H2H, prediction of Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz in Wimbledon with odds, preview, pick | 11th July 2025

PREVIEW. London. Alcaraz and Fritz will square off in the semifinal of Wimbledon. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Friday the 11th of July

Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz

Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz will square off in the semifinal of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:30 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.19
Taylor Fritz -> 4.95

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz

This will be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.

The last time that they fought against each other, Alcaraz won 6-2 7-5 in the R in Laver cup back in 2024.

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz

47 - 5win/loss

Hard
10-4
I Hard
5-0
Clay
22-1
Grass
10-0
Rank
2
High
1
WWWLWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 51-6 13-4 22-1 5-0 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 2, Carlos got to the semifinal after beating Fabio Fognini 7-5 6-7(5) 7-5 2-6 6-1, Oliver Tarvet 6-1 6-4 6-4, Jan-Lennard Struff 6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4, Andrey Rublev 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 6-4 and Cameron Norrie 6-2 6-3 6-3.

In the quarter, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Norrie (6-2 6-3 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 94 points vs Norrie’s 65. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz struck 13 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 72% of his first serves in, winning 89% (49/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (7/21) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Norrie 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

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Overall Performance in this tournament

Alcaraz has surrendered 4 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 80% of his matches (334-81). 10-0 on grass in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a compiled34-3 record in the last 8 years on grass.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0 and in Rome where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2) and in London where he overcame Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2.

Carlos has an overall 47-5 win-loss record in 2025, 10-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Alcaraz
Wimbledon
Alcaraz's Record

Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz

30 - 11win/loss

Hard
13-5
I Hard
1-1
Clay
3-4
Grass
13-1
Rank
4
High
4
LWWLWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 38-15 21-8 3-4 1-1 13-2 0-0
2024 54-23 23-10 15-7 6-4 10-2 0-0
2023 54-24 35-11 11-6 5-3 3-4 0-0
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0

Ranked no. 5, Fritz reached the semifinal after beating Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-7(6) 6-7(8) 6-4 7-6(6) 6-4, Gabriel Diallo 3-6 6-3 7-6(0) 4-6 6-3, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-4 6-3 6-7(5) 6-1, Jordan Thompson 6-1 3-0 ret. and Karen Khachanov 6-3 6-4 1-6 7-6(4).

In the quarter, Fritz had a good straight sets win against Khachanov (6-3 6-4 1-6 7-64). During the match Fritz scored 119 points vs Khachanov’s 105. Fritz was extremely aggressive to blast 54 winners.

Talking about serving, Fritz struck 16 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Taylor Fritz was quite effective on serve to win 81% (54/67) of his 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Taylor broke Khachanov 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Taylor has conceded 6 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Australia where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4) and in Stuttgart where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(0) and in Eastbourne where he defeated Jenson Brooksby in the final 7-5 6-1.

Fritz has an overall 30-11 win-loss record in 2025, 13-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022 and 2024. See his history.

Fritz
Wimbledon
Fritz's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
T.Fritz
13h:42
13h:42
Time on court​
13h:00
13h:00
1h:39
1h:39
Last match​
!
2h:36
2h:36
5
5
Match played
5
5
182
182
Games Played​
197
197
19
19
Set played​​
21
21
632
632
Total points​
636
636
126.4
126.4
Avg point​
127.2
127.2
279
279
Winners
289
289
55.8
55.8
Avg Winners​
57.8
57.8
44%
44%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
62
62
Aces
95
95
!
12.4
12.4
Avg Aces
!
19
19
24
24
Double Faults
9
9
4.8
4.8
Avg Double Faults
1.8
1.8
279/368
279/368
1st won total​
289/353
289/353
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
118/217
118/217
2nd won total​
123/189
123/189
54%
54%
2nd won %
!
65%
65%
-- Break Points --
27/59
27/59
BP won
19/45
19/45
5.4/11.8
5.4/11.8
Avg BP won
3.8/9
3.8/9
46%
46%
Won
42%
42%
46
46
Conceded
18
18
9.2
9.2
Avg Conceded
3.6
3.6
10
10
Broken
7
7
2
2
Avg Broken
1.4
1.4
36
36
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Fritz
Match played 5 5
Tot Set 19 21
Tot Games 182 197
Pts 632-526 636-530
Total Points 1158 1166
Winners 279 289
%Winners 44% 45%

Both Alcaraz and Fritz played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz surrendered 4 sets, while Taylor Fritz conceded 6 sets. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Fritz (19 vs 21). Therefore, Alcaraz played 15 games less than Fritz. Alcaraz scored 279 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Fritz struck 289 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Fritz
Aces 62 95
Avg per match 12.4 19
1st in 368/585 353/542
%1st in 63% 65%
1st pts 279/368 289/353
%1st pts 76% 82%
2nd pts 118/217 123/189
%2nd pts 54% 65%

Alcaraz fired 62 aces (12.4 per match). Fritz bagged 95 aces (19 per match). Alcaraz won 76% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Fritz won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Fritz
Won 27 19
Converted 27/59 19/45
% Converted 46% 42%
Conceded 46 18
Saved 36 11
% Saved 78% 61%
Times Broken 10 7

Alcaraz broke his opponents 27 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Fritz broke his opponents 19 times with a 42% conversion rate. Taylor conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R1
Fognini
R2
Tarvet
R3
Struff
R4
Rublev
1/4
Norrie
Total
Score 7-5 6-75 7-5 2-6 6-1 6-1 6-4 6-4 6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4 6-75 6-3 6-4 6-4 6-2 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 5 3 4 4 3 19
Tot Games 52 27 35 42 26 182
pts 184-173 100-73 125-105 129-110 94-65 632-526
Total points 357 173 230 239 159 1158
Winners 77 43 46 64 49 279
%Winners 42% 43% 37% 50% 52% 44%
SERVE
Aces 14 3 10 22 13 62
Double Faults 9 4 4 3 4 24
1st in 110/189 62/96 63/108 78/116 55/76 368/585
% 1st in 58% 65% 58% 67% 72% 63%
1st pts 77/110 43/62 46/63 64/78 49/55 279/368
% 1st pts 70% 69% 73% 82% 89% 76%
2nd pts 41/79 18/34 28/45 24/38 7/21 118/217
% 2nd pts 52% 53% 62% 63% 33% 54%
Breaks
Won 7 6 5 4 5 27
Converted 7/15 6/10 5/12 4/11 5/11 27/59
Converted % 47% 60% 42% 36% 45% 46%
Conceded 21 11 5 4 5 46
Saved 16/21 9/11 3/5 3/4 5/5 36
Saved % 76% 82% 60% 75% 100% 79%
Times Broken 5 2 2 1 0 10
Fritz
R1
Mpetshi
R2
Diallo
R3
Davidovich Fokina
R4
Thompson
1/4
Khachanov
Total
Score 6-76 6-78 6-4 7-66 6-4 3-6 6-3 7-60 4-6 6-3 6-4 6-3 6-75 6-1 6-1 3-0 ret. 6-3 6-4 1-6 7-64
Tot Set 5 5 4 2 4 20
Tot Games 59 50 39 10 39 197
pts 182-163 157-138 138-112 40-12 119-105 636-530
Total points 345 295 250 52 224 1166
Winners 92 70 61 12 54 289
%Winners 51% 45% 44% 30% 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 29 27 17 6 16 95
Double Faults 2 4 1 0 2 9
1st in 108/160 88/133 78/120 12/24 67/105 353/542
% 1st in 68% 66% 65% 50% 64% 65%
1st pts 92/108 70/88 61/78 12/12 54/67 289/353
% 1st pts 85% 80% 78% 100% 81% 82%
2nd pts 37/52 30/45 23/42 11/12 22/38 123/189
% 2nd pts 71% 67% 55% 92% 58% 65%
Breaks
Won 2 3 7 4 3 19
Converted 2/6 3/11 7/15 4/5 3/8 19/45
Converted % 33% 27% 47% 80% 38% 42%
Conceded 0 6 8 0 4 18
Saved 0/0 3/6 7/8 0/0 1/4 11
Saved % 50% 88% 25% 33%
Times Broken 0 3 1 0 3 7

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Alcaraz
WWWLWWWWWW
Fritz
LWWLWWWWLW
2025 2024 2023
51 - 6
38 - 15
13-4
Hard
21-8
5-0
I Hard
1-1
22-1
Clay
3-4
11-1
Grass
13-2

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

  • Jannik SinnerSinnerBen SheltonShelton (7-62 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio ZeballosJoe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski (7-66 7-6) – See score progression
  • Novak DjokovicDjokovicFlavio CobolliCobolli (6-76 6-2 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
  • Julian Cash/Lloyd GlasspoolCash/Lloyd GlasspoolHarri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten (6-4 4-6 7-68) – See score progression
  • Carlos AlcarazAlcarazCameron NorrieNorrie (6-2 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
  • Rinky Hijikata/David PelHijikata/David PelRafael Matos/Marcelo MeloMatos/Marcelo Melo (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
  • Taylor FritzFritzKaren KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 6-4 1-6 7-64) – See score progression
  • Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate PavicHugo Nys/Edouard Roger-VasselinNys/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (6-4 6-72 7-6) – See score progression
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw