Sho Shimabukuro and Yu Hsiou Hsu will play each other in the quarter of the Winnipeg Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sho Shimabukuro who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sho Shimabukuro is the pick to win this match.
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.57
Yu Hsiou Hsu -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Sho Shimabukuro vs. Yu Hsiou Hsu
This will be the 4th time that Sho Shimabukuro and Yu Hsiou Hsu clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Shimabukuro (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Shimabukuro won 6-4 6-4 in the final in the Shanghai Challenger back in 2024.
Sho Shimabukuro
9 - 13win/loss
208
135
LLWWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-15 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-28 | 21-17 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-26 | 19-17 | 7-1 | 9-4 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-25 | 38-20 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-20 | 28-18 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 186, Sho reached the quarter after beating Christian Langmo 6-2 6-4 and Garrett Johns 6-3 7-6(3).
In the 2nd round, Sho had a good straight sets win against Johns (6-3 7-63). During the match, Shimabukuro scored 75 points vs Johns’s 63. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Shimabukuro managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Sho Shimabukuro was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (30/38) of his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sho broke Johns twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shimabukuro hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Shimabukuro has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (249-158). 5-9 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shimabukuro has an overall 183-112 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Sho has an overall 8-12 win-loss record in 2025, 5-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Winnipeg Challenger
Yu Hsiou Hsu
23 - 18win/loss
198
158
LWWWWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-22 | 31-18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-30 | 38-25 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-21 | 30-15 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-24 | 47-18 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 49-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 242, Yu reached the quarter after beating Justin Boulais 6-0 7-5 and Paul Jubb 6-1 7-6(5).
In the 2nd round, Hsiou had a good straight sets win against Jubb (6-1 7-65). During the match Hsiou scored 84 points vs Jubb’s 71. The Chinese was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Hsiou recorded 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Yu Hsiou Hsu lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Hsiou put 69% of his first serves in, winning 71% (36/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Jubb 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chinese hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Yu’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Timaru.
Yu has a composed 23-17 win-loss record in 2025, 20-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Winnipeg Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shimabukuro | Hsiou |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 38 |
| Pts | 129-108 | 161-127 |
| Total Points | 237 | 288 |
| Winners | 55 | 66 |
| %Winners | 43% | 41% |
Both Shimabukuro and Hsiou played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shimabukuro and Hsiou have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Shimabukuro played 2 games more than Hsiou. The Japanese scored 55 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Yu managed to score 66 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shimabukuro | Hsiou |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 71/121 | 95/145 |
| %1st in | 59% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 55/71 | 66/95 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 26/50 | 22/50 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 44% |
Shimabukuro made 11 aces (5.5 per match). Hsiou made 5 aces (2.5 per match). Shimabukuro won 77% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Hsiou won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shimabukuro | Hsiou |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 10 |
| Converted | 6/8 | 10/24 |
| % Converted | 75% | 42% |
| Conceded | 3 | 17 |
| Saved | 1 | 13 |
| % Saved | 33% | 76% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Sho broke his opponents 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. The Japanese lost his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Yu broke his opponents 10 times with a 42% conversion rate. Yu conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shimabukuro | ||||
| R1 Langmo |
R2 Johns |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 | 40 | |
| pts | 54-45 | 75-63 | 129-108 | |
| Total points | 99 | 138 | 237 | |
| Winners | 25 | 30 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 40% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 33/51 | 38/70 | 71/121 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 54% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 30/38 | 55/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 17/32 | 26/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 53% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 2/3 | 6/8 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 67% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Hsiou | ||||
| R1 Boulais |
R2 Jubb |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-5 | 6-1 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 38 | |
| pts | 77-56 | 84-71 | 161-127 | |
| Total points | 133 | 155 | 288 | |
| Winners | 30 | 36 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 43% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 44/71 | 51/74 | 95/145 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 69% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 30/44 | 36/51 | 66/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 71% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/27 | 10/23 | 22/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 43% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 4/12 | 10/24 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 33% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 7 | 17 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 5/7 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 71% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWWLW
LWWWWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Winnipeg Challenger
- Naoki Nakagawa/Kris Van WykNakagawa/Kris Van Wyk – Kody Pearson/Yuta ShimizuPearson/Yuta Shimizu (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andres AndradeAndrade – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Liam DraxlDraxl (0-0) – H2H and prediction
