Andrea Pellegrino and Timofey Skatov will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Nordea Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on COURT 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Timofey Skatov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Timofey Skatov is the pick to win this match.
Timofey Skatov -> 1.65
Andrea Pellegrino -> 2.13
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Prediction and head to head Andrea Pellegrino vs. Timofey Skatov
This will be the 4th time that Andrea Pellegrino and Timofey Skatov face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Skatov (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Skatov won 6-4 6-1 in the qualifications in Bastad back in 2024.
Andrea Pellegrino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-18 | 0-2 | 31-14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-30 | 0-2 | 24-26 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-29 | 2-2 | 28-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-28 | 0-3 | 27-20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-29 | 2-3 | 22-23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 139, Andrea reached the qualifications after defeating Daniel Michalski 6-3 6-7(3) 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Italian defeated Michalski (6-3 6-73 6-2). During the match, Pellegrino scored 100 points vs Michalski’s 83. Andrea was very aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pellegrino made 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrea Pellegrino lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Pellegrino put 68% of his first serves in, winning 74% (48/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Michalski 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Pellegrino has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (290-251). 28-12 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pellegrino has an overall 251-189 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Perugia Challenger where he beat Nerman Fatic in the final 6-2 6-4.
Andrea has an aggregate 28-14 win-loss record in 2025, 28-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Timofey Skatov
19 - 19win/loss
308
123
WWWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-23 | 6-7 | 22-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-23 | 5-7 | 29-14 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 6-4 | 23-22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-32 | 4-3 | 30-27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 0-2 | 33-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 209, Skatov got to the qualifications after defeating Sumit Nagal 6-2 6-4.
In the qualifications, Timofey had a good straight sets win against Nagal (6-2 6-4). During the match Skatov scored 63 points vs Nagal’s 41. Timofey was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.
About the serving games, Skatov couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Timofey Skatov was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (20/26) of his 1st serve and 73% (16/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Kazakhstani broke Nagal 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
The Kazakhstani has an overall 19-19 win-loss record in 2025, 12-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pellegrino | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 18 |
| Pts | 100-83 | 63-41 |
| Total Points | 183 | 104 |
| Winners | 48 | 20 |
| %Winners | 48% | 32% |
Both Pellegrino and Skatov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Andrea Pellegrino conceded 1 set while Timofey Skatov hasn’t dropped a set so far. Pellegrino has played 1 set more than Skatov (3 vs 2). Therefore, Pellegrino played 12 games more than Skatov. Andrea scored 48 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Skatov blasted 20 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pellegrino | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 0 |
| 1st in | 65/96 | 26/48 |
| %1st in | 68% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 48/65 | 20/26 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 16/22 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 73% |
Pellegrino fired 8 aces . Skatov didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Pellegrino won 74% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Skatov won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 73% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pellegrino | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded | 8 | 2 |
| Saved | 6 | 1 |
| % Saved | 75% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The Italian broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Timofey broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Timofey conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pellegrino | |||
| Q1 Michalski |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-73 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 100-83 | 100-83 | |
| Total points | 183 | 183 | |
| Winners | 48 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 65/96 | 65/96 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 48/65 | 48/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 15/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Skatov | |||
| Q1 Nagal |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 63-41 | 63-41 | |
| Total points | 104 | 104 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 26/48 | 26/48 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 20/26 | 20/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/22 | 16/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 73% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWWWLL
WWWWWLWWWW 
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