Andrea Picchione and Lorenzo Carboni will square off in the qualifications of the Trieste Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Carboni who should win in 3 sets.
Lorenzo Carboni -> 1.68
Andrea Picchione -> 2.09
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Prediction and head to head Andrea Picchione vs. Lorenzo Carboni
This will be the 2nd time that Andrea Picchione and Lorenzo Carboni clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Picchione (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Picchione won 6-1 4-1 ret. in the 1st round in M25 Lesa back in 2024.
Andrea Picchione
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-23 | 0-0 | 38-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-29 | 5-4 | 45-20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-31 | 16-9 | 30-19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 42-31 | 10-5 | 32-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-21 | 6-4 | 28-16 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 465, the Italian reached the qualifications after beating Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 6-3 2-6 7-6(3).
In the qualifications, Andrea defeated Carlos Prado Angelo (6-3 2-6 7-63).During the match, Picchione scored less points (6) than Carlos Prado Angelo. In fact, the world no. 465 won 96 points vs Carlos Prado Angelo’s. That means that Picchione was more focused during the important points. Picchione was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Picchione was unable to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 6 double faults. Andrea Picchione lost the serve 6 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Picchione put 62% of his first serves in, winning 62% (41/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (16/40) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Carlos Prado Angelo 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Picchione has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (241-155). 17-17 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Picchione has a composed192-117 record in the last 8 years on clay.
The Italian has a compiled 17-17 win-loss record in 2025, 17-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Trieste Challenger
Picchione has never competed in this tournament before.
Lorenzo Carboni
33 - 17win/loss
415
415
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-29 | 31-12 | 22-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 18-26 | 8-7 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-20 | 15-7 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 535, the Italian got to the qualifications after beating Milos Karol 6-2 5-7 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Italian defeated Karol (6-2 5-7 6-4). During the match Carboni scored 100 points vs Karol’s 86. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about serving, Carboni recorded 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Carboni was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 77% (43/56) of his 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Italian broke Karol 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Lorenzo’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Monastir.
Carboni has a composed 33-17 win-loss record in 2025, 11-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Trieste Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Picchione | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 |
| Pts | 96-102 | 100-86 |
| Total Points | 198 | 186 |
| Winners | 41 | 43 |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% |
Both Picchione and Carboni played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Andrea Picchione dropped 1 set, while Lorenzo Carboni lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Picchione and Carboni have played the same amount of sets 3. They also played the same amount of games (30). Andrea scored 41 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian struck 43 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Picchione | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 5 |
| 1st in | 66/106 | 56/92 |
| %1st in | 62% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 41/66 | 43/56 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 16/40 | 19/36 |
| %2nd pts | 40% | 53% |
Picchione didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Carboni fired 5 aces . Picchione won 62% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Carboni won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Picchione | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/10 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded | 13 | 5 |
| Saved | 7 | 3 |
| % Saved | 54% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 |
The Italian broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Picchione conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded. Carboni broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Picchione | |||
| Q1 Carlos Prado Angelo | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 2-6 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 96-102 | 96-102 | |
| Total points | 198 | 198 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 66/106 | 66/106 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 41/66 | 41/66 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/40 | 16/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 40% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 7/13 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 54% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
| Carboni | |||
| Q1 Karol | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 5-7 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 100-86 | 100-86 | |
| Total points | 186 | 186 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 56/92 | 56/92 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 43/56 | 43/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/36 | 19/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
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