Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz will play each other in the final of Wimbledon for the 14th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.82
Jannik Sinner -> 2.06
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz
This will be the 14th time that Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz face off. The head to head is 9-4 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but Sinner has a winning record of 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they fought against each other, Alcaraz won 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2) in the final in at the French Open back in June 2025.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner – French Open 08-June-2025
Jannik Sinner
26 - 3win/loss
2
1
WWWWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58-6 | 24-3 | 11-2 | 15-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Italian reached the final after beating Luca Nardi 6-4 6-3 6-0, Aleksandar Vukic 6-1 6-1 6-3, Pedro Martinez Portero 6-1 6-3 6-1, Grigor Dimitrov 3-6 5-7 2-2 ret., Ben Shelton 7-6(2) 6-4 6-4 and Novak Djokovic 6-3 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Djokovic (6-3 6-3 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 95 points vs Djokovic’s 70. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner fired 12 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was quite efficient on serve to win 81% (44/54) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Jannik broke Djokovic 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sinner hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 60% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 75% of his matches (371-124). 7-1 on grass in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has an aggregate30-12 record in the last 8 years on grass.
His best result of the season was conquering the title at the Australian Open where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3.
The Italian has a compiled 25-3 win-loss record in 2025, 7-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Carlos Alcaraz
48 - 6win/loss
1
1
LWWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 71-9 | 28-4 | 22-1 | 10-3 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Alcaraz got to the final after defeating Fabio Fognini 7-5 6-7(5) 7-5 2-6 6-1, Oliver Tarvet 6-1 6-4 6-4, Jan-Lennard Struff 6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4, Andrey Rublev 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 6-4, Cameron Norrie 6-2 6-3 6-3 and Taylor Fritz 6-4 5-7 6-3 7-6(6).
In the semifinal, Carlos defeated Fritz (6-4 5-7 6-3 7-66). During the match Alcaraz scored 122 points vs Fritz’s 112. Carlos was quite aggressive to blast 64 winners.
About the serving games, Alcaraz managed to score 13 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was extremely efficient on serve to win 88% (64/73) of his 1st serve and 58% (23/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alcaraz broke Fritz 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 5 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0 and in Rome where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2) and in London where he defeated Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2.
Carlos has a compiled 48-5 win-loss record in 2025, 11-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, he won this tournament twice in 2023 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 19 | 23 |
| Tot Games | 157 | 226 |
| Pts | 546-400 | 754-638 |
| Total Points | 946 | 1392 |
| Winners | 225 | 343 |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% |
Both Sinner and Alcaraz played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner lost 2 sets, while Carlos Alcaraz lost 5 sets. Sinner has played 4 set(s) less than Alcaraz (19 vs 23). Therefore, Sinner played 69 games less than Alcaraz. The Italian scored 225 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Alcaraz made 343 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 55 | 75 |
| Avg per match | 9.2 | 12.5 |
| 1st in | 276/437 | 441/698 |
| %1st in | 63% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 225/276 | 343/441 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 103/161 | 141/257 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 55% |
Sinner struck 55 aces (9.2 per match). Alcaraz made 75 aces (12.5 per match). Sinner won 82% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Alcaraz won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 25 | 30 |
| Converted | 25/53 | 30/66 |
| % Converted | 47% | 45% |
| Conceded | 17 | 48 |
| Saved | 13 | 37 |
| % Saved | 76% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 11 |
Sinner broke his opponents 25 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 30 times with a 45% conversion rate. Carlos conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | ||||||||
| R1 Nardi |
R2 Vukic |
R3 Martinez Portero |
R4 Dimitrov |
1/4 Shelton |
1/2 Djokovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 6-0 | 6-1 6-1 6-3 | 6-1 6-3 6-1 | 3-6 5-7 2-2 ret. | 7-62 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 33 | 28 | 157 | |
| pts | 96-57 | 91-53 | 93-60 | 65-79 | 106-81 | 95-70 | 546-400 | |
| Total points | 153 | 144 | 153 | 144 | 187 | 165 | 946 | |
| Winners | 34 | 35 | 34 | 28 | 50 | 44 | 225 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 38% | 37% | 43% | 47% | 46% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 9 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 55 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 38/65 | 51/80 | 43/74 | 34/59 | 56/86 | 54/73 | 276/437 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 64% | 58% | 58% | 65% | 74% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 34/38 | 35/51 | 34/43 | 28/34 | 50/56 | 44/54 | 225/276 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 69% | 79% | 82% | 89% | 81% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/27 | 22/29 | 19/31 | 11/25 | 20/30 | 12/19 | 103/161 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 76% | 61% | 44% | 67% | 63% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 25 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 6/9 | 6/14 | 1/2 | 2/5 | 5/10 | 25/53 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 67% | 43% | 50% | 40% | 50% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/4 | 4/4 | 2/5 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 13 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 100% | 40% | 100% | 50% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Alcaraz | ||||||||
| R1 Fognini |
R2 Tarvet |
R3 Struff |
R4 Rublev |
1/4 Norrie |
1/2 Fritz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-75 7-5 2-6 6-1 | 6-1 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-75 6-3 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 5-7 6-3 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23 | |
| Tot Games | 52 | 27 | 35 | 42 | 26 | 44 | 226 | |
| pts | 184-173 | 100-73 | 125-105 | 129-110 | 94-65 | 122-112 | 754-638 | |
| Total points | 357 | 173 | 230 | 239 | 159 | 234 | 1392 | |
| Winners | 77 | 43 | 46 | 64 | 49 | 64 | 343 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 43% | 37% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 14 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 13 | 13 | 75 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 27 | |
| 1st in | 110/189 | 62/96 | 63/108 | 78/116 | 55/76 | 73/113 | 441/698 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 65% | 58% | 67% | 72% | 65% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 77/110 | 43/62 | 46/63 | 64/78 | 49/55 | 64/73 | 343/441 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 69% | 73% | 82% | 89% | 88% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 41/79 | 18/34 | 28/45 | 24/38 | 7/21 | 23/40 | 141/257 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 53% | 62% | 63% | 33% | 58% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 30 | |
| Converted | 7/15 | 6/10 | 5/12 | 4/11 | 5/11 | 3/7 | 30/66 | |
| Converted % | 47% | 60% | 42% | 36% | 45% | 43% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 21 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 48 | |
| Saved | 16/21 | 9/11 | 3/5 | 3/4 | 5/5 | 1/2 | 37 | |
| Saved % | 76% | 82% | 60% | 75% | 100% | 50% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
LWWWWLWWWW Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
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