Novak Djokovic and Alex De Minaur will fight against each other in the 4th round of Wimbledon for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.28
Alex De Minaur -> 3.68

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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Alex De Minaur

This will be the 4th time that Novak Djokovic and Alex De Minaur play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.

The last time that they fought against each other, Djokovic won 7-5 6-4 in the quarter in Monte carlo back in 2024.

Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur – Monte carlo 12-April-2024

Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic

24 - 8win/loss

Hard
12-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
9-3
Grass
3-0
Rank
4
High
1
WWWWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-11 21-7 9-3 4-0 5-1 0-0
2024 37-9 15-5 16-3 1-0 5-1 0-0
2023 56-7 27-1 12-3 11-2 6-1 0-0
2022 42-7 2-1 14-4 19-2 7-0 0-0
2021 55-7 19-3 18-3 11-1 7-0 0-0

Ranked no. 6, the Serbian got to the 4th round after defeating Alexandre Muller 6-1 6-7(7) 6-2 6-2, Daniel Evans 6-3 6-2 6-0 and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-3 6-0 6-4.

In the 3rd round, The Serbian had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (6-3 6-0 6-4). During the match, Djokovic scored 96 points vs Kecmanovic’s 62. Djokovic was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Djokovic made 16 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was very efficient on serve to win 82% (40/49) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Serbian broke Kecmanovic 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Serbian has lost 1 set in this event to win 60% of the points he played.

Djokovic has a terrific match record in the last 10 years having won 85% of his matches (462-84). 3-0 on grass in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Djokovic has a compiled 56-5 win-loss record in the last years on grass.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Geneva where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 5-7 7-6(2) 7-6(2).

The Serbian has a compiled 24-8 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Wimbledon
Djokovic's Record

Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur

30 - 12win/loss

Hard
12-5
I Hard
5-1
Clay
10-5
Grass
3-1
Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-24 30-11 10-5 13-6 3-2 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 11, De Minaur reached the 4th round after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-2 6-2 7-6(2), Arthur Cazaux 4-6 6-2 6-4 6-0 and August Holmgren 6-4 7-6(5) 6-3.

In the 3rd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Holmgren (6-4 7-65 6-3). During the match De Minaur scored 111 points vs Holmgren’s 93. Alex was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.

About the serving games, De Minaur blasted 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Alex De Minaur was quite effective on serve to win 85% (44/52) of his 1st serve and 63% (26/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Holmgren 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alex has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Alex’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Rotterdam.

Alex has an aggregate 30-12 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2022 and 2024. See his history.

Wimbledon
De Minaur's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

N.Djokovic
A.De Minaur
6h:53
6h:53
Time on court​
7h:34
7h:34
1h:47
1h:47
Last match​
!
2h:21
2h:21
3
3
Match played
3
3
84
84
Games Played​
95
95
10
10
Set played​​
10
10
351
351
Total points​
339
339
117
117
Avg point​
113
113
139
139
Winners
119
119
46.3
46.3
Avg Winners​
39.7
39.7
40%
40%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
49
49
Aces
12
12
!
16.3
16.3
Avg Aces
4
4
6
6
Double Faults
6
6
2
2
Avg Double Faults
2
2
139/166
139/166
1st won total​
119/150
119/150
!
84%
84%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
40/64
40/64
2nd won total​
79/128
79/128
!
63%
63%
2nd won %
!
62%
62%
-- Break Points --
19/53
19/53
BP won
15/42
15/42
6.3/17.7
6.3/17.7
Avg BP won
5/14
5/14
36%
36%
Won
36%
36%
6
6
Conceded
14
14
2
2
Avg Conceded
4.7
4.7
1
1
Broken
4
4
!
0.3
0.3
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
5
5
Saved
10
10

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Djokovic De Minaur
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 10 10
Tot Games 84 95
Pts 351-231 339-265
Total Points 582 604
Winners 139 119
%Winners 40% 35%

Both Djokovic and De Minaur played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic conceded 1 set, while Alex De Minaur surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Djokovic and De Minaur have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Djokovic played 11 games less than De Minaur. Novak scored 139 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Alex managed to score 119 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Djokovic De Minaur
Aces 49 12
Avg per match 16.3 4
1st in 166/230 150/278
%1st in 72% 54%
1st pts 139/166 119/150
%1st pts 84% 79%
2nd pts 40/64 79/128
%2nd pts 63% 62%

Djokovic scored 49 aces (16.3 per match). De Minaur made 12 aces (4 per match). Djokovic won 84% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Djokovic De Minaur
Won 19 15
Converted 19/53 15/42
% Converted 36% 36%
Conceded 6 14
Saved 5 10
% Saved 83% 71%
Times Broken 1 4

The Serbian broke his opponents 19 times with a 36% conversion rate. Djokovic conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 15 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Djokovic
R1
Muller
R2
Evans
R3
Kecmanovic
Total
Score 6-1 6-77 6-2 6-2 6-3 6-2 6-0 6-3 6-0 6-4
Tot Set 4 3 3 10
Tot Games 36 23 25 84
pts 158-117 97-52 96-62 351-231
Total points 275 149 158 582
Winners 59 40 40 139
%Winners 37% 41% 42% 40%
SERVE
Aces 22 11 16 49
Double Faults 1 2 3 6
1st in 72/103 45/58 49/69 166/230
% 1st in 70% 78% 71% 72%
1st pts 59/72 40/45 40/49 139/166
% 1st pts 82% 89% 82% 84%
2nd pts 19/31 9/13 12/20 40/64
% 2nd pts 61% 69% 60% 63%
Breaks
Won 7 6 6 19
Converted 7/27 6/16 6/10 19/53
Converted % 26% 38% 60% 36%
Conceded 3 2 1 6
Saved 3/3 2/2 0/1 5
Saved % 100% 100% 0% 67%
Times Broken 0 0 1 1
De Minaur
R1
Carballes Baena
R2
Cazaux
R3
Holmgren
Total
Score 6-2 6-2 7-62 4-6 6-2 6-4 6-0 6-4 7-65 6-3
Tot Set 3 4 3 10
Tot Games 29 34 32 95
pts 105-78 123-94 111-93 339-265
Total points 183 217 204 604
Winners 33 42 44 119
%Winners 31% 34% 40% 35%
SERVE
Aces 8 1 3 12
Double Faults 3 2 1 6
1st in 41/88 57/97 52/93 150/278
% 1st in 47% 59% 56% 54%
1st pts 33/41 42/57 44/52 119/150
% 1st pts 80% 74% 85% 79%
2nd pts 28/47 25/40 26/41 79/128
% 2nd pts 60% 63% 63% 62%
Breaks
Won 5 7 3 15
Converted 5/10 7/20 3/12 15/42
Converted % 50% 35% 25% 36%
Conceded 5 4 5 14
Saved 4/5 2/4 4/5 10
Saved % 80% 50% 80% 70%
Times Broken 1 2 1 4

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

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