H2H, prediction of Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norrie in Wimbledon with odds, preview, pick | 8th July 2025

PREVIEW. London. Alcaraz and Norrie will square off in the quarter of Wimbledon. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Tuesday the 8th of July

Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Cameron Norrie

Carlos Alcaraz and Cameron Norrie will clash against each other in the quarter of Wimbledon for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 3:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.051
Cameron Norrie -> 11

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Cameron Norrie

This will be the 7th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Cameron Norrie clash against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.

The last time that they played, Norrie won 5-7 6-4 7-5 in the final in Rio de janeiro back in 2023.

Highlights Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz – Rio de janeiro 26-February-2023

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz

46 - 5win/loss

Hard
10-4
I Hard
5-0
Clay
22-1
Grass
9-0
Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard got to the quarter after defeating Fabio Fognini 7-5 6-7(5) 7-5 2-6 6-1, Oliver Tarvet 6-1 6-4 6-4, Jan-Lennard Struff 6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4 and Andrey Rublev 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 6-4.

In the 4th round against Rublev, Alcaraz recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-3 6-4 6-4). During the match, Alcaraz scored 129 points vs Rublev’s 110. Alcaraz was extremely aggressive to blast 64 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz overpowered his opponent with 22 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was extremely effective on serve to win 82% (64/78) of his 1st serve and 63% (24/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alcaraz broke Rublev 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has dropped 4 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 80% of his matches (333-81). 9-0 on grass in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has a composed33-3 match record in the last 8 years on grass.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0 and in Rome where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2) and in London where he defeated Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2.

The Spaniard has an overall 46-5 win-loss record in 2025, 9-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Alcaraz
Wimbledon
Alcaraz's Record

Cameron Norrie

Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie

25 - 18win/loss

Hard
6-8
I Hard
1-1
Clay
14-7
Grass
4-2
Rank
27
High
8
LWWWWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-29 11-15 14-7 10-4 4-3 0-0
2024 24-21 7-4 8-8 6-5 3-4 0-0
2023 36-25 14-12 18-7 1-4 3-2 0-0
2022 49-26 26-11 11-5 6-7 6-3 0-0
2021 56-25 25-11 16-5 9-7 6-2 0-0

Ranked no. 61, the Brit reached the quarter after defeating Roberto Bautista Agut 6-3 3-6 6-4 7-6(3), Frances Tiafoe 4-6 6-4 6-3 7-5, Mattia Bellucci 7-6(5) 6-4 6-3 and Nicolas Jarry 6-3 7-6(4) 6-7(7) 6-7(5) 6-3.

In the 4th round, The Brit had a tough win against Jarry to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-3 7-64 6-77 6-75 6-3). During the match Norrie scored 194 points vs Jarry’s 180. Cameron was very aggressive to blast 101 winners.

About the serving games, Norrie blasted 8 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Cameron Norrie was quite effective on serve to win 75% (101/134) of his 1st serve and 60% (37/62) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Norrie broke Jarry twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cameron has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

The Brit’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Geneva.

Cameron has a compiled 25-18 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See his history.

Norrie
Wimbledon
Norrie's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
C.Norrie
12h:03
12h:03
Time on court​
12h:55
12h:55
!
2h:44
2h:44
Last match​
!
4h:27
4h:27
4
4
Match played
4
4
156
156
Games Played​
171
171
16
16
Set played​​
16
16
538
538
Total points​
573
573
134.5
134.5
Avg point​
143.3
143.3
230
230
Winners
284
284
57.5
57.5
Avg Winners​
71
71
43%
43%
Ratio winners
50%
50%
-- Serve --
49
49
Aces
49
49
!
12.3
12.3
Avg Aces
!
12.3
12.3
20
20
Double Faults
16
16
5
5
Avg Double Faults
4
4
230/313
230/313
1st won total​
284/391
284/391
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
111/196
111/196
2nd won total​
93/171
93/171
57%
57%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
22/48
22/48
BP won
17/41
17/41
5.5/12
5.5/12
Avg BP won
4.3/10.3
4.3/10.3
46%
46%
Won
41%
41%
41
41
Conceded
39
39
10.3
10.3
Avg Conceded
9.8
9.8
10
10
Broken
9
9
2.5
2.5
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
31
31
Saved
30
30

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Norrie
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 16 16
Tot Games 156 171
Pts 538-461 573-526
Total Points 999 1099
Winners 230 284
%Winners 43% 50%

Both Alcaraz and Norrie played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz surrendered 4 sets, while Cameron Norrie lost 4 sets. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Norrie have played the same amount of sets 16. However, Alcaraz played 15 games less than Norrie. Alcaraz scored 230 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Cameron fired 284 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Norrie
Aces 49 49
Avg per match 12.3 12.3
1st in 313/509 391/562
%1st in 61% 70%
1st pts 230/313 284/391
%1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 111/196 93/171
%2nd pts 57% 54%

Alcaraz managed to score 49 aces (12.3 per match). Norrie blasted 49 aces (12.3 per match). Alcaraz won 73% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Norrie won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Norrie
Won 22 17
Converted 22/48 17/41
% Converted 46% 41%
Conceded 41 39
Saved 31 30
% Saved 76% 77%
Times Broken 10 9

The Spaniard broke his opponents 22 times with a 46% conversion rate. Carlos dropped his serve 10 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Norrie broke his opponents 17 times with a 41% conversion rate. Cameron conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R1
Fognini
R2
Tarvet
R3
Struff
R4
Rublev
Total
Score 7-5 6-75 7-5 2-6 6-1 6-1 6-4 6-4 6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4 6-75 6-3 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 5 3 4 4 16
Tot Games 52 27 35 42 156
pts 184-173 100-73 125-105 129-110 538-461
Total points 357 173 230 239 999
Winners 77 43 46 64 230
%Winners 42% 43% 37% 50% 43%
SERVE
Aces 14 3 10 22 49
Double Faults 9 4 4 3 20
1st in 110/189 62/96 63/108 78/116 313/509
% 1st in 58% 65% 58% 67% 61%
1st pts 77/110 43/62 46/63 64/78 230/313
% 1st pts 70% 69% 73% 82% 73%
2nd pts 41/79 18/34 28/45 24/38 111/196
% 2nd pts 52% 53% 62% 63% 57%
Breaks
Won 7 6 5 4 22
Converted 7/15 6/10 5/12 4/11 22/48
Converted % 47% 60% 42% 36% 46%
Conceded 21 11 5 4 41
Saved 16/21 9/11 3/5 3/4 31
Saved % 76% 82% 60% 75% 73%
Times Broken 5 2 2 1 10
Norrie
R1
Bautista-Agut
R2
Tiafoe
R3
Bellucci
R4
Jarry
Total
Score 6-3 3-6 6-4 7-63 4-6 6-4 6-3 7-5 7-65 6-4 6-3 6-3 7-64 6-77 6-75 6-3
Tot Set 4 4 3 5 16
Tot Games 41 41 32 57 171
pts 127-129 139-119 113-98 194-180 573-526
Total points 256 258 211 374 1099
Winners 71 69 43 101 284
%Winners 56% 50% 38% 52% 50%
SERVE
Aces 18 17 6 8 49
Double Faults 5 3 2 6 16
1st in 100/143 91/120 66/103 134/196 391/562
% 1st in 70% 76% 64% 68% 70%
1st pts 71/100 69/91 43/66 101/134 284/391
% 1st pts 71% 76% 65% 75% 73%
2nd pts 19/43 14/29 23/37 37/62 93/171
% 2nd pts 44% 48% 62% 60% 54%
Breaks
Won 4 5 6 2 17
Converted 4/7 5/13 6/12 2/9 17/41
Converted % 57% 38% 50% 22% 41%
Conceded 11 9 11 8 39
Saved 8/11 6/9 8/11 8/8 30
Saved % 73% 67% 73% 100% 78%
Times Broken 3 3 3 0 9

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Alcaraz
LWWWWLWWWW
Norrie
LWWWWLWWLW
2025 2024 2023
71 - 9
37 - 29
28-4
Hard
11-15
10-3
I Hard
8-4
22-1
Clay
14-7
11-1
Grass
4-3

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

  • Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry PattenPierre-Hugues Herbert/Jordan ThompsonHerbert/Jordan Thompson (w/o) – See score progression
  • Julian Cash/Lloyd GlasspoolCash/Lloyd GlasspoolGuido Andreozzi/Marcelo DemolinerAndreozzi/Marcelo Demoliner (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate PavicPetr Nouza/Patrik RiklNouza/Patrik Rikl (7-5 7-613) – See score progression
  • Hugo Nys/Edouard Roger-VasselinNys/Edouard Roger-VasselinAdam Pavlasek/Jan ZielinskiPavlasek/Jan Zielinski (3-6 7-61 6-4) – See score progression
  • Rinky Hijikata/David PelHijikata/David PelKevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
  • Rafael Matos/Marcelo MeloMatos/Marcelo MeloAlexander Erler/Constantin FrantzenErler/Constantin Frantzen (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
  • Jannik SinnerSinnerPedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-1 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
  • Alex De MinaurDe MinaurAugust HolmgrenHolmgren (6-4 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
  • Marin CilicCilicJaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-3 3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
  • Lorenzo SonegoSonegoBrandon NakashimaNakashima (6-75 7-68 7-62 3-6 7-63) – See score progression
  • Novak DjokovicDjokovicMiomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-3 6-0 6-4) – See score progression
  • Flavio CobolliCobolliJakub MensikMensik (6-2 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Grigor DimitrovDimitrovSebastian OfnerOfner (6-3 6-4 7-60) – See score progression
  • Ben SheltonSheltonMarton FucsovicsFucsovics (6-3 7-64 6-2) – See score progression
  • Cameron NorrieNorrieMattia BellucciBellucci (7-65 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
  • Carlos AlcarazAlcarazJan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Andrey RublevRublevAdrian MannarinoMannarino (7-5 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
  • Nicolas JarryJarryJoao FonsecaFonseca (6-3 6-4 3-6 7-64) – See score progression
  • Jordan ThompsonThompsonLuciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Karen KhachanovKhachanovNuno BorgesBorges (7-66 4-6 4-6 6-3 7-6) – See score progression
  • Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzakArthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 7-64 7-6) – See score progression
  • Taylor FritzFritzAlejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-4 6-3 6-75 6-1) – See score progression
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw