Novak Djokovic and Alex De Minaur will fight against each other in the 4th round of Wimbledon for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 4 sets.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.28
Alex De Minaur -> 3.68
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 4th time that Novak Djokovic and Alex De Minaur play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they fought against each other, Djokovic won 7-5 6-4 in the quarter in Monte carlo back in 2024.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur – Monte carlo 12-April-2024
Novak Djokovic
24 - 8win/loss
4
1
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-11 | 21-7 | 9-3 | 4-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, the Serbian got to the 4th round after defeating Alexandre Muller 6-1 6-7(7) 6-2 6-2, Daniel Evans 6-3 6-2 6-0 and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-3 6-0 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The Serbian had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (6-3 6-0 6-4). During the match, Djokovic scored 96 points vs Kecmanovic’s 62. Djokovic was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Djokovic made 16 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was very efficient on serve to win 82% (40/49) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Serbian broke Kecmanovic 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Serbian has lost 1 set in this event to win 60% of the points he played.
Djokovic has a terrific match record in the last 10 years having won 85% of his matches (462-84). 3-0 on grass in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Djokovic has a compiled 56-5 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Geneva where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 5-7 7-6(2) 7-6(2).
The Serbian has a compiled 24-8 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Alex De Minaur
30 - 12win/loss
7
6
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, De Minaur reached the 4th round after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-2 6-2 7-6(2), Arthur Cazaux 4-6 6-2 6-4 6-0 and August Holmgren 6-4 7-6(5) 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Holmgren (6-4 7-65 6-3). During the match De Minaur scored 111 points vs Holmgren’s 93. Alex was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, De Minaur blasted 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Alex De Minaur was quite effective on serve to win 85% (44/52) of his 1st serve and 63% (26/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Holmgren 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alex has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Alex’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Rotterdam.
Alex has an aggregate 30-12 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2022 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 95 |
| Pts | 351-231 | 339-265 |
| Total Points | 582 | 604 |
| Winners | 139 | 119 |
| %Winners | 40% | 35% |
Both Djokovic and De Minaur played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic conceded 1 set, while Alex De Minaur surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Djokovic and De Minaur have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Djokovic played 11 games less than De Minaur. Novak scored 139 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Alex managed to score 119 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 49 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 16.3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 166/230 | 150/278 |
| %1st in | 72% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 139/166 | 119/150 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 40/64 | 79/128 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 62% |
Djokovic scored 49 aces (16.3 per match). De Minaur made 12 aces (4 per match). Djokovic won 84% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 15 |
| Converted | 19/53 | 15/42 |
| % Converted | 36% | 36% |
| Conceded | 6 | 14 |
| Saved | 5 | 10 |
| % Saved | 83% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
The Serbian broke his opponents 19 times with a 36% conversion rate. Djokovic conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 15 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Djokovic | |||||
| R1 Muller | R2 Evans | R3 Kecmanovic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-77 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 6-0 | 6-3 6-0 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 23 | 25 | 84 | |
| pts | 158-117 | 97-52 | 96-62 | 351-231 | |
| Total points | 275 | 149 | 158 | 582 | |
| Winners | 59 | 40 | 40 | 139 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 41% | 42% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 22 | 11 | 16 | 49 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 72/103 | 45/58 | 49/69 | 166/230 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 78% | 71% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 59/72 | 40/45 | 40/49 | 139/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 89% | 82% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/31 | 9/13 | 12/20 | 40/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 69% | 60% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19 | |
| Converted | 7/27 | 6/16 | 6/10 | 19/53 | |
| Converted % | 26% | 38% | 60% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 0% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| De Minaur | |||||
| R1 Carballes Baena | R2 Cazaux | R3 Holmgren | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 7-62 | 4-6 6-2 6-4 6-0 | 6-4 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 34 | 32 | 95 | |
| pts | 105-78 | 123-94 | 111-93 | 339-265 | |
| Total points | 183 | 217 | 204 | 604 | |
| Winners | 33 | 42 | 44 | 119 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 34% | 40% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 1 | 3 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 41/88 | 57/97 | 52/93 | 150/278 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 59% | 56% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 33/41 | 42/57 | 44/52 | 119/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 74% | 85% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/47 | 25/40 | 26/41 | 79/128 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 63% | 63% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 7/20 | 3/12 | 15/42 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 35% | 25% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 2/4 | 4/5 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 50% | 80% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Ben SheltonShelton – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (6-3 7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – August HolmgrenHolmgren (6-4 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-3 6-4 7-60) – See score progression
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Jakub MensikMensik (6-2 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-3 6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-3 3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-1 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-75 7-68 7-62 3-6 7-63) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Mattia BellucciBellucci (7-65 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-4 6-3 6-75 6-1) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-3 6-4 3-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Nuno BorgesBorges (7-66 4-6 4-6 6-3 7-6) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-5 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 7-64 7-6) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marin CilicCilic – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Jordan ThompsonThompson (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (4-1) – H2H and prediction