H2H, prediction of Sumit Nagal vs Matej Dodig in Trieste Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 12th July 2025

PREVIEW. Trieste Challenger. Nagal and Dodig will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Trieste Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Saturday the 12th of July

Prediction and head to head Sumit Nagal vs. Matej Dodig

Sumit Nagal and Matej Dodig will face off in the semifinal of the Trieste Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on COURT 4. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sumit Nagal who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Sumit Nagal is the pick to win this match.
Sumit Nagal -> 1.82
Matej Dodig -> 1.9

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Sumit Nagal vs. Matej Dodig

There is no head to head record between Sumit Nagal and Matej Dodig since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Sumit Nagal

Sumit Nagal
Sumit Nagal

16 - 18win/loss

Hard
2-3
I Hard
0-0
Clay
14-14
Grass
0-1
Rank
299
High
68
LWLLWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 21-23 2-3 19-19 0-0 0-1 0-0
2024 32-29 15-13 16-11 1-4 0-1 0-0
2023 46-29 9-8 32-17 5-4 0-0 0-0
2022 17-18 0-1 16-17 1-0 0-0 0-0
2021 23-26 1-4 22-22 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 296, the Indian reached the semifinal after beating Luca Castagnola 6-2 6-1, Neil Oberleitner 6-4 6-2, Chun Hsin Tseng 6-1 2-6 7-6(5), Marco Cecchinato 6-2 6-4 and Maxim Mrva 6-1 3-6 6-1.

In the quarter, Sumit defeated Mrva (6-1 3-6 6-1). During the match, Nagal scored 74 points vs Mrva’s 55. The Indian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, Nagal scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Sumit Nagal lost the serve 4 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Nagal put 61% of his first serves in, winning 67% (28/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the 2nd serve. The Indian broke Mrva 7 times after converting 88% of his break points (7/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Indian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 2 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Nagal has good match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (300-219). 14-13 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nagal has an aggregate 229-140 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Sumit has a composed 16-17 win-loss record in 2025, 14-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Trieste Challenger

The Indian has never competed in this tournament before.

Nagal
Trieste Challenger
Nagal's Record

Matej Dodig

Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig

18 - 18win/loss

Clay
18-14
Rank
268
High
242
WWLLLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-21 0-0 22-17 0-4 0-0 0-0
2024 46-26 14-5 30-20 2-1 0-0 0-0
2023 43-16 1-2 38-12 2-1 0-0 2-1

Ranked no. 368, Matej got to the semifinal after beating Carlo Alberto Caniato 6-4 3-6 6-3, Pietro Pampanin 6-4 6-0, Dalibor Svrcina 6-4 6-2, Jurij Rodionov 6-4 6-3 and Lukas Neumayer 7-6(5) 6-2.

In the quarter, The Croatian had a good straight sets win against Neumayer (7-65 6-2). During the match Dodig scored 78 points vs Neumayer’s 68. Dodig was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Dodig bagged 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Matej Dodig lost the serve once and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Dodig put 54% of his first serves in, winning 66% (29/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (24/37) on the 2nd serve. The Croatian broke Neumayer 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dodig started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Dodig’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Bol.

Dodig has an aggregate 17-18 win-loss record in 2025, 17-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Dodig
Trieste Challenger
Dodig's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

S.Nagal
M.Dodig
8h:40
8h:40
Time on court​
8h:36
8h:36
1h:43
1h:43
Last match​
1h:58
1h:58
5
5
Match played
5
5
102
102
Games Played​
102
102
12
12
Set played​​
11
11
362
362
Total points​
353
353
72.4
72.4
Avg point​
70.6
70.6
139
139
Winners
125
125
27.8
27.8
Avg Winners​
25
25
38%
38%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
12
12
0.8
0.8
Avg Aces
2.4
2.4
10
10
Double Faults
12
12
2
2
Avg Double Faults
2.4
2.4
139/196
139/196
1st won total​
125/182
125/182
!
71%
71%
1st won %
69%
69%
64/119
64/119
2nd won total​
85/143
85/143
54%
54%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
25/47
25/47
BP won
21/42
21/42
5/9.4
5/9.4
Avg BP won
4.2/8.4
4.2/8.4
!
53%
53%
Won
50%
50%
23
23
Conceded
29
29
4.6
4.6
Avg Conceded
5.8
5.8
10
10
Broken
9
9
2
2
Avg Broken
1.8
1.8
13
13
Saved
20
20

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nagal Dodig
Match played 5 5
Tot Set 12 11
Tot Games 102 102
Pts 362-289 353-292
Total Points 651 645
Winners 139 125
%Winners 38% 35%

Both Nagal and Dodig played 5 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Sumit Nagal dropped 2 sets, while Matej Dodig dropped 1 set. Nagal has played 1 set more than Dodig (12 vs 11). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (102). Nagal scored 139 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Croatian recorded 125 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nagal Dodig
Aces 4 12
Avg per match 0.8 2.4
1st in 196/315 182/325
%1st in 62% 56%
1st pts 139/196 125/182
%1st pts 71% 69%
2nd pts 64/119 85/143
%2nd pts 54% 59%

Nagal fired 4 aces (0.8 per match). Dodig fired 12 aces (2.4 per match). Nagal won 71% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Dodig won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nagal Dodig
Won 25 21
Converted 25/47 21/42
% Converted 53% 50%
Conceded 23 29
Saved 13 20
% Saved 57% 69%
Times Broken 10 9

Sumit broke his opponents 25 times with a 53% conversion rate. Nagal conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Dodig broke his opponents 21 times with a 50% conversion rate. Dodig conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Nagal
Q1
Castagnola
Q3
Oberleitner
R1
Hsin
R2
Cecchinato
1/4
Mrva
Total
Score 6-2 6-1 6-4 6-2 6-1 2-6 7-65 6-2 6-4 6-1 3-6 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 3 2 3 12
Tot Games 15 18 28 18 23 102
pts 56-37 74-56 91-90 67-51 74-55 362-289
Total points 93 130 181 118 129 651
Winners 22 21 37 31 28 139
%Winners 39% 28% 41% 46% 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 2 1 0 0 1 4
Double Faults 3 1 3 1 2 10
1st in 27/42 30/53 55/96 42/55 42/69 196/315
% 1st in 64% 57% 57% 76% 61% 62%
1st pts 22/27 21/30 37/55 31/42 28/42 139/196
% 1st pts 81% 70% 67% 74% 67% 71%
2nd pts 8/15 17/23 16/41 9/13 14/27 64/119
% 2nd pts 53% 74% 39% 69% 52% 54%
Breaks
Won 5 4 6 3 7 25
Converted 5/10 4/15 6/7 3/7 7/8 25/47
Converted % 50% 27% 86% 43% 88% 53%
Conceded 0 2 14 2 5 23
Saved 0/0 1/2 9/14 2/2 1/5 13
Saved % 50% 64% 100% 20% 47%
Times Broken 0 1 5 0 4 10
Dodig
Q1
Alberto
Q3
Pampanin
R1
Svrcina
R2
Rodionov
1/4
Neumayer
Total
Score 6-4 3-6 6-3 6-4 6-0 6-4 6-2 6-4 6-3 7-65 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 2 2 2 11
Tot Games 28 16 18 19 21 102
pts 77-73 63-40 69-55 66-56 78-68 353-292
Total points 150 103 124 122 146 645
Winners 28 20 21 27 29 125
%Winners 36% 32% 30% 41% 37% 35%
SERVE
Aces 3 0 2 0 7 12
Double Faults 3 4 0 4 1 12
1st in 36/73 27/45 37/63 38/63 44/81 182/325
% 1st in 49% 60% 59% 60% 54% 56%
1st pts 28/36 20/27 21/37 27/38 29/44 125/182
% 1st pts 78% 74% 57% 71% 66% 69%
2nd pts 20/37 10/18 17/26 14/25 24/37 85/143
% 2nd pts 54% 56% 65% 56% 65% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 6 5 3 3 21
Converted 4/9 6/10 5/10 3/9 3/4 21/42
Converted % 44% 60% 50% 33% 75% 50%
Conceded 3 5 8 3 10 29
Saved 0/3 3/5 6/8 2/3 9/10 20
Saved % 0% 60% 75% 67% 90% 58%
Times Broken 3 2 2 1 1 9

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Nagal
LWLLWLWWWL
Dodig
WWLLLWWWWW
2025 2024 2023
21 - 23
22 - 20
2-3
Hard
0-0
19-19
Clay
22-17

Tennis Scores in Trieste Challenger

  • Matej DodigDodigLukas NeumayerNeumayer (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
  • Sumit NagalNagalMaxim MrvaMrva (6-1 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
  • Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz AcostaStefano TravagliaTravaglia (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
  • David Pichler/Lukas PokornyPichler/Lukas PokornyFederico Agustin Gomez/Luis David MartinezAgustin Gomez/Luis David Martinez (6-3 4-6 10-8) – See score progression
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw