Adrian Mannarino and Zachary Svajda will play each other in the final of the Newport Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Zachary Svajda who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Zachary Svajda is the pick to win this match.
Zachary Svajda -> 1.86
Adrian Mannarino -> 1.86
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Prediction and head to head Adrian Mannarino vs. Zachary Svajda
This will be the 2nd time that Adrian Mannarino and Zachary Svajda face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Svajda (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they squared off, Svajda won 6-3 1-6 6-0 in the 1st round in Shanghai back in 2024.
Adrian Mannarino
21 - 27win/loss
89
17
LWWWWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-30 | 9-12 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 14-6 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 123, Mannarino reached the final after defeating Yasutaka Uchiyama 6-3 6-4, Tyler Zink 6-3 7-5, Bernard Tomic 4-6 6-2 6-1 and Antoine Ghibaudo 6-2 7-5.
In the semifinal, Adrian had a good straight sets win against Ghibaudo (6-2 7-5). During the match, Mannarino scored 65 points vs Ghibaudo’s 49. Mannarino was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mannarino scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 3 double faults. Adrian Mannarino lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Mannarino put 55% of his first serves in, winning 59% (19/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the 2nd serve. Mannarino broke Ghibaudo 7 times after converting 88% of his break points (7/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Mannarino has won exactly 50% of his matches (288-284) in the last 10 years. 14-5 on grass in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Mannarino has an overall 68-41 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
The French player best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Mexico City Challenger and the Newport Challenger.
Mannarino has a composed 21-26 win-loss record in 2025, 14-5 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Newport Challenger
Mannarino has never competed in this tournament before.
Zachary Svajda
21 - 17win/loss
133
102
LWWWWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-19 | 14-13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 14-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-35 | 27-21 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-24 | 28-8 | 2-6 | 10-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-23 | 25-14 | 0-3 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-13 | 24-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 229, Zachary reached the final after defeating Quinn Vandecasteele 6-2 6-3, Brandon Holt 4-6 6-0 6-1, Yosuke Watanuki 7-5 6-4 and Eliot Spizzirri 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, The American had a good straight sets win against Spizzirri (6-3 6-4). During the match Svajda scored 76 points vs Spizzirri’s 62. Svajda was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Svajda fired 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Zachary Svajda was quite effective on serve to win 83% (30/36) of his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Svajda broke Spizzirri twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Zachary has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Svajda’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Ilkley Challenger and the Newport Challenger.
Zachary has a composed 20-17 win-loss record in 2025, 13-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mannarino | Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 85 | 81 |
| Pts | 272-211 | 299-210 |
| Total Points | 483 | 509 |
| Winners | 111 | 102 |
| %Winners | 41% | 34% |
Both Mannarino and Svajda played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Adrian Mannarino conceded 1 set, while Zachary Svajda conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Mannarino and Svajda have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Mannarino played 4 games more than Svajda. The French player scored 111 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Zachary recorded 102 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mannarino | Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 146/247 | 125/233 |
| %1st in | 59% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 111/146 | 102/125 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 51/101 | 66/108 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 61% |
Mannarino recorded 22 aces (5.5 per match). Svajda fired 28 aces (7 per match). Mannarino won 76% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Svajda won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mannarino | Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 16 |
| Converted | 19/26 | 16/39 |
| % Converted | 73% | 41% |
| Conceded | 16 | 11 |
| Saved | 8 | 7 |
| % Saved | 50% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 4 |
Mannarino broke his opponents 19 times with a 73% conversion rate. The French player dropped his serve 8 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Zachary broke his opponents 16 times with a 41% conversion rate. Zachary conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mannarino | ||||||
| R1 Uchiyama |
R2 Zink |
1/4 Tomic |
1/2 Ghibaudo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | 4-6 6-2 6-1 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 21 | 25 | 20 | 85 | |
| pts | 63-46 | 64-54 | 80-62 | 65-49 | 272-211 | |
| Total points | 109 | 118 | 142 | 114 | 483 | |
| Winners | 29 | 24 | 39 | 19 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 38% | 49% | 29% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 31/54 | 34/63 | 49/72 | 32/58 | 146/247 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 54% | 68% | 55% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 29/31 | 24/34 | 39/49 | 19/32 | 111/146 | |
| % 1st pts | 94% | 71% | 80% | 59% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 15/29 | 9/23 | 14/26 | 51/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 52% | 39% | 54% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 5/6 | 5/9 | 7/8 | 19/26 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 83% | 56% | 88% | 73% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/4 | 2/4 | 3/7 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 50% | 43% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | |
| Svajda | ||||||
| R1 Vandecasteele |
R2 Holt |
1/4 Watanuki |
1/2 Spizzirri |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 6-0 6-1 | 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 81 | |
| pts | 64-42 | 80-41 | 79-65 | 76-62 | 299-210 | |
| Total points | 106 | 121 | 144 | 138 | 509 | |
| Winners | 24 | 27 | 21 | 30 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 34% | 27% | 39% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 26/40 | 31/55 | 32/71 | 36/67 | 125/233 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 56% | 45% | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 24/26 | 27/31 | 21/32 | 30/36 | 102/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 87% | 66% | 83% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 19/24 | 21/39 | 17/31 | 66/108 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 79% | 54% | 55% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/10 | 5/11 | 2/9 | 16/39 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 50% | 45% | 22% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1/4 | 5/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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