Vilius Gaubas and Thiago Moura Monteiro will square off in the qualifications of the Nordea Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Vilius Gaubas who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Vilius Gaubas is the pick to win this match.
Vilius Gaubas -> 1.52
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 2.4
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Prediction and head to head Vilius Gaubas vs. Thiago Moura Monteiro
This will be the 2nd time that Vilius Gaubas and Thiago Moura Monteiro play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Moura Monteiro (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Moura Monteiro won 7-5 6-3 in the 1st round in the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger back in 2024.
Vilius Gaubas
23 - 17win/loss
128
128
LLLWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-27 | 1-4 | 35-18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-35 | 7-4 | 40-28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-26 | 3-3 | 55-21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-17 | 4-4 | 15-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 140, Gaubas got to the qualifications after beating Ludvig Fredrik Hede 6-1 6-2.
In the qualifications, Gaubas had a good straight sets win against Fredrik Hede (6-1 6-2). During the match, Gaubas scored 63 points vs Fredrik Hede’s 35. Gaubas was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gaubas bagged 5 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Vilius Gaubas conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 79% of his first serves in, win 88% (30/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (3/9) on the 2nd serve. Gaubas broke Fredrik Hede 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Gaubas has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 60% of his matches (152-101). 19-9 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gaubas has an aggregate131-74 win-loss record in the last 5 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Menorca Challenger where he defeated Pol Martin Tiffon in the final 6-0 6-4.
The Lithuanian has a composed 23-17 win-loss record in 2025, 19-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Vilius has never competed in this tournament before.
Thiago Moura Monteiro
17 - 19win/loss
176
61
LLWLLWLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-30 | 3-4 | 23-25 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-28 | 1-3 | 33-17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-30 | 3-7 | 30-22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-33 | 8-8 | 28-16 | 4-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-27 | 8-8 | 25-18 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 142, Thiago reached the qualifications after beating Andrej Martin 7-5 6-1.
In the qualifications, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Martin (7-5 6-1). During the match Moura Monteiro scored 74 points vs Martin’s 52. The Brazilian was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Moura Monteiro bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Thiago Moura Monteiro was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 78% (14/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Moura Monteiro broke Martin 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
The Brazilian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Santiago Challenger and the Asuncion Challenger.
Moura Monteiro has a compiled 17-19 win-loss record in 2025, 14-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gaubas | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 19 |
| Pts | 63-35 | 74-52 |
| Total Points | 98 | 126 |
| Winners | 30 | 26 |
| %Winners | 48% | 35% |
Both Gaubas and Moura Monteiro played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Gaubas and Moura Monteiro have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Gaubas played 4 games less than Moura Monteiro. Gaubas scored 30 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Thiago bagged 26 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gaubas | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 34/43 | 33/51 |
| %1st in | 79% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 30/34 | 26/33 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 3/9 | 14/18 |
| %2nd pts | 33% | 78% |
Gaubas made 5 aces . Moura Monteiro blasted 2 aces . Gaubas won 88% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 33% of the points. On the other side, Moura Monteiro won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 78% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gaubas | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 50% | 43% |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 |
| Saved | 0 | 0 |
| % Saved | 0% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The Lithuanian broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Lithuanian had a solid display on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Brazilian broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Moura Monteiro was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Gaubas | |||
| Q1 Fredrik |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 63-35 | 63-35 | |
| Total points | 98 | 98 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 34/43 | 34/43 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 79% | |
| 1st pts | 30/34 | 30/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 33% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Moura Monteiro | |||
| Q1 Martin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 74-52 | 74-52 | |
| Total points | 126 | 126 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 33/51 | 33/51 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 26/33 | 26/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/18 | 14/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 78% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWWWWW
LLWLLWLWLL 
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