scored 106 points vs Bertrand’s 82. Daniel was exceptionally aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about the service games, Merida Aguilar scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniel Merida Aguilar lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Merida Aguilar put 69% of his first serves in, winning 67% (45/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the 2nd serve. Daniel broke Bertrand 7 times after converting 70% of his break points (7/10).

Merida Aguilar has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 58% of his matches (168-120). 6-2 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Merida Aguilar has an aggregate48-37 record in the last 6 years on hard.

The Spaniard’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Doha,M25 Sabadell and the Lyon Challenger.

The Spaniard has a composed 32-13 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Pozoblanco Challenger

Rafael Jodar

Ranked no. 555, Rafael reached the 2^nd round after beating Nicolas Alvarez Varona 3-6 6-2 6-4.

In the 1^st round against Alvarez Varona, Rafael recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-4). During the match Jodar scored 85 points vs Alvarez Varona’s 74. Rafael was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

About the serving games, Jodar bagged 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Rafael Jodar lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Jodar put 65% of his first serves in, winning 69% (35/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (18/27) on the 2nd serve. Rafael broke Alvarez Varona 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

The Spaniard’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Cuernavaca Challenger and the Milan Challenger.

Jodar has an overall 8-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Pozoblanco Challenger

Jodar has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Merida Aguilar	Jodar
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	27	27
Pts	106-82	85-74
Total Points	188	159
Winners	45	35
%Winners	42%	41%

Both Merida Aguilar and Jodar played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniel Merida Aguilar conceded 1 set, while Rafael Jodar lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Merida Aguilar and Jodar have played the same amount of sets 3. They also played the same amount of games (27). Merida Aguilar scored 45 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Jodar managed to score 35 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Merida Aguilar	Jodar
Aces	1	4
Avg per match	1	4
1st in	67/97	51/78
%1st in	69%	65%
1st pts	45/67	35/51
%1st pts	67%	69%
2nd pts	16/30	18/27
%2nd pts	53%	67%

Merida Aguilar made 1 ace . Jodar also made 4 aces . Merida Aguilar won 67% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Jodar won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Merida Aguilar	Jodar
Won	7	4
Converted	7/10	4/12
% Converted	70%	33%
Conceded	8	5
Saved	6	2
% Saved	75%	40%
Times Broken	2	3

Merida Aguilar broke his opponent 7 times with a 70% conversion rate. Daniel surrendered his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Jodar broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Jodar conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.

Merida Aguilar
	R1 Bertrand	Total
Score	6-75 6-1 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	27	27
pts	106-82	106-82
Total points	188	188
Winners	45	45
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	67/97	67/97
% 1st in	69%	69%
1st pts	45/67	45/67
% 1st pts	67%	67%
2nd pts	16/30	16/30
% 2nd pts	53%	53%
Breaks
Won	7	7
Converted	7/10	7/10
Converted %	70%	70%
Conceded	8	8
Saved	6/8	6
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	2	2

Jodar
	R1 Alvarez	Total
Score	3-6 6-2 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	27	27
pts	85-74	85-74
Total points	159	159
Winners	35	35
%Winners	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	51/78	51/78
% 1st in	65%	65%
1st pts	35/51	35/51
% 1st pts	69%	69%
2nd pts	18/27	18/27
% 2nd pts	67%	67%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/12	4/12
Converted %	33%	33%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	2/5	2
Saved %	40%	40%
Times Broken	3	3

Tennis Scores in Pozoblanco Challenger

• Fajing SunSun – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Khumoun SultanovSultanov – Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze (3-6 7-6⁶ 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Darwin BlanchBlanch – Alex MartinezMartinez (7-6(4) 6-2) – See score progression
• Ryan PenistonPeniston – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – Dan AddedAdded (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Miguel CejudoCejudo (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Edward WinterWinter – Mateus AlvesAlves (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Johannus MondayMonday – Fabrizio AndaloroAndaloro (6-4 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Gastao EliasElias – Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Matias SotoSoto – Matteo MartineauMartineau (6-4 3-6 7-6³) – See score progression
• Rafael JodarJodar – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – Robin BertrandBertrand (6-7⁵ 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Edas ButvilasButvilas – Jie CuiCui (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Tiago PereiraPereira – Alejandro Lopez EscribanoLopez Escribano (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Miguel CejudoCejudo (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Johannus MondayMonday – Fabrizio AndaloroAndaloro (6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
• Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – Dan AddedAdded (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Fajing SunSun – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Darwin BlanchBlanch – Alex MartinezMartinez (7-6(4) 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Gastao EliasElias – Oliver CrawfordCrawford (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Khumoun SultanovSultanov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hugo GrenierGrenier – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ryan PenistonPeniston – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Fajing SunSun – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mateus De Carvalho CardosoDe Carvalho Cardoso – (0-0) – H2H and prediction