Yusuke Takahashi and Nicolas Arseneault will square off in the qualifications of the Winnipeg Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Arseneault who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolas Arseneault is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Arseneault -> 1.8
Yusuke Takahashi -> 1.93
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Prediction and head to head Yusuke Takahashi vs. Nicolas Arseneault
There is no head to head record between Yusuke Takahashi and Nicolas Arseneault since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Yusuke Takahashi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-15 | 27-14 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-28 | 25-25 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-31 | 33-28 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-22 | 17-21 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-23 | 18-21 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 419, the Japanese reached the qualifications after beating Jesse Flores 6-2 3-6 6-3.
In the qualifications, Takahashi defeated Flores (6-2 3-6 6-3). During the match, Takahashi scored 82 points vs Flores’s 70. Takahashi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Takahashi scored 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Yusuke Takahashi was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (33/45) of his 1st serve and 69% (20/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Japanese broke Flores 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Takahashi has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 53% of his matches (233-204). 25-11 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Takahashi has a composed 203-173 match record in the last years on hard.
Yusuke’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Kashiwa and M15 Osaka.
Takahashi has a composed 27-12 win-loss record in 2025, 25-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Winnipeg Challenger
Nicolas Arseneault
29 - 14win/loss
638
621
LWLLWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-17 | 24-11 | 2-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 714, Nicolas reached the qualifications after defeating Ryan Fishback 6-2 6-1.
In the qualifications, Arseneault had a good straight sets win against Fishback (6-2 6-1). During the match Arseneault scored 58 points vs Fishback’s 32. The Canadian was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
About the serving games, Arseneault managed to score 5 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Nicolas Arseneault was quite effective on serve to win 79% (22/28) of his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Arseneault broke Fishback 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
The Canadian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Santo Domingo.
Nicolas has a compiled 29-14 win-loss record in 2025, 21-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Takahashi | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 15 |
| Pts | 82-70 | 58-32 |
| Total Points | 152 | 90 |
| Winners | 33 | 22 |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% |
Both Takahashi and Arseneault played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Yusuke Takahashi conceded 1 set while Nicolas Arseneault hasn’t conceded a set so far. Takahashi has played 1 set more than Arseneault (3 vs 2). Therefore, Takahashi played 11 games more than Arseneault. Yusuke scored 33 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Nicolas bagged 22 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Takahashi | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5 |
| 1st in | 45/74 | 28/44 |
| %1st in | 61% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 33/45 | 22/28 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 20/29 | 11/16 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 69% |
Takahashi managed to score 2 aces . Arseneault recorded 5 aces . Takahashi won 73% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Arseneault won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Takahashi | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/10 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 30% | 67% |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 |
| Saved | 1 | 0 |
| % Saved | 50% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Yusuke broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. Yusuke dropped his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Nicolas was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Takahashi | |||
| Q1 Flores |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 82-70 | 82-70 | |
| Total points | 152 | 152 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 45/74 | 45/74 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 33/45 | 33/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/29 | 20/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Arseneault | |||
| Q1 Fishback |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 58-32 | 58-32 | |
| Total points | 90 | 90 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 28/44 | 28/44 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 22/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 11/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWLWLLWL
LWLLWWWLWW 
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