Connor Thomson and Edward Winter will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Nottingham 3 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Edward Winter who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Edward Winter is the pick to win this match.
Edward Winter -> 1.64
Connor Thomson -> 2.15
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Prediction and head to head Connor Thomson vs. Edward Winter
There is no head to head record between Connor Thomson and Edward Winter since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Connor Thomson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| 2024 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently unranked, the Brit got to the 2nd round after defeating James Story 3-6 6-4 7-6(4).
In the 1st round against Story, Thomson recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 7-64). During the match, Thomson scored 115 points vs Story’s 111. The Brit was very aggressive to blast 54 winners.
Talking about the service games, Thomson struck 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Connor Thomson lost the serve 3 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Thomson put 61% of his first serves in, winning 73% (54/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (21/47) on the 2nd serve. Connor broke Story twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Thomson has a negative match record in the last 4 years having won 33% of his matches (5-10). 1-0 on grass in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Thomson has an aggregate3-2 win-loss record in the last 4 years on grass.
The Brit has a composed 1-0 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nottingham 3 Challenger
Thomson has never competed in this tournament before.
Edward Winter
13 - 10win/loss
528
523
LWWWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-14 | 21-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-19 | 25-17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-20 | 19-17 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 12-11 | 10-10 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 648, the Australian got to the 2nd round after defeating Johannus Monday 2-6 7-6(6) 6-2.
In the 1st round against Monday, Edward recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-66 6-2). During the match Winter scored 99 points vs Monday’s 96. The Australian was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, Winter recorded 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Edward Winter was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (44/57) of his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Edward broke Monday twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Winter’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Heraklion.
The Australian has a compiled 13-10 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Thomson | Winter |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 29 |
| Pts | 115-111 | 99-96 |
| Total Points | 226 | 195 |
| Winners | 54 | 44 |
| %Winners | 47% | 44% |
Both Thomson and Winter played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Connor Thomson conceded 1 set, while Edward Winter conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Thomson and Winter have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Thomson played 3 games more than Winter. The Brit scored 54 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Edward struck 44 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Thomson | Winter |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 7 |
| 1st in | 74/121 | 57/90 |
| %1st in | 61% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 54/74 | 44/57 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 21/47 | 17/33 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 52% |
Thomson managed to score 9 aces . Winter made 7 aces . Thomson won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Winter won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Thomson | Winter |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 2 |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 |
| % Converted | 29% | 29% |
| Conceded | 13 | 5 |
| Saved | 10 | 3 |
| % Saved | 77% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Thomson broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Connor lost his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Winter broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Edward conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Thomson | |||
| R1 Story |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 115-111 | 115-111 | |
| Total points | 226 | 226 | |
| Winners | 54 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 74/121 | 74/121 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 54/74 | 54/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/47 | 21/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 10/13 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 77% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Winter | |||
| R1 Monday |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-66 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 99-96 | 99-96 | |
| Total points | 195 | 195 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 57/90 | 57/90 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 44/57 | 44/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 17/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWLW
LWWWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Nottingham 3 Challenger
- Patrick ZahrajZahraj – Axel NefveNefve (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Lui MaxtedMaxted – Leonardo RossiRossi (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Charles BroomBroom (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Edward WinterWinter – Johannus MondayMonday (2-6 7-66 6-2) – See score progression
- Hamish StewartStewart – Matthew SummersSummers (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Connor ThomsonThomson – James StoryStory (3-6 6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Liam BroadyBroady – Hugo GrenierGrenier (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Arthur ReymondReymond (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Henry SearleSearle – Taha BaadiBaadi (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Harry WendelkenWendelken – Patrick BradyBrady (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- George LoffhagenLoffhagen – Charlie RobertsonRobertson (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Kenny de Schepperde Schepper – Matteo MartineauMartineau (7-65 7-67) – See score progression
- Ryan PenistonPeniston – Ben JonesJones (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jack Pinnington JonesPinnington Jones – Nicolai Budkov KjaerBudkov Kjaer (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Kyle EdmundEdmund – Tom HandsHands (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alastair GrayGray – Maxime JanvierJanvier (6-3 5-7 7-5) – See score progression
- Liam BroadyBroady – Hugo GrenierGrenier (7-6(5) 6-4) – See score progression
- Kyle EdmundEdmund – Tom HandsHands (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Patrick ZahrajZahraj – Axel NefveNefve (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Kenny de Schepperde Schepper – Matteo MartineauMartineau (7-6(5) 7-6(7)) – See score progression
- Alastair GrayGray – Maxime JanvierJanvier (6-3 5-7 7-5) – See score progression
- Lui MaxtedMaxted – Leonardo RossiRossi (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Arthur ReymondReymond (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Charles BroomBroom (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Jack Pinnington JonesPinnington Jones – Nicolai Budkov KjaerBudkov Kjaer (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Harry WendelkenWendelken – Patrick BradyBrady (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Liam BroadyBroady – Kyle EdmundEdmund (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Oliver CrawfordCrawford (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ryan PenistonPeniston – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Patrick ZahrajZahraj – Kenny de Schepperde Schepper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alastair GrayGray – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Connor ThomsonThomson – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hamish StewartStewart – George LoffhagenLoffhagen (1-1) – H2H and prediction
