Liam Draxl and Rio Noguchi will fight against each other in the quarter of the Winnipeg Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 10:00 am on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liam Draxl who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Liam Draxl is the pick to win this match.
Liam Draxl -> 1.31
Rio Noguchi -> 3.22
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Prediction and head to head Liam Draxl vs. Rio Noguchi
There is no head to head record between Liam Draxl and Rio Noguchi since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Liam Draxl
36 - 17win/loss
119
113
LWLLWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43-22 | 17-10 | 10-5 | 16-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-24 | 21-10 | 17-12 | 13-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-9 | 23-5 | 0-0 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-16 | 16-10 | 3-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-14 | 16-9 | 12-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 147, the Canadian reached the quarter after beating Hiroki Moriya 6-3 6-1 and Kenta Miyoshi 6-1 5-7 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Liam defeated Miyoshi (6-1 5-7 6-2). During the match, Draxl scored 97 points vs Miyoshi’s 81. The Canadian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Draxl struck 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Liam Draxl lost the serve 5 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Draxl put 64% of his first serves in, winning 66% (37/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (12/31) on the 2nd serve. Liam broke Miyoshi 9 times after converting 75% of his break points (9/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Canadian has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
Draxl has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 67% of his matches (195-98). 9-5 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Draxl has a composed97-49 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Canadian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Oeiras 1 Challenger,the Oeiras 3 Challenger,the Sarasota Challenger,the Savannah Challenger and the Cary Challenger.
The Canadian has a composed 34-17 win-loss record in 2025, 9-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Winnipeg Challenger
Rio Noguchi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-22 | 33-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-31 | 36-22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 12-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-22 | 41-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-26 | 18-18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 222, the Japanese reached the quarter after beating Andre Ilagan 6-3 3-6 6-1 and Nicolas Arseneault 7-5 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Noguchi had a good straight sets win against Arseneault (7-5 6-2). During the match Noguchi scored 77 points vs Arseneault’s 62. Noguchi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Noguchi scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Rio Noguchi lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 71% of his first serves in, winning 67% (31/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the 2nd serve. Noguchi broke Arseneault 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Noguchi has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he defeated Jie Cui in the final 7-6(9) 6-2.
Rio has an aggregate 25-15 win-loss record in 2025, 25-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Winnipeg Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Draxl | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 45 |
| Pts | 154-117 | 162-141 |
| Total Points | 271 | 303 |
| Winners | 59 | 70 |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% |
Both Draxl and Noguchi played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Liam Draxl dropped 1 set, while Rio Noguchi conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Draxl and Noguchi have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Draxl played 2 games less than Noguchi. Liam scored 59 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Noguchi blasted 70 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Draxl | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 85/128 | 110/150 |
| %1st in | 66% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 59/85 | 70/110 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 22/43 | 19/40 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 48% |
Draxl bagged 4 aces (2 per match). Noguchi bagged 3 aces (1.5 per match). Draxl won 69% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Noguchi won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Draxl | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 11 |
| Converted | 13/20 | 11/23 |
| % Converted | 65% | 48% |
| Conceded | 8 | 14 |
| Saved | 3 | 8 |
| % Saved | 38% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
Draxl broke his opponents 13 times with a 65% conversion rate. Draxl conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded. Rio broke his opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. Noguchi conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Draxl | ||||
| R1 Moriya |
R2 Miyoshi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-1 5-7 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 27 | 43 | |
| pts | 57-36 | 97-81 | 154-117 | |
| Total points | 93 | 178 | 271 | |
| Winners | 22 | 37 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 29/41 | 56/87 | 85/128 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 64% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 37/56 | 59/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 66% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/12 | 12/31 | 22/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 83% | 39% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 9 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 9/12 | 13/20 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 75% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/8 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 38% | 19% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Noguchi | ||||
| R1 Ilagan |
R2 Arseneault |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-1 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 20 | 45 | |
| pts | 85-79 | 77-62 | 162-141 | |
| Total points | 164 | 139 | 303 | |
| Winners | 39 | 31 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 40% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 64/85 | 46/65 | 110/150 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 71% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 39/64 | 31/46 | 70/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 67% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/21 | 10/19 | 19/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 53% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 5/12 | 11/23 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 42% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWLLWWW
LWWLWLLWWW Tennis Scores in Winnipeg Challenger
- Naoki Nakagawa/Kris Van WykNakagawa/Kris Van Wyk – Kody Pearson/Yuta ShimizuPearson/Yuta Shimizu (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andres AndradeAndrade – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Liam DraxlDraxl (0-0) – H2H and prediction
