Aryna Sabalenka and Laura Siegemund will square off in the quarter of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.047
Laura Siegemund -> 11.5

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Laura Siegemund

This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Laura Siegemund clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.

The last time that they locked horns, Sabalenka won 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in Strasbourg back in 2019.

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

46 - 8win/loss

Hard
23-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
17-3
Grass
6-1
Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0

Currently world no. 1 the Belarussian got to the quarter after beating Carson Branstine 6-1 7-5, Marie Bouzkova 7-6(4) 6-4, Emma Raducanu 7-6(6) 6-4 and Elise Mertens 6-4 7-6(4).

In the 4th round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Mertens (6-4 7-64). During the match, Sabalenka scored 71 points vs Mertens’s 63. Aryna was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka recorded 6 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 61% of her first serves in, winning 84% (32/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (9/24) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Mertens 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (420-176). 6-1 on grass in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a compiled 40-20 record in the last years on grass.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Aryna has a composed 46-8 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Wimbledon
Sabalenka's Record

Laura Siegemund

Laura Siegemund

14 - 15win/loss

Hard
6-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-5
Grass
6-2
Rank
46
High
27
LWWWLLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-22 15-14 2-5 0-0 6-3 0-0
2024 28-22 16-11 11-7 0-2 1-2 0-0
2023 30-17 23-13 3-2 0-0 4-2 0-0
2022 21-15 3-5 15-7 3-3 0-0 0-0
2021 14-14 7-7 5-5 0-0 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 104, Laura got to the quarter after beating Peyton Stearns 6-4 6-2, Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-2 6-3, Madison Keys 6-3 6-3 and Solana Sierra 6-3 6-2.

In the 4th round, The German had a good straight sets win against Sierra (6-3 6-2). During the match Siegemund scored 61 points vs Sierra’s 46. The German was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Siegemund was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Laura Siegemund lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Siegemund put 88% of her first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (4/7) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Sierra 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Siegemund hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

Siegemund has a compiled 14-15 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019 and 2024. See her history.

Wimbledon
Siegemund's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sabalenka
L.Siegemund
6h:23
6h:23
Time on court​
6h:35
6h:35
1h:35
1h:35
Last match​
1h:19
1h:19
4
4
Match played
4
4
88
88
Games Played​
70
70
8
8
Set played​​
8
8
296
296
Total points​
269
269
74
74
Avg point​
67.3
67.3
121
121
Winners
126
126
30.3
30.3
Avg Winners​
31.5
31.5
41%
41%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
18
18
Aces
1
1
4.5
4.5
Avg Aces
0.3
0.3
8
8
Double Faults
4
4
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1
1
121/158
121/158
1st won total​
126/183
126/183
!
77%
77%
1st won %
69%
69%
55/98
55/98
2nd won total​
27/58
27/58
56%
56%
2nd won %
47%
47%
-- Break Points --
12/32
12/32
BP won
18/36
18/36
3/8
3/8
Avg BP won
4.5/9
4.5/9
38%
38%
Won
50%
50%
12
12
Conceded
18
18
3
3
Avg Conceded
4.5
4.5
6
6
Broken
4
4
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
1
1
6
6
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Siegemund
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 8 8
Tot Games 88 70
Pts 296-246 269-206
Total Points 542 475
Winners 121 126
%Winners 41% 47%

Both Sabalenka and Siegemund played 4 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Siegemund have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Sabalenka played 18 games more than Siegemund. Sabalenka scored 121 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Siegemund bagged 126 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Siegemund
Aces 18 1
Avg per match 4.5 0.3
1st in 158/256 183/241
%1st in 62% 76%
1st pts 121/158 126/183
%1st pts 77% 69%
2nd pts 55/98 27/58
%2nd pts 56% 47%

Sabalenka fired 18 aces (4.5 per match). Siegemund managed to score 1 ace (0.3 per match). Sabalenka won 77% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Siegemund won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Siegemund
Won 12 18
Converted 12/32 18/36
% Converted 38% 50%
Conceded 12 18
Saved 6 14
% Saved 50% 78%
Times Broken 6 4

The Belarussian broke her opponents 12 times with a 38% conversion rate. Aryna surrendered her serve 6 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Siegemund broke her opponents 18 times with a 50% conversion rate. The German conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 78% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R1
Branstine
R2
Bouzkova
R3
Raducanu
R4
Mertens
Total
Score 6-1 7-5 7-64 6-4 7-66 6-4 6-4 7-64
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 19 23 23 23 88
pts 66-47 74-58 85-78 71-63 296-246
Total points 113 132 163 134 542
Winners 28 30 31 32 121
%Winners 42% 41% 36% 45% 41%
SERVE
Aces 3 5 4 6 18
Double Faults 3 3 1 1 8
1st in 36/59 34/57 50/78 38/62 158/256
% 1st in 61% 60% 64% 61% 62%
1st pts 28/36 30/34 31/50 32/38 121/158
% 1st pts 78% 88% 62% 84% 77%
2nd pts 15/23 15/23 16/28 9/24 55/98
% 2nd pts 65% 65% 57% 38% 56%
Breaks
Won 3 2 4 3 12
Converted 3/5 2/4 4/15 3/8 12/32
Converted % 60% 50% 27% 38% 38%
Conceded 1 1 8 2 12
Saved 1/1 0/1 5/8 0/2 6
Saved % 100% 0% 63% 0% 41%
Times Broken 0 1 3 2 6
Siegemund
R1
Stearns
R2
Annie
R3
Keys
R4
Sierra
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 6-2 6-3 6-3 6-3 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 18 17 18 17 70
pts 73-57 64-48 71-55 61-46 269-206
Total points 130 112 126 107 475
Winners 36 27 30 33 126
%Winners 49% 42% 42% 54% 47%
SERVE
Aces 0 1 0 0 1
Double Faults 1 0 1 2 4
1st in 53/66 38/57 43/62 49/56 183/241
% 1st in 80% 67% 69% 88% 76%
1st pts 36/53 27/38 30/43 33/49 126/183
% 1st pts 68% 71% 70% 67% 69%
2nd pts 6/13 10/19 7/19 4/7 27/58
% 2nd pts 46% 53% 37% 57% 47%
Breaks
Won 4 4 5 5 18
Converted 4/8 4/7 5/13 5/8 18/36
Converted % 50% 57% 38% 63% 50%
Conceded 6 3 6 3 18
Saved 5/6 3/3 4/6 2/3 14
Saved % 83% 100% 67% 67% 79%
Times Broken 1 0 2 1 4

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

Upcoming matches in the draw