Thiago Agustin Tirante and Matej Dodig will face off in the final of the Trieste Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:45 am on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Thiago Agustin Tirante who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Thiago Agustin Tirante is the pick to win this match.
Thiago Agustin Tirante -> 1.35
Matej Dodig -> 2.99

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Matej Dodig

This will be the 2^nd time that Thiago Agustin Tirante and Matej Dodig play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Agustin Tirante (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Agustin Tirante won 7-6(3) 6-4 in the 1^st round in the Braga Challenger back in 2024.

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Ranked no. 121, Agustin Tirante got to the final after defeating Henrique Rocha 6-0 6-4, Ugo Blanchet 6-1 6-1, Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 6-2 6-2 and Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal, Thiago had a good straight sets win against Diaz Acosta (6-4 6-4). During the match, Agustin Tirante scored 71 points vs Diaz Acosta’s 63. Agustin Tirante was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Agustin Tirante made 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Thiago Agustin Tirante was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (26/34) of his 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Thiago broke Diaz Acosta twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Agustin Tirante hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 61% of the points he played.

Agustin Tirante has a winning win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 58% of his matches (239-175). 20-13 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Agustin Tirante has a composed174-132 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Cordoba Challenger where he beat Juan Pablo Ficovich in the final 6-4 6-0.

Thiago has an aggregate 27-18 win-loss record in 2025, 20-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Trieste Challenger

Matej Dodig

Ranked no. 368, Matej reached the final after beating Carlo Alberto Caniato 6-4 3-6 6-3, Pietro Pampanin 6-4 6-0, Dalibor Svrcina 6-4 6-2, Jurij Rodionov 6-4 6-3, Lukas Neumayer 7-6(5) 6-2 and Sumit Nagal 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal, Matej had a good straight sets win against Nagal (6-3 6-4). During the match Dodig scored 65 points vs Nagal’s 52. Dodig was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Dodig recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Matej Dodig was pretty efficient on serve to win 76% (29/38) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Dodig was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Nagal 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Croatian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Matej’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M25 Bol and the Trieste Challenger.

Dodig has an overall 18-18 win-loss record in 2025, 18-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Agustin Tirante	Dodig
Match played	4	6
Tot Set	8	13
Tot Games	66	121
Pts	242-157	418-344
Total Points	399	762
Winners	87	154
%Winners	36%	37%

Agustin Tirante played 4 matches while Dodig competed in 6 matches. Dodig started his run from the qualifications while Agustin Tirante had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Matej Dodig surrendered 1 set while Thiago Agustin Tirante hasn’t dropped a set so far. Agustin Tirante has played 5 set(s) less than Dodig (8 vs 13). Therefore, Agustin Tirante played 55 games less than Dodig. Agustin Tirante scored 87 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Croatian recorded 154 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Agustin Tirante	Dodig
Aces	14	15
Avg per match	3.5	2.5
1st in	111/193	220/386
%1st in	58%	57%
1st pts	87/111	154/220
%1st pts	78%	70%
2nd pts	50/82	99/166
%2nd pts	61%	60%

Agustin Tirante blasted 14 aces (3.5 per match). Dodig struck 15 aces (2.5 per match). Agustin Tirante won 78% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Dodig won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Agustin Tirante	Dodig
Won	17	24
Converted	17/31	24/45
% Converted	55%	53%
Conceded	12	32
Saved	10	22
% Saved	83%	69%
Times Broken	2	10

Thiago broke his opponents 17 times with a 55% conversion rate. Thiago dropped his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Matej broke his opponents 24 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Croatian conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Agustin Tirante
	R1 Rocha	R2 Blanchet	1/4 Rodriguez Taverna	1/2 Diaz Acosta	Total
Score	6-0 6-4	6-1 6-1	6-2 6-2	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	16	14	16	20	66
pts	61-39	53-21	57-34	71-63	242-157
Total points	100	74	91	134	399
Winners	18	17	26	26	87
%Winners	30%	32%	46%	37%	36%
SERVE
Aces	2	2	5	5	14
Double Faults	2	1	2	2	7
1st in	28/48	18/33	31/50	34/62	111/193
% 1st in	58%	55%	62%	55%	58%
1st pts	18/28	17/18	26/31	26/34	87/111
% 1st pts	64%	94%	84%	76%	78%
2nd pts	11/20	11/15	10/19	18/28	50/82
% 2nd pts	55%	73%	53%	64%	61%
Breaks
Won	6	5	4	2	17
Converted	6/9	5/8	4/5	2/9	17/31
Converted %	67%	63%	80%	22%	55%
Conceded	4	0	3	5	12
Saved	2/4	0/0	3/3	5/5	10
Saved %	50%	–	100%	100%	63%
Times Broken	2	0	0	0	2

Dodig
	Q1 Alberto	Q3 Pampanin	R1 Svrcina	R2 Rodionov	1/4 Neumayer	1/2 Nagal	Total
Score	6-4 3-6 6-3	6-4 6-0	6-4 6-2	6-4 6-3	7-65 6-2	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	2	2	2	2	13
Tot Games	28	16	18	19	21	19	121
pts	77-73	63-40	69-55	66-56	78-68	65-52	418-344
Total points	150	103	124	122	146	117	762
Winners	28	20	21	27	29	29	154
%Winners	36%	32%	30%	41%	37%	45%	37%
SERVE
Aces	3	0	2	0	7	3	15
Double Faults	3	4	0	4	1	1	13
1st in	36/73	27/45	37/63	38/63	44/81	38/61	220/386
% 1st in	49%	60%	59%	60%	54%	62%	57%
1st pts	28/36	20/27	21/37	27/38	29/44	29/38	154/220
% 1st pts	78%	74%	57%	71%	66%	76%	70%
2nd pts	20/37	10/18	17/26	14/25	24/37	14/23	99/166
% 2nd pts	54%	56%	65%	56%	65%	61%	60%
Breaks
Won	4	6	5	3	3	3	24
Converted	4/9	6/10	5/10	3/9	3/4	3/3	24/45
Converted %	44%	60%	50%	33%	75%	100%	53%
Conceded	3	5	8	3	10	3	32
Saved	0/3	3/5	6/8	2/3	9/10	2/3	22
Saved %	0%	60%	75%	67%	90%	67%	90%
Times Broken	3	2	2	1	1	1	10

Upcoming matches in the draw