Thiago Moura Monteiro and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will square off in the 1^st round of the Nordea Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Thiago Moura Monteiro who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Thiago Moura Monteiro is the pick to win this match.
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 1.52
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer -> 2.53

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Thiago Moura Monteiro vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

There is no head to head record between Thiago Moura Monteiro and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Thiago Moura Monteiro

Ranked no. 152, Thiago got to the 1^st round after defeating Andrej Martin 7-5 6-1 and Vilius Gaubas 1-6 6-2 6-3.

In the qualifications against Gaubas, Moura Monteiro recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-2 6-3). During the match, Moura Monteiro scored 73 points vs Gaubas’s 65. Thiago was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Moura Monteiro made 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Thiago Moura Monteiro lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Moura Monteiro put 57% of his first serves in, winning 81% (30/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. Thiago broke Gaubas 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brazilian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Moura Monteiro has positive record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (359-284). 15-15 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Moura Monteiro has an overall 289-186 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Thiago’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Santiago Challenger and the Asuncion Challenger.

The Brazilian has an aggregate 18-19 win-loss record in 2025, 15-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Bastad

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Ranked no. 298, the Norwegian got to the 1^st round after defeating Thiago Seyboth Wild 6-3 6-4 and Pablo Llamas Ruiz 3-6 7-6(4) 6-3.

In the qualifications against Llamas Ruiz, Nicolai recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-6⁴ 6-3). During the match Budkov Kjaer scored 101 points vs Llamas Ruiz’s 100. The Norwegian was extremely aggressive to blast 60 winners.

Talking about serving, Budkov Kjaer made 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Budkov Kjaer put 72% of his first serves in, winning 70% (60/86) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (16/34) on the 2nd serve. Nicolai broke Llamas Ruiz twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Norwegian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Glasgow Challenger where he beat Viktor Durasovic in the final 6-4 6-3.

Budkov Kjaer has an overall 22-17 win-loss record in 2025, 7-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Bastad

The Norwegian has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Moura Monteiro	Budkov Kjaer
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	43	50
Pts	147-117	167-156
Total Points	264	323
Winners	56	88
%Winners	38%	53%

Both Moura Monteiro and Budkov Kjaer played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Thiago Moura Monteiro conceded 1 set, while Nicolai Budkov Kjaer conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Moura Monteiro and Budkov Kjaer have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Moura Monteiro played 7 games less than Budkov Kjaer. Moura Monteiro scored 56 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Norwegian recorded 88 winners (53%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Moura Monteiro	Budkov Kjaer
Aces	5	6
Avg per match	2.5	3
1st in	70/116	127/177
%1st in	60%	72%
1st pts	56/70	88/127
%1st pts	80%	69%
2nd pts	28/46	26/50
%2nd pts	61%	52%

Moura Monteiro managed to score 5 aces (2.5 per match). Budkov Kjaer fired 6 aces (3 per match). Moura Monteiro won 80% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Budkov Kjaer won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Moura Monteiro	Budkov Kjaer
Won	6	5
Converted	6/17	5/12
% Converted	35%	42%
Conceded	4	14
Saved	2	10
% Saved	50%	71%
Times Broken	2	4

The Brazilian broke his opponents 6 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Budkov Kjaer broke his opponents 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Nicolai conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Moura Monteiro
	Q1 Martin	Q3 Gaubas	Total
Score	7-5 6-1	1-6 6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	19	24	43
pts	74-52	73-65	147-117
Total points	126	138	264
Winners	26	30	56
%Winners	35%	41%	38%
SERVE
Aces	2	3	5
Double Faults	2	1	3
1st in	33/51	37/65	70/116
% 1st in	65%	57%	60%
1st pts	26/33	30/37	56/70
% 1st pts	79%	81%	80%
2nd pts	14/18	14/28	28/46
% 2nd pts	78%	50%	61%
Breaks
Won	3	3	6
Converted	3/7	3/10	6/17
Converted %	43%	30%	35%
Conceded	0	4	4
Saved	0/0	2/4	2
Saved %	–	50%	25%
Times Broken	0	2	2

Budkov Kjaer
	Q1 Seyboth Wild	Q3 Llamas Ruiz	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	3-6 7-64 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	19	31	50
pts	66-56	101-100	167-156
Total points	122	201	323
Winners	28	60	88
%Winners	42%	59%	53%
SERVE
Aces	4	2	6
Double Faults	1	2	3
1st in	41/57	86/120	127/177
% 1st in	72%	72%	72%
1st pts	28/41	60/86	88/127
% 1st pts	68%	70%	69%
2nd pts	10/16	16/34	26/50
% 2nd pts	63%	47%	52%
Breaks
Won	3	2	5
Converted	3/8	2/4	5/12
Converted %	38%	50%	42%
Conceded	3	11	14
Saved	2/3	8/11	10
Saved %	67%	73%	70%
Times Broken	1	3	4

Tennis Scores in Bastad

• Jesper De JongDe Jong – William Rejchtman VinciguerraRejchtman Vinciguerra (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ariel Behar/Joran VliegenBehar/Joran Vliegen – Ivan Dodig/Jamie MurrayDodig/Jamie Murray (6-2 3-6 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Luciano DarderiDarderi – Raphael CollignonCollignon (6-2 2-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elias YmerYmer – Tristan BoyerBoyer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera – Mariano NavoneNavone (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Mikael YmerYmer – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Christian GarinGarin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Vit KoprivaKopriva – Hugo DellienDellien (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hugo GastonGaston – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Filip MisolicMisolic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction