Sumit Nagal and Maxim Mrva will face off in the quarter of the Trieste Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sumit Nagal who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sumit Nagal is the pick to win this match.
Sumit Nagal -> 1.63
Maxim Mrva -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Sumit Nagal vs. Maxim Mrva
There is no head to head record between Sumit Nagal and Maxim Mrva since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Sumit Nagal
15 - 17win/loss
306
68
WLLWWWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-19 | 2-3 | 15-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-29 | 15-13 | 16-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 9-8 | 32-17 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-18 | 0-1 | 16-17 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-26 | 1-4 | 22-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 296, Sumit got to the quarter after defeating Luca Castagnola 6-2 6-1, Neil Oberleitner 6-4 6-2, Chun Hsin Tseng 6-1 2-6 7-6(5) and Marco Cecchinato 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Nagal had a good straight sets win against Cecchinato (6-2 6-4). During the match, Nagal scored 67 points vs Cecchinato’s 51. The Indian was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nagal couldn’t to score even 1 ace and he committed only 1 double fault. Sumit Nagal was quite efficient on serve to win 74% (31/42) of his 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nagal broke Cecchinato 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sumit started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Nagal has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (299-219). 13-13 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nagal has an overall 228-140 record in the last years on clay.
Sumit has an aggregate 15-17 win-loss record in 2025, 13-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Trieste Challenger
Sumit has never competed in this tournament before.
Maxim Mrva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-14 | 8-3 | 15-11 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-8 | 2-3 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 501 (career-high), the Czech got to the quarter after beating Moez Echargui 7-5 1-6 7-6(7), Lukas Pokorny 6-2 6-3, Nikoloz Basilashvili 3-6 6-2 6-0 and Federico Cina 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Mrva had a good straight sets win against Cina (6-4 7-5). During the match Mrva scored 86 points vs Cina’s 72. Maxim was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Mrva made 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Maxim Mrva was very effective on serve to win 81% (29/36) of his 1st serve and 54% (25/46) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Czech broke Cina 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mrva started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Czech’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Monastir.
Mrva has a compiled 24-13 win-loss record in 2025, 15-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nagal | Mrva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 79 | 94 |
| Pts | 288-234 | 341-285 |
| Total Points | 522 | 626 |
| Winners | 111 | 100 |
| %Winners | 39% | 29% |
Both Nagal and Mrva played 4 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Sumit Nagal lost 1 set, while Maxim Mrva lost 2 sets. Nagal has played 1 set(s) less than Mrva (9 vs 10). Therefore, Nagal played 15 games less than Mrva. Nagal scored 111 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Maxim made 100 winners (29%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nagal | Mrva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st in | 154/246 | 141/283 |
| %1st in | 63% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 111/154 | 100/141 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 50/92 | 79/142 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 56% |
Nagal managed to score 3 aces (0.8 per match). Mrva bagged 11 aces (2.8 per match). Nagal won 72% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Mrva won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nagal | Mrva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 21 |
| Converted | 18/39 | 21/48 |
| % Converted | 46% | 44% |
| Conceded | 18 | 24 |
| Saved | 12 | 12 |
| % Saved | 67% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 12 |
Nagal broke his opponents 18 times with a 46% conversion rate. Nagal surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Mrva broke his opponents 21 times with a 44% conversion rate. Maxim conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nagal | ||||||
| Q1 Castagnola |
Q3 Oberleitner |
R1 Hsin |
R2 Cecchinato |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 2-6 7-65 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 18 | 28 | 18 | 79 | |
| pts | 56-37 | 74-56 | 91-90 | 67-51 | 288-234 | |
| Total points | 93 | 130 | 181 | 118 | 522 | |
| Winners | 22 | 21 | 37 | 31 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 28% | 41% | 46% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 27/42 | 30/53 | 55/96 | 42/55 | 154/246 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 57% | 57% | 76% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 21/30 | 37/55 | 31/42 | 111/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 70% | 67% | 74% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/15 | 17/23 | 16/41 | 9/13 | 50/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 74% | 39% | 69% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 4/15 | 6/7 | 3/7 | 18/39 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 27% | 86% | 43% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 18 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/2 | 9/14 | 2/2 | 12 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 64% | 100% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6 | |
| Mrva | ||||||
| Q1 Echargui |
Q3 Pokorny |
R1 Basilashvili |
R2 Cina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 1-6 7-67 | 6-2 6-3 | 3-6 6-2 6-0 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 94 | |
| pts | 109-111 | 68-47 | 78-55 | 86-72 | 341-285 | |
| Total points | 220 | 115 | 133 | 158 | 626 | |
| Winners | 31 | 17 | 23 | 29 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 25% | 29% | 34% | 29% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 47/96 | 23/44 | 35/61 | 36/82 | 141/283 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 52% | 57% | 44% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 31/47 | 17/23 | 23/35 | 29/36 | 100/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 74% | 66% | 81% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/49 | 12/21 | 16/26 | 25/46 | 79/142 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 57% | 62% | 54% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 6/14 | 7/10 | 3/9 | 21/48 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 43% | 70% | 33% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 24 | |
| Saved | 4/10 | 1/3 | 1/4 | 6/7 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 33% | 25% | 86% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
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